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Colombia host Chile at the Olímpico Pascual Guerrero in Cali in a November International Friendly. Néstor Lorenzo’s side enter as strong favourites, while Nicolás Córdova’s Chile arrive with a patchy run and a leaky backline. Both sides have won half of their matches this year, but Colombia have the cleaner recent output.
Hot stat: Chile have conceded in four of their last five matches, shipping 10 goals in that span. Their defence will face a Colombia attack that has scored in four of its last five outings.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Friendly 2026 (November) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali |
| 🗓️ Date: | 14.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 02:00 CEST |
Colombia vs Chile prediction
We predict Colombia to win and the match to produce over 2.5 goals. Colombia carry the stronger form, with two wins in their last five and a 2-0 win over Peru in their most recent outing. Chile’s defence has conceded at least once in four of five games, and Colombia have scored in four of five. Colombia to win and over 2.5 goals offers better value than a straight home win at short odds, because Chile’s recent matches have produced plenty of goals at both ends.
Colombia prefer controlled possession and patient build-up through midfield. Chile tend to play with more directness and push players forward quickly, which leaves gaps behind their full-backs. We expect Colombia to exploit those spaces in transition, and perhaps to create the bulk of the chances through the wide areas. Chile’s willingness to commit numbers forward also means goals at both ends are likely, which supports the over 2.5 selection and a both-teams-to-score lean.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Colombia to win and over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
Team Analysis
Colombia have won 6 of their 12 matches this year, and their last five results show two wins, two defeats and one draw. Their most recent match ended in a 2-0 win over Peru, a performance built on control and clean finishing. The defeat to Paraguay (0-1) and the 3-4 loss to Switzerland show that Colombia can still leave gaps, particularly when they concede early. To be honest, their attacking output has been more reliable than their defensive shape, and that trend should carry into this fixture.
Chile have won 3 of their 6 matches this year, but their recent form is less convincing with three defeats in their last five. Their latest result was a 2-0 win over Mexico, which showed they can create chances against higher-rated opposition. The 4-1 defeat to New Zealand and the 2-4 loss to the USA highlight a defence that struggles to hold its shape for the full match. We expect that weakness to matter against a Colombia side that scores regularly.
🚨Check out our dedicated Colombia vs Chile stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Colombia the favourite
- Moneyline Colombia 1.42 | Chile 7.70
- Draw 4.70
Bookmakers price Colombia at around 66% to win, which matches the market’s view of a clear home advantage. The best available price on Colombia sits at 1.42, and that is short enough to make a straight win bet unattractive. Chile at 7.70 carries a meaningful upset price, but their recent defensive numbers do not justify backing them at that level. The draw at 4.70 looks fair given Colombia’s modest margin in recent results, but we prefer the goals angle over a stalemate.
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Chile. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We back Colombia to win and the match to go over 2.5 goals. Colombia’s home edge, steady attacking returns and a 2-0 win over Peru in their latest outing make them the more reliable side. Chile have scored in four of five matches, so we expect them to find the net, but their defence has conceded in four of the last five games and will struggle to contain Colombia’s attacks for 90 minutes. Both teams to score is a sound secondary angle to support the goals-based selection.
