Liam Duckstein
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Parma welcome Torino to the Tardini with both sides sitting in the bottom half of the Serie A table, though for very different reasons. Gilardino’s men have scored just four goals in six league matches, the joint-lowest tally in the division, while Abate’s Torino have banked seven points from six games despite an attack that has gone quiet in recent weeks. The interesting wrinkle here is the head to head record: the last four meetings between these clubs have produced only one clean sheet, and Torino have found the net in three of those four games away from home.
Keep an eye on José David Romero up front for Parma. He is the club’s only player with a goal in the last two matches and he has been involved in most of the side’s meaningful attacking moments despite limited service. On the other side, Sandro Kulenović has been the standout name for Torino, netting twice in his last two outings and giving Abate a reliable focal point when the service around him clicks.
Hot stat: Torino have fired 26 shots across their last five matches compared to just 14 for Parma, almost double the output, which tells you plenty about where the attacking threat is expected to come from on Monday night.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Ennio Tardini, Parma |
| 🗓️ Date: | 19.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
Parma vs Torino prediction
We predict a Torino win here, and the case is fairly straightforward once you line up the numbers. Parma sit 17th with four points from six games and a minus six goal difference, and their home form has not solved the scoring problem that has followed them all season. Torino, by contrast, arrive with better underlying attacking numbers across the last five matches and a squad that has shown it can find goals even when results have not gone its way.
Parma have averaged just over two shots on target per outing in recent weeks, while Torino’s pass accuracy and shot volume both sit comfortably above their hosts. Torino have also picked up fewer yellow cards than their shot count would suggest, pointing to a side that presses with control rather than recklessness. Parma’s fouling numbers are lower too, but that often reflects a team sitting deeper rather than one dictating the game, and against a side with Torino’s directness that passivity could get punished.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Sandro Kulenović to score anytime |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Parma’s last match was a harsh 0-3 defeat at home to Inter, a result that exposed the gap in quality at the top end of this division. Before that they edged Genoa 2-1, lost 1-2 to Como, drew 1-1 with Monza and fell 0-2 to Cremonese, leaving them with one win in their last five. The pattern is clear: Parma struggle to create enough and concede too easily against sides who press with any real intent. In our preview of Inter vs Parma we called a comfortable Inter win with goals in both halves, and the 0-3 scoreline backed that read up fully.
Torino’s most recent outing was a 2-1 home win over Udinese, a game that followed the pattern of their last five results: two wins, one draw and two losses, with goals flowing at both ends more often than not. Before that they drew 1-1 with Bologna, lost 0-2 to Roma, beat Fiorentina 2-1 and lost 0-1 to Monza. That is a side capable of scoring against most opponents but still leaking goals defensively, which keeps the goals market relevant even on the road. In our preview of Torino vs Udinese we called a tight match with both teams scoring and Torino edging it narrowly at home, and the 2-1 result landed exactly that way.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Parma | Torino |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings) | 5 | 7 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Parma vs Torino stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Torino the favourite
- Moneyline Parma 3.40 | Torino 2.40
- Draw 3.10
The market leans toward Torino fairly clearly, with the away side priced around 2.40 against odds near 3.40 for a Parma win. That roughly lines up with the underlying numbers: Torino’s shot volume, pass accuracy and recent scoring form all point one way. The draw price sitting close to the away odds suggests bookmakers expect this to be competitive rather than one-sided, which fits a Parma side that defends deep and makes life awkward even when outclassed. Our punters team sees the Torino price as fair value rather than a trap, especially given Parma’s goal-scoring drought at home.
Possible Starting Lineups
Parma possible starting eleven
- GK: Edoardo Corvi
- DF: Mariano Troilo, Diego Carlos, Dominik Drobnic
- MF: Franco Carboni, Mandela Keita, Vincent Sierro, Emanuele Valeri
- FW: Nesta Elphege, El Bilal Toure, José David Romero
Gilardino sticks with the 3-4-2-1 shape that has featured in his last five selections. Troilo and Diego Carlos anchor the back three with Drobnic adding cover, while Carboni and Valeri push up as wing-backs to support width. Romero leads the line as the only Parma forward with a goal in his last two games, with Elphege and Toure tasked with creating chances around him.
Torino possible starting eleven
- GK: Lucas Perri
- DF: Saúl Coco, Ardian Ismajli, Pietro Comuzzo
- MF: Nathan Patterson, Rolando Mandragora, Daniel Bragança, Rafik Belghali
- FW: Nikola Vlašić, Gaetano Oristanio, Sandro Kulenović
Abate mirrors the 3-4-2-1 setup, with Coco and Ismajli forming the defensive spine and Patterson and Belghali providing the attacking width from wing-back. Mandragora and Bragança control the middle of the park, while Kulenović leads the front line with Vlašić and Oristanio feeding off him. Kulenović is the man to watch given his recent scoring run.
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Parma. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Torino to come away from Parma with the three points, perhaps by a single goal margin given how often these two sides have produced tight scorelines historically. Parma’s attack has not shown enough in recent weeks to trust them against a Torino side that creates and defends with more consistency right now. To be hones, the under 2.5 goals angle looks like the smarter route for value rather than chasing a heavier away win, with Kulenović the standout individual bet given his recent scoring form.
