The CONCACAF qualification journey for the FIFA World Cup 2026 intensifies as St. Vincent Grenadines host Anguilla in a pivotal Round 2 Group F clash at the historic Arnos Vale Ground in Kingstown. Kick-off is scheduled for 02:00 CEST on June 5, 2025, setting the stage for a matchup between two Caribbean sides seeking their first points in this qualifying campaign.
St. Vincent Grenadines come into this match with a renewed sense of purpose under coach Ezra Hendrickson, aiming to build on a positive recent run that included a convincing 3-0 victory over St. Kitts and Nevis. Their blend of defensive organization and direct play makes them favourites against an Anguilla squad that has struggled for form.
Led by coach Keith Jeffrey, Anguilla’s team has yet to score in this group and has conceded heavily, notably suffering a 0-12 goal differential after just two matches. With both teams looking to ignite their qualification hopes, expect a contest defined by contrasting styles and individual moments of brilliance.
Two key players to watch: For St. Vincent Grenadines, the attacking flair of Cornelius Stewart—who has proven his credentials with key goals in recent matches—will trouble the Anguillan back line. On the Anguilla side, experienced midfielder Germain Hughes is central to their playmaking and transition game, and will be vital if the away side hopes to create any scoring opportunities.
The “hot stat”: St. Vincent Grenadines are unbeaten in their last three matches (two wins, one draw), highlighting a surge in form at a critical juncture in qualification.
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St. Vincent Grenadines vs Anguilla predictions
Me best bet: St. Vincent Grenadines -2.5 (Handicap Win).
Given the stark difference in form and recent results, St. Vincent Grenadines have both the attacking power and defensive stability to dominate Anguilla, who are coming off a pair of heavy defeats. The home advantage at Arnos Vale Ground further consolidates their superiority, making a clear victory likely. Expect a match controlled by St. Vincent, with a disciplined setup in midfield and penetration on the flanks.
St. Vincent Grenadines tend to play with a composure that is evident in their limited disciplinary issues—averaging fewer yellow cards—and their control in midfield is reflected in higher pass completion rates. Anguilla, by contrast, have displayed vulnerability in defense, high foul counts, and lapses in focus, contributing to their heavy goal concessions. Expect tempo and ball possession to favour the home side, reducing Anguilla’s opportunities to threaten on the counter.
- ⚽Total Goals: Over 3.5
- 💥Both Teams To Score: No
- 🎯Total Corners: Over 7.5
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St. Vincent Grenadines vs Anguilla Most recent H2Hs
| Statistic | St. Vincent Grenadines | Anguilla |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 7 | 3 |
| Total shots | 15 | 8 |
| Free kicks | 19 | 14 |
| Corner kicks | 8 | 6 |
| Total fouls | 10 | 17 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 74 | 59 |
| Interceptions | 22 | 18 |
| Offsides | 3 | 2 |
Historically, encounters between these two teams have been lopsided, with St. Vincent Grenadines regularly dictating the pace and exploiting Anguilla’s defensive fragilities. In the previous meetings, St. Vincent’s superior passing accuracy and moderate foul count have contrasted Anguilla’s reactive, sometimes desperate defending. These trends are expected to persist until Anguilla find tactical stability.
🚨Read our full St. Vincent Grenadines vs Anguilla stats for more analysis.
Key Stats
- St. Vincent Grenadines are unbeaten in their last three matches (2 wins, 1 draw).
- Anguilla have conceded 12 goals in their last 2 group matches, the highest in Group F.
- St. Vincent Grenadines have averaged 2.5 goals in their previous 4 home matches.
- Anguilla have failed to score in 5 of their last 7 away matches.
- St. Vincent Grenadines’ pass completion rate in their last 5 matches is 74 percent.
St. Vincent Grenadines vs Anguilla score prediction: 4-0
Given the attacking impetus of St. Vincent Grenadines—particularly with Cornelius Stewart expected to be a focal point—the home side should break down Anguilla’s low-energy defense repeatedly. Anguilla have struggled for creative output and will likely be pegged back deep in their half, relying on sporadic breaks that have rarely yielded goals. Expect a comprehensive victory, potentially featuring multiple scorers for the home side.
Pre-game odds and win probability: St. Vincent Grenadines the favourite
- Moneyline St. Vincent Grenadines 1.05 | Anguilla 22.00
- Draw 9.70
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.26 | Under 2.5 3.60
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 3.70 | No 1.17
Bookmakers decisively back St. Vincent Grenadines, as evidenced by ultra-low odds and an 82 percent implied win probability. Anguilla enter as clear outsiders with little market backing. The value is on handicap markets or goal lines, considering the noticeable gulf in form and squad quality, as well as the attacking firepower St. Vincent have displayed in recent outings.
St. Vincent Grenadines vs Anguilla Over/Under Analysis
- St. Vincent Grenadines have exceeded 2.5 total goals in three of their last four matches.
- Anguilla have conceded over 3 goals in each of their last two matches in this group.
- Both teams have rarely produced BTTS outcomes in recent head-to-heads.
- Under markets might only appeal if St. Vincent opt to rotate heavily, but the trend favours over 3.5 goals.

Anguilla. Source: Official Website
St. Vincent Grenadines Preview
Recent results suggest St. Vincent Grenadines are growing in confidence, with a 3-0 win over St. Kitts and Nevis serving as a display of their tactical evolution under Ezra Hendrickson. Offensively, they combine pace on the flanks with direct passing into the box, while defensively they press high and force turnovers. Their ability to control tempo and impose their shape was clear in their last outing, showcasing both technical quality and mental resilience, especially in the midfield third.
St. Vincent Grenadines possible starting eleven
- GK: Dwayne Sandy
- DF: Roy Richards, Azinho Solomon, Joel Quashie, Chad Millington
- MF: David Pitt, Chevin Andrews, Kamol Baird, Cornelius Stewart
- FW: Oalex Anderson, Nazir McBurnette
Anguilla Preview
Anguilla have found little joy in their recent fixtures, losing their last three matches and conceding a barrage of goals. Their defense has proven fragile, and offensive transitions have failed to materialize into sustained pressure or scoring chances. Coach Keith Jeffrey has rotated personnel in hopes of discovering a cohesive unit, but with only one win in their last five matches, optimism is thin. Discipline, shape, and minimizing early goals will be priorities against a superior St. Vincent side.
Anguilla possible starting eleven
- GK: Ryan Liddie
- DF: Alvinci Simon, Quincy James, Kahim Richardson, Yetwan Odlum
- MF: Germain Hughes, Marz Isaac, Joshua Gumbs, Njal Charles
- FW: Jermaine Lake, Kevon Smith
Our prediction: Who Wins?
As a TipsGG team expert, my main pick is a commanding win for St. Vincent Grenadines, likely by three or more goals. The technical and tactical maturity of the home side, combined with Anguilla’s defensive frailties, point toward a comfortable outing for St. Vincent. Expect swift attacking transitions and a high pressing line to yield early breakthroughs. Our dedicated AI prediction engine assigns St. Vincent Grenadines an 82 percent chance of victory, with a minimal possibility for either a draw or Anguilla upset.

St. Vincent Grenadines. Source: Official Website
How to watch St. Vincent Grenadines vs Anguilla
- When? 05.06.2025, 02:00 CEST
- Where? Arnos Vale Ground, Kingstown
- How to watch: Check regional sports channels and official CONCACAF streaming platforms.
- Favorite: St. Vincent Grenadines
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