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Team Vitality vs MAD Lions Match Prediction LEC Summer 2022

21.07.2022, 16:31

MAD Lions were the only team other than Rogue in the top half last weekend who managed to win both their games – one against Team BDS and another against Astralis – and managed to usurp Excel Esports in second place as a result. Team Vitality, on the other hand, managed one win from their two games last weekend and it was an impressive one against Fnatic. This fixture to start off game week 5 is one I expect to be way closer than most others. These are two teams with plenty of ability in their ranks and are very hard to separate when in full flow.

Team Vitality vs MAD Lions Match Prediction


Team Vitality

Team VitalityFrance
5Lose streak
-30 d. winrate

Vitality’s biggest challenge this season has been on the defensive front, where their deaths per game ratio has not made for good reading. It currently reads 12.9 for them, quite a way behind MAD Lions’ 9.3, which is the best return for any team so far this season. Only three teams have done worse than them this season for that metric. That being said, they are one of the four teams that are currently tied for third place and that means there is fight and quality in this side.

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On all counts, they’ve had decent showing in the first 15 minutes of a game – their gold differential, creep score differential, and tower differential metrics are all in the positive and trending upwards; they’ve lost only once after being ahead in the 15th minute and are doing damage per minute of 2445 at the moment.

All of these are the signs of a very solid outfit, but as I mentioned before, their defensive game has to go up a notch to match how they’re doing offensively. A gung-ho approach rarely wins you titles.

MAD Lions

MAD LionsSpain
2Lose streak
-30 d. winrate

MAD Lions have felt like a somewhat understated team this season, but have now moved into second place and have fantastic stats – whichever way you look at it. Perhaps the most impressive of them is their K/D ratio of 1.42, which is a consequence of their average deaths per game being as low as 9.3. Only Rogue (10.3) and Excel Esports (10.3) manage to come anywhere in the vicinity of that stat. A gold differential of +2041 at the 15-minute mark shows that MAD Lions have been very good at making starts to games and building on that gradually and methodically; their damage per minute of 1936 does not suggest this is a team that swings wild. They’ve been efficient and effective.

Team Vitality vs MAD Lions Betting Prediction

My bet on the team
MAD Lions
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I think MAD Lions’ current form will prove a little too much for Vitality, even though I expect them to show fight.

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