Liam Duckstein
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Trabzonspor welcome Besiktas to Papara Park with both clubs sitting inside the top five of the Süper Lig table. Besiktas arrive in fourth place on 15 points, just two ahead of their hosts, and this fixture carries real weight for the early title picture behind Galatasaray and Amedspor. The interesting wrinkle here is that these two sides have met five times across the last two seasons and only one of those games ended in a losing margin bigger than a single goal, which tells us plenty about how tight this rivalry usually plays out on the pitch.
Mohamed Salah has been the standout attacking threat for Trabzonspor lately, contributing four goals and three assists across just three appearances in the last five matches. On the other side, Orkun Kökçü has quietly built a case as Besiktas’ most dangerous creative outlet, chipping in with two goals and a heavy shot volume from midfield. Both deserve close attention once the ball goes forward.
Hot stat: Salah’s output of four goals and three assists from only three games played is the single most striking number in either side’s recent sample, and it explains a lot of Trabzonspor’s attacking improvement this autumn.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Süper Lig 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Papara Park, Trabzon |
| 🗓️ Date: | 19.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Trabzonspor vs Besiktas prediction
We lean toward Besiktas edging this one, though not by a wide margin. The bookmakers already price the visitors as narrow favourites at close to 39% implied probability against Trabzonspor’s 35%, and the underlying numbers back that view up. Besiktas have won four of their last five outings compared to three wins in five for Trabzonspor, and their squad has looked sharper in front of goal against better quality opposition this month.
Style-wise this should be a physical, open contest. Trabzonspor have committed 43 fouls across their last five matches against just 26 for Besiktas, yet picked up fewer yellow cards overall, six against seven, which suggests their fouling has been more tactical than reckless. Passing accuracy sits around 84% for Trabzonspor and roughly 85% for Besiktas, both decent marks that point to two sides comfortable building through midfield rather than hoofing it long. Expect a game with spells of real tempo, broken up by niggly fouls near both boxes.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Mohamed Salah to score anytime |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Trabzonspor’s most recent result was a 4-2 win over KuPs, a game where the attack clicked in a way it hadn’t for weeks prior. Before that they beat Samsunspor 3-0 but also lost 0-1 to Drogheda and 0-1 to Konyaspor earlier in the sample, showing some inconsistency against mid-table and lower-rated sides despite the firepower up top. The 4-0 demolition of Galatasaray stands out as their best result of the stretch and hints at the ceiling this squad can reach when everything aligns. In our preview of KuPs vs Trabzonspor we backed the hosts to win comfortably by two goals or more with goals flowing freely, and the 4-2 scoreline delivered on that call.
Besiktas head into this one off a 3-2 win over Hoffenheim, a match where they conceded twice but still found enough going forward to see it through. Their recent form has been strong overall, four wins from the last five, including a 3-0 win over Erzurumspor and a hard-fought 2-3 win at Amedspor against a tough opponent. The 2-1 loss to Kocaelispor is the outlier blemish in an otherwise productive run. In our preview of Hoffenheim vs Besiktas we called Besiktas to edge the game while expecting goals at both ends, and the 3-2 result delivered exactly that.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Trabzonspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 5 meetings) | 9 | 10 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Trabzonspor vs Besiktas stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Besiktas the favourite
- Moneyline Trabzonspor 2.65 | Besiktas 2.40
- Draw 3.72
The market leans toward Besiktas, and we agree with that read given the current run of form. The draw price above 3.70 is tempting on paper given the history of close scorelines between these two clubs, but we’d rather follow the goal trend than chase the stalemate. Perhaps the smarter single bet here is Besiktas on the moneyline combined with BTTS, since both teams have scored in four of the last five head to head meetings.
Possible Starting Lineups
Trabzonspor possible starting eleven
- GK: André Onana
- DF: Wagner Pina, Cenk Ozkacar, Stefan Savić, Samet Akaydin
- MF: Fabio Henrique Tavares, Ozan Tufan, Melih Kabasakal, Ernest Muci, Mohamed Salah
- FW: Paul Onuachu
Reis sticks with the 4-2-3-1 that has carried his side through the last five matches. Onana has played every minute available in his starts and remains the clear number one, while the double pivot of Tavares and Tufan gives the side control before Salah, Muci and Kabasakal rotate behind Onuachu. Salah is the player to watch, his output this month is far above anyone else on the roster.
Besiktas possible starting eleven
- GK: Alexander Nübel
- DF: Amir Murillo, Emirhan Topçu, Emmanuel Agbadou, Ridvan Yilmaz
- MF: Salih Özcan, Wilfred Ndidi, Orkun Kökçü, Ilhan Fakili, Fabio Miretti
- FW: Dušan Vlahović
Italiano also favours a 4-2-3-1, with Nübel preferred in goal over Alemdar based on recent minutes. Özcan and Ndidi shield the back four, freeing Kökçü to operate as the main creative outlet behind Vlahović, who offers more of a direct goal threat than Oh Hyeon-gyu despite fewer total appearances. Kökçü’s set-piece delivery is worth watching closely given Besiktas’ corner numbers this term.
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Besiktas. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a tight, high-tempo game that edges in Besiktas’ favour. Their attacking depth, led by Vlahović and Kökçü, looks slightly better equipped right now than Trabzonspor’s, even with Salah’s hot streak factored in. Both defenses have shown cracks recently, Trabzonspor conceding to Drogheda and Konyaspor, Besiktas letting in goals against Hoffenheim and Amedspor, so BTTS feels like the safer leg of any combined bet. To be honest, a 2-1 or 2-2 finish wouldn’t surprise us at all given how these fixtures have historically gone, but our main lean stays with the away side taking the three points.
