With the stakes at their highest as the Eerste Divisie Promotion Round kicks off, Telstar and Den Haag meet at the Rabobank IJmond Stadion for what promises to be a contest of both nerve and tactical nous. Both sides have displayed resilience amid fluctuating form, setting up a fascinating clash where recent head-to-heads hint at tight margins—each of the last two meetings ending in a stalemate. Beyond the battle for a place in the next promotion round, this fixture pits two contrasting styles: Telstar’s recent attacking flair against Den Haag’s unpredictable bursts of quality. Fans will have their eyes particularly fixed on creative influences and emerging goal threats as both teams seek a crucial edge.
Among the players on show, much of Telstar’s hope will rest on Youssef el Kachati, whose recent scoring form (4 goals in 4 matches) could be decisive, while Den Haag can look to Jari Vlak, the industrious midfielder with a habit for popping up with goals at vital moments (3 in his last 4 appearances). Their battles in midfield and in front of goal could define the direction this tie takes.
Hot stat: Den Haag have scored an eye-catching 14 goals in their last 5 matches—outscoring Telstar and underlining their capacity to strike quickly and often. Will their firepower shake Telstar on home soil?
| 🏆 Tournament: | Eerste Divisie 2024/25 Promotion Round 1 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Rabobank IJmond Stadion, Velsen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.05.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:45 CEST |
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Telstar vs Den Haag prediction
Given Telstar’s impressive home attacking record and slightly superior win rate over the last month (three wins from five), they enter with a marginal edge. Den Haag, for their part, have demonstrated goal-getting power (14 goals in last five), but their defensive frailties—conceding nine—cannot be ignored. With both managers favouring the 4-2-3-1 formation, expect a congested midfield and sharp transitions on the flanks.
Discipline-wise, Telstar have committed 51 fouls with 7 yellow cards in their last five, compared to Den Haag’s 52 fouls and a notably lower yellow card tally (only 4). While both teams press aggressively, the hosts’ greater susceptibility to disciplinary action could potentially hand opportunities to the visitors from set-pieces. Ball retention paints an intriguing picture: Telstar’s pass accuracy (1193/1467) and Den Haag’s (1188/1547) show both sides comfortable settling into spells of possession, but Telstar’s slightly higher passes attempted signals a willingness to dictate tempo at home. Corners and set pieces could also be a battleground, with Den Haag earning 21 corners in the last five, three more than Telstar.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Telstar Draw No Bet |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Telstar Recent Form: Telstar have looked increasingly sharp in attack, netting 11 goals with a notable 4-0 win against Eindhoven and a resounding 3-0 victory over Emmen. Youssef el Kachati is emerging as the attacking spearhead, while versatility in midfield has allowed them to adapt mid-match. That said, defensive lapses proved costly against De Graafschap (conceding twice in a narrow defeat), highlighting a vulnerability under pressure. Telstar’s tactical flexibility under Anthony Correia may yet make the difference as they balance aggression with game management.
Den Haag Recent Form: Den Haag arrive buoyed by a swashbuckling 7-2 demolition of VVV-Venlo, yet their defensive inconsistencies were exposed in the chaotic 3-4 home defeat to Cambuur. Jari Vlak’s surge from midfield adds bite to their attack, while Daryl van Mieghem and Lee Bonis have both chipped in crucial goals. Despite only two wins from their last five, Darije Kalezić’s side have displayed sustained attacking intent. Their reliance on quick transitions and high pressing makes them dangerous but leaves them prone to counter-attacks—a subplot worth watching on the night.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Telstar | Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2 |
| Total shots | 19 | 17 |
| Free kicks | 17 | 14 |
| Corner kicks | 7 | 8 |
| Total fouls | 22 | 19 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 74 | 73 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 5 |
| Offsides | 3 | 2 |
🚨Read our full Telstar vs Den Haag stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Telstar the favourite
| Moneyline | Telstar 2.19 | Den Haag 3.05 |
|---|---|
| Draw | 3.60 |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 1.80 | Under 2.5 2.00 |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 1.66 | No 2.10 |
The odds reflect Telstar’s home advantage and recent upturn in results, although Den Haag’s potent attack will give punters pause. The draw can’t be ruled out given both head-to-heads were level this season; however, a Telstar win or a high-scoring affair seem the best value plays as momentum and the setting tilt in the hosts’ favour. For the neutral or value-seeker, Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score look particularly attractive considering both teams’ recent form and defensive vulnerabilities.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
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Possible Starting Lineups
Telstar possible starting eleven

- GK: Ronald Koeman Jr
- DF: Mitch Apau, G. Offerhaus, Danny Bakker, Jeff Hardeveld
- MF: T. Owusu, J. Turfkruier, Nils Rossen, Tom Overtoom
- FW: Youssef el Kachati, Mohamed Hamdaoui
This selection mirrors Telstar’s recent stable defensive core and blends the creative spark of Nils Rossen and Tom Overtoom in midfield. The attack is spearheaded by the in-form Youssef el Kachati, ably supported by Mohamed Hamdaoui, both crucial to stretching Den Haag’s defence. The 4-2-3-1 formation looks set to be retained, designed to both absorb Den Haag’s attacking surges and transition swiftly on the break. Watch for G. Offerhaus and Jeff Hardeveld’s forward bursts—vital in both set-pieces and open play.
Den Haag possible starting eleven

- GK: Kilian Nikiema
- DF: Matteo Waem, Diogo Tomas, Sekou Sylla, Taneli Hämäläinen
- MF: Jari Vlak, Juho Kilo, F. de Bruin
- FW: Daryl van Mieghem, Alex Schalk, Lee Bonis
Den Haag’s recent lineups suggest a strong attacking trio, with Van Mieghem and Bonis both notching vital goals of late. The industrious Jari Vlak anchors the midfield, linking play and carrying a genuine goal threat. The side’s 4-2-3-1 array enables fluid rotation among midfielders while offering defensive support via Waem and Sylla out wide. Expect rapid flanks and incisive passing as Den Haag seek to unsettle Telstar early—their Achilles’ heel, as ever, remains defensive transitions.
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Telstar. Source: Official Website
My take on the Match
With both teams entering this playoff clash with clear strengths and obvious flaws, I’m tipping Telstar to edge it—just. Their attacking intent at home, combined with Youssef el Kachati’s purple patch in front of goal, gives them a subtle yet important advantage. Still, Den Haag have shown repeatedly they can’t be written off, with Vlak and Bonis possessing the ability to swing the tie. In a match perfectly poised on a knife’s edge, expect goals, late drama, and no shortage of talking points. Our main pick: Telstar Draw No Bet and Over 2.5 goals for those chasing bigger odds. Win, lose or draw, the winner here might be football itself as both sides press for a taste of next season’s top flight.

