Sweden (w) vs England (w) Prediction: 17.07.2025 UEFA European Women's Championship Quarterfinal Preview

As the UEFA European Women’s Championship hits the quarterfinal stage, Sweden (w) and England (w) prepare for a much-anticipated face-off at Zurich’s iconic Letzigrund. Both sides enter with a sense of unfinished business; England’s momentum and Sweden’s unblemished run mean we’re in for a compelling tactical affair. Fascinatingly, these two last met in the qualifiers, with neither finding the net. There’s a sense that, this time, something truly significant is on the cards.

Keep a close watch on Stina Blackstenius for Sweden, whose clinical edge has seen her net twice in her last three matches, and England’s dynamic talisman Lauren James, whose quick feet and goalscoring knack have repeatedly unlocked opposition defences. Their performances could tip the tie.

The “hot stat”? England have rapped in 11 goals in their last five matches, making them the deadliest attack left in the tournament. That’s a frightening proposition for any back four!

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Sweden (w) vs England (w) prediction

On paper, England edge the bookmakers’ prediction at 43 percent to Sweden’s 28 percent, and the Three Lionesses’ firepower supports that optimism. Given their attacking fluency—scoring 6 against Wales and bagging 4 past the Netherlands—they look well-poised to break down even Sweden’s steadfast line. However, Sweden exudes outstanding recent form, unbeaten in their last 10 games and conceding just once in their previous four.

The blend of England’s attacking verve and Sweden’s sturdy, well-organised defence points towards a closely fought battle, likely decided by a moment of brilliance or a defensive lapse. England’s comparatively high pass accuracy (1324 passes in last five games at a striking success rate) paves the way for fluid transitions, while Sweden’s more direct approach—averaging more shots and interceptions but conceding a few more fouls—suggests they’ll hustle and harry, looking for transitions and set-piece opportunities.

Yellow cards have been scarce (one apiece in the last five), and both sides show discipline, but Sweden’s 35 fouls could invite danger against England’s set-piece specialists. Expect a midfield chess match, with tactical flexibility dictating each team’s fortunes.

Team Analysis

Sweden (w) recent matches: Peter Gerhardsson’s squad have looked composed and ruthless, dispatching Germany 4-1 in arguably their most impressive outing of the tournament so far—clinical finishing from Blackstenius and Rolfö, combined with a defensive unit marshalled by Eriksson and Björn, proved too much for their rivals. Prior to that, they breezed past Poland (3-0) and Denmark (1-0), underlining an ability to see off both gritty and technical sides. Particularly with 21 interceptions and a sturdy 849 passes completed in their last five, Sweden’s blend of energy and control could spell trouble for England’s back line.

England (w) recent matches: Sarina Wiegman’s England are coming off a storming 6-1 victory against Wales, reaffirming their position as tournament favourites. This was preceded by a humbling 4-0 win over a strong Netherlands side, and a narrow but instructive 2-1 defeat to France, exposing some defensive vulnerabilities. Statistically, England have shown a penchant for pressing high and transitioning quickly, with 19 fouls (far more disciplined than Sweden), and have racked up an impressive 1324 accurate passes, highlighting their technical superiority. But, with only one yellow card and very few offsides in their game, their discipline and shape may be their greatest assets in a tense quarterfinal.

Pre-game odds and win probability: England the favourite

• Moneyline Sweden (w) 3.30 | England (w) 2.26
• Draw 3.32
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.99 | Under 2.5 1.89
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.82 | No 1.91

The bookmakers clearly see England (w) as the slight favourites here, reflecting their recent scoring exploits and higher world profile. However, the odds on Sweden (w) are notably generous when factoring in their unbeaten run and defensive solidity. With both sides showing attacking intent and a discipline that reduces set-piece threats, backing England with insurance (Draw No Bet) or expecting goals at both ends offers the best value.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Sweden (w) possible starting eleven

• GK: Jennifer Falk
• DF: Nathalie Björn, Jonna Andersson, Magdalena Eriksson, Linda Sembrant
• MF: Filippa Angeldal, Hanna Bennison, Julia Zigiotti Olme
• FW: Fridolina Rolfö, Stina Blackstenius, Kosovare Asllani

This XI combines defensive regularity and attacking quality: with Falk between the sticks and Eriksson marshaling the back line, Sweden have a reliable base. In midfield, Angeldal pulls the strings (averaging 148 passes over last three), while Asllani’s creative threat is vital. Expect them to line up in their tried-and-true 4-3-3 formation with Blackstenius and Rolfö leading the charge.

England (w) possible starting eleven

• GK: Hannah Hampton
• DF: Alex Greenwood, Leah Williamson, Lucy Bronze, Niamh Charles
• MF: Keira Walsh, Georgia Stanway, Ella Toone
• FW: Lauren James, Alessia Russo, Lauren Hemp

Wiegman’s side should keep faith in the dynamic 4-3-3 that’s served them well. Hampton’s commanding presence in goal, ably shielded by a defensive quartet bolstered by Williamson’s distribution, should provide a sturdy platform. Up top, Russo’s guile and James’ burgeoning status as a genuine game-changer make England fluently dangerous. Keep an eye on Stanway’s runs from deep and Toone’s playmaking ability, both are likely to carve out opportunities.

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My take on the Match

After weighing the stats, form, and tournament pedigree, my main pick is England (w) Draw No Bet. England’s attack is hitting its stride, but Sweden’s unyielding defence and tactical astuteness make this a fascinatingly balanced contest. Expect goals—both sides have a plethora of attacking talent, and neither is shy in front of goal. In all likelihood, this will be end-to-end, defined by quality in the final third. Yet, when push comes to shove, England seem to have that extra gear, spearheaded by the likes of Lauren James. The Three Lionesses look set for a semi-final berth, but this one could go right to the wire.

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