Liam Duckstein
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Hungary and Georgia meet at the Puskas Arena with both sides sitting level on points at the bottom of Group 2. Neither team has managed a win through two rounds, and both arrive off back-to-back stalemates against Northern Ireland and Ukraine respectively. The interesting wrinkle here is that both nations drew their most recent outing 0-0, meaning this fixture doubles as a first real chance for either side to open their winning account in the group.
Marco Rossi’s side plays in front of a home crowd that expects goals, yet Hungary have gone two matches without scoring. Georgia, guided by Ramaz Svanadze, carry a similar drought but do so with arguably sharper individual talent up front.
Dominik Szoboszlai remains the heartbeat of Hungary’s build-up, completing over a hundred passes across his last two caps and driving tempo from midfield. On the other side, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is the player Hungary’s back line will worry about most, given his five shots and near-constant dribbling threat in Georgia’s last two fixtures.
Hot stat: Georgia have won the corner count battle heavily in their last five matches, racking up 13 compared to Hungary’s 6, a sign that Svanadze’s side commit bodies forward more often than the raw form table suggests.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League B Group 2 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Puskás Aréna, Budapest |
| 🗓️ Date: | 02.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
Hungary vs Georgia prediction
We predict a tight, low-scoring affair that leans slightly toward Hungary thanks to home advantage and a deeper squad rotation. Neither team has found the net in their last two competitive outings, and that goal drought is unlikely to break wide open here. Backing Hungary on the moneyline carries value given the bookmaker consensus sits close to 46 percent, but a draw would not surprise our punters team at all given how cagey both defenses have looked.
Hungary have committed 27 fouls and picked up 6 yellow cards across their last five matches, slightly more disciplined trouble than Georgia’s 26 fouls and 3 cards. Pass accuracy favors Georgia marginally (965 vs 939 passes completed), which suggests Svanadze’s men might control spells of possession even away from home. That combination points toward a match decided by a single moment rather than open, flowing football.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Hungary to win either half |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Hungary’s last five results read as two wins, two draws and a single loss, a pattern that shows resilience without real firepower. The most recent match ended 0-0 against Northern Ireland, a game where Hungary struggled to break down a compact defense despite decent territorial control. In our preview of Northern Ireland vs Hungary we leaned toward a tight, low-scoring night with BTTS No as the sharper side bet, and the eventual 0-0 result backed that call up completely.
Georgia mirror that pattern almost exactly, with two wins, two draws and one loss across their own last five fixtures. Their most recent showing was also a scoreless draw, this time against Ukraine, extending a run where Georgia have kept things tight defensively but have not scored in either of their last two internationals. That drought against tougher opposition raises questions about whether Kvaratskhelia and Mikautadze can find space against a well-organized Hungarian back line.
🚨Check out our dedicated Hungary vs Georgia stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hungary the favourite
- Moneyline Hungary 2.06 | Georgia 3.68
- Draw 3.41
The market prices Hungary as clear favorites at home, which lines up with the bookmaker consensus giving them a 46 percent implied chance of victory. Georgia’s odds near 3.68 suggest bookmakers respect their away threat but still view them as the underdog on the night. To be honest, the draw price around 3.41 looks like fair value given how similar both teams’ recent forms have been.
Possible Starting Lineups
Hungary possible starting eleven
- GK: Balazs Toth
- DF: Willi Orbán, Mark Csinger, Attila Osváth
- MF: Bendeguz Bolla, Dominik Szoboszlai, András Schäfer, Milos Kerkez
- FW: Áron Csongvai, Tamás Szűcs, Donat Barany
Rossi’s preferred 3-4-2-1 shape leans on Orbán’s experience at the back and Szoboszlai dictating play from deep midfield. Schäfer’s five fouls in his last two caps show he is not afraid of physical duels, which could matter against Georgia’s direct wingers. Donat Barany leads the line, though his low shot count so far raises doubts about his end product.
Georgia possible starting eleven
- GK: Giorgi Mamardashvili
- DF: Lasha Dvali, Luka Lochoshvili, Saba Goglichidze
- MF: Otar Kakabadze, Giorgi Kochorashvili, Anzor Mekvabishvili, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Otar Kiteishvili
- FW: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Georges Mikautadze
Svanadze sticks with the 3-5-2 setup that has served Georgia well defensively, packing the midfield with five bodies to control tempo. Kvaratskhelia remains the focal point going forward, and his five shots across the last two matches show he is still Georgia’s main creative outlet. Mamardashvili’s six saves in that stretch confirm he has been kept busy despite the team’s low goal tally.
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Georgia. Source: 1tvge. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a narrow Hungary win, perhaps by a single goal margin, built on home advantage and slightly better squad depth in the final third. Both teams have struggled to score in recent weeks, so backing under 2.5 goals alongside a Hungary win or draw double chance feels like the shrewdest combination available. Our punters team also likes BTTS No given how often one side has kept a clean sheet in this group so far. Georgia should not be dismissed entirely though, since Kvaratskhelia has the individual quality to change a game on his own even against a well-drilled home defense.
Read Also: Hungary vs Georgia Predicted Line-ups and Team News: Both Expected XIs
