St. Patricks vs Drogheda Prediction: 12 June 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division

St. Patricks welcome Drogheda to Richmond Park in a League of Ireland Premier Division fixture that carries real weight in the table. Stephen Kenny’s side sit third with 32 points from 19 games, firmly in the mix for a top-two finish. Drogheda, on the other hand, are eighth with 21 points and have been inconsistent all season, managing only six wins from 22 matches. The interesting angle here is that both teams have struggled for form recently, with St. Patricks picking up just one win in their last six outings.

Two players to keep an eye on: Kian Leavy in midfield for St. Patricks has been one of the more active presences in the final third, leading the team in shots and free kicks over the last five games. For Drogheda, Mark Doyle stands out with two goals and seven shots in his last four appearances, and he is the most likely source of danger for the visitors.

Hot stat: Drogheda have scored six goals in their last five matches compared to St. Patricks’ zero, making the visitors surprisingly the more potent attacking side in recent weeks despite their inferior league position.

St. Patricks vs Drogheda Prediction

The head-to-head record is a major factor here. St. Patricks have won the last two meetings this season, 3-1 and 4-1, and have dominated this fixture across 2024 and 2025 as well. At home, they carry a clear structural advantage. Despite their recent scoring drought, Richmond Park has consistently been a difficult place for Drogheda to get anything from.

We predict St. Patricks to win this match. Their season-long win rate of 55% compared to Drogheda’s 27% reflects a significant quality gap. Drogheda’s last five games have been chaotic, conceding freely and picking up 12 yellow cards, which signals a team under pressure and prone to mistakes. St. Patricks’ 24 fouls across five games compared to Drogheda’s 45 tells a similar story: Kenny’s side play with more discipline and structure.

Drogheda’s pass accuracy sits at just 621 out of 1091 passes in recent games, a notably poor ratio that suggests they struggle to build play consistently. St. Patricks, with 967 accurate passes from 1217, control the ball far more efficiently. That possession advantage at home should allow St. Patricks to dictate the tempo.

Corners are worth watching. St. Patricks have generated 14 corners in five matches, and Drogheda have surrendered chances regularly from set pieces this season. We lean toward over on corners in this fixture.

Team Analysis

St. Patricks have had a frustrating run of results lately. Their last five league games produced a single win, two draws, and two defeats, with zero goals scored across all five. The 4-1 win over Waterford United on matchday 16 now feels like a distant memory. Losses to Shamrock Rovers (0-1) and Shelbourne (0-1) and a goalless draw with Derry City highlight a team that has gone cold in front of goal. Joseph Anang has been the busier of the two goalkeepers in the squad, making nine saves across three appearances. Defensively, Sean Hoare and Joe Redmond have been solid, but the attacking unit has produced almost nothing of note in recent weeks.

Drogheda arrive in mixed form but have at least been scoring. Their 3-3 draw with Waterford United in their most recent match was a chaotic affair that summed up their season: capable of attacking but unable to hold a lead. A 1-2 loss to Bohemians and another defeat to Waterford United (1-2) in the middle of their recent run show a team that concedes too easily. Shane Farrell and Ryan Brennan have contributed goals recently, and Mark Doyle leads the team’s attacking output with seven shots in four games. Kevin Doherty’s side have accumulated 45 fouls in five matches, the most of any team in this preview, and their discipline remains a concern heading into Richmond Park.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

St. Patricks have been dominant in this fixture over the past two seasons. Four of the last eight meetings ended 0-0, but the two most recent clashes this year produced high-scoring St. Patricks wins. The bookmakers consistently favour Drogheda less than 30% in most of these matchups, and the results have reflected that.

🚨Check out our dedicated St. Patricks vs Drogheda stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: St. Patricks the Favourite

• Moneyline St. Patricks 1.33 | Drogheda 8.32
• Draw 4.50
• Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —

The odds paint a clear picture. St. Patricks at around 1.33 reflect their strong home record and overall season quality. To be honest, the value on a Drogheda win at 8.00 or higher is almost entirely speculative given their form and the head-to-head record. The draw at 4.50 is perhaps the only alternative worth considering if you believe St. Patricks’ attacking drought continues, though even then, the home side’s structural advantages make a draw unlikely. The St. Patricks win at 1.33 is short, but it aligns with the data across the board.

Possible Starting Lineups

St. Patricks Possible Starting Eleven

Stephen Kenny is likely to set up in a 4-2-3-1, consistent with recent selections. Joseph Anang gets the nod in goal based on playing time, with Joe Redmond and Sean Hoare forming the central defensive partnership. Jamie Lennon and Christopher Forrester anchor the midfield, while Kian Leavy is the player to watch from an attacking midfield role. He has been St. Patricks’ most active creator in the last five matches and will need to rediscover his best to break down a stubborn Drogheda defensive block. Ryan Edmondson leads the line, with Zachary Elbouzedi providing width and movement off the ball.

Drogheda Possible Starting Eleven

Kevin Doherty will likely mirror the 4-2-3-1 shape that Drogheda have used consistently. Fynn Talley starts in goal after racking up 14 saves in four appearances. The back four picks itself, with Conor Kane and Edwin Agbaje being the two most used defenders. Brandon Kavanagh has two assists in four games and is Drogheda’s most creative outlet in midfield. Mark Doyle is the one to watch in attack: two goals, seven shots, and the most individual threat Drogheda carry going forward. Shane Farrell will likely press aggressively from midfield, though his five yellow cards and five fouls in recent games suggest he is a disciplinary risk at Richmond Park.

🏅Tips.GG Premium Subscription Brings You Even Closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

TipsGG Match Prediction

St. Patricks have the better squad, the better home record, and a clear head-to-head advantage over Drogheda. Their recent scoring form is a concern, but Drogheda’s defensive record, 32 goals conceded in 19 league games, gives reason to believe the hosts will eventually find a way through.

Drogheda’s 45 fouls and 12 yellow cards in five games suggest they will be stretched and reactive at Richmond Park, and a disciplined St. Patricks midfield should exploit that. We predict a St. Patricks win, with the match staying under 2.5 goals given the hosts’ recent defensive solidity and the visitors’ inconsistent build-up play. The “St. Patricks to win to nil” tip at around 2.00 or better represents the best value angle in this fixture.

More Useful Links for Football Fans

• Gamble Responsibly
• Best Football Betting Websites
• How to Bet On Sports
• Sports Betting Glossary
• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current Football Tournaments
• Football Betting Guide by Tips.GG