Liam Duckstein
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Tottenham Hotspur Stadium hosts a London derby with contrasting recent trajectories. Spurs sit 14th but have won two of their last three, while Palace prop up the table’s lower reaches having lost four of their previous seven. Here’s the quirky bit though: Palace have actually won three of the last four meetings between these two sides, including a 3-1 away win not long ago. Recent league form says Tottenham, history at this exact fixture says be careful.
James Maddison remains Tottenham’s chief creative outlet and the man most likely to unlock a Palace defence that has leaked goals in bunches lately. Up front, Dominic Solanke’s movement and his habit of drawing fouls in the box give him an edge over Palace’s shaky centre-backs. For the visitors, Yeremy Pino has scored twice in his last five outings and carries the biggest individual goal threat, while Adam Wharton’s range of passing from deep gives Palace a way of bypassing Tottenham’s press when it clicks.
Hot stat: Crystal Palace’s heaviest defeat in their last five matches was a 5-0 away thrashing at Brighton, a result that exposed just how exposed this backline can get once the opposition finds space in behind. That single scoreline tells you more about Palace’s defensive fragility than any points total does.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London |
| 🗓️ Date: | 31.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:30 CEST |
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace prediction
We predict a Tottenham win here, backed firmly by the hosts’ home comfort and Palace’s alarming away defensive numbers. Spurs have won two of their last three overall and De Zerbi’s side looked sharp in the 2-0 win over Chelsea, suggesting the shape and confidence are both trending upward at the right moment. Palace, by contrast, have won just two of their last seven and conceded 19 goals across eight league games this season, a number that ranks among the worst in the division.
Style-wise, this should be a fairly open, foul-heavy contest. Palace have committed 59 fouls and picked up 10 yellow cards across their last five matches compared to Tottenham’s 45 fouls and 7 cards, a gap that points to Palace defending reactively rather than controlling possession. Tottenham’s passing accuracy sits near 87% against Palace’s 77%, and that gulf in control should let Spurs dictate tempo for long spells. Expect Palace to sit deeper and look to hit on the break through Pino and Kamada, which usually invites chances at both ends.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Tottenham to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Tottenham arrive on the back of a composed 2-0 win over Chelsea, a result that followed a 3-1 victory against Coventry and a 1-1 draw with Manchester United. Before that stretch sat a couple of rough patches, a 2-3 loss to Aston Villa and a 1-3 defeat to Liverpool, showing this is still a team capable of leaking goals against quality opposition. The Chelsea win, however, looked different: tighter at the back, quicker in transition, and Solanke finally getting on the scoresheet. In our preview of Chelsea vs Tottenham we expected Chelsea to win by more than a single goal given Spurs’ leaky away form, but Tottenham’s disciplined 2-0 win flipped that script entirely, so that call went against us.
Crystal Palace’s form tells a rougher story. Their last five results read win, loss, draw, loss, loss, capped by a narrow 1-0 win over Fulham that papered over some genuinely worrying underlying numbers. Before that came a 0-2 loss to Newcastle and a chastening 0-5 defeat to Brighton, the kind of scoreline that exposes a defence short on confidence and organisation. In our preview of Fulham vs Crystal Palace we leaned toward a narrow Fulham win with goals at both ends, yet Palace snuck out a tight 1-0 away victory instead, leaving that particular shout well off the mark.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Tottenham | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings) | 2 | 6 |
Palace have genuinely had the upper hand in this fixture lately, winning three of the last four meetings and outscoring Tottenham 6-2 across that stretch. It’s a stat worth keeping in mind even with Spurs favoured on paper this time.
🚨Check out our dedicated Tottenham vs Crystal Palace stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Tottenham the favourite
- Moneyline Tottenham 1.58 | Crystal Palace 5.00
- Draw 3.90
Bookmakers price Tottenham as clear favourites, giving them roughly a 59% implied chance of victory against Palace’s 19%. The draw sits around 22%, a sensible hedge given how close some of the recent head-to-head results have been despite the gulf in current league form. We think the market has this about right, perhaps slightly generous on Palace given their away defensive record, but the head-to-head history keeps the draw price from looking any shorter.
Possible Starting Lineups
Tottenham possible starting eleven
- GK: Antonin Kinsky
- DF: Pedro Porro, Ben Davies, Micky van de Ven, Destiny Udogie
- MF: Archie Gray, Rodrigo Bentancur, James Maddison, Mohammed Kudus, Mathys Tel
- FW: Dominic Solanke
The 4-2-3-1 shape suits Maddison’s freedom behind Solanke, while Kudus and Tel stretch Palace’s back three wide. Van de Ven’s recovery pace is a quiet weapon against Pino’s directness, and Archie Gray’s willingness to press high should limit Palace’s time on the ball in midfield.
Crystal Palace possible starting eleven
- GK: Walter Benítez
- DF: Chris Richards, Oscar Mingueza, Jaydee Canvot
- MF: Tyrick Mitchell, Dwight McNeil, Adam Wharton, Will Hughes, Daichi Kamada, Anan Khalaili
- FW: Yeremy Pino
Pierre Sage’s 3-4-2-1 leans heavily on Wharton to control tempo from deep, with Mitchell and McNeil asked to cover huge distances as wing-backs. Pino as the lone central outlet is a slight gamble given he’s more comfortable drifting wide, but his recent scoring form earns him the nod ahead of a fit-again Mateta.
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Crystal Palace. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict Tottenham to win this one, likely by a two-goal margin given Palace’s defensive numbers away from home this season. Spurs’ recent form, the Chelsea result especially, suggests a team gaining momentum at home, and Maddison’s service into Solanke and Tel should create enough chances to settle this inside 90 minutes. To be honest, Palace’s history in this exact fixture keeps a small shadow of doubt over a totally one-sided reading, and Pino’s recent scoring touch means BTTS carries real weight too. Our lean stays with Tottenham to win and both sides to score, with the goals tally edging past 2.5.
