Alex MacQuoid
Saint Mirren and Partick Thistle meet at Brann Stadion on the 25th of May with both sides locked at five points in a tense relegation phase. A neutral venue, Bergen, adds another layer to this already unpredictable matchup. Neither club has found steady form, but there’s an edge of desperation in the air—only one can claw clear of the bottom. For Saint Mirren, Killian Phillips emerges as a livewire in midfield, bagging three goals in his last six matches. Partick Thistle’s Aidan Fitzpatrick looks equally influential with two goals and an assist recently, his energy making him a nuisance for defenders. This match isn’t about beautiful football, it’s about survival.
Hot stat: In their last five games, Saint Mirren racked up a huge 2,759 passes—nearly double Partick Thistle’s 1,518. Ball retention might swing things.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Scottish Premiership 2025/26 Relegation Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 25.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Saint Mirren vs Partick Thistle prediction
We think the best value pick is a draw. Both teams are locked in mediocrity—Saint Mirren have only one win in their last six, Partick Thistle have been nearly impossible to beat but not good enough to win regularly. Looking at the stats, both have drawn two of their last three head-to-heads. Neither is consistent in attack, but neither collapses easily either.
Saint Mirren’s pass-heavy game doesn’t translate into goals; their finishing is often blunt. Partick Thistle play a little more directly, often relying on counterattacks and individual moments from Fitzpatrick and Chalmers. Foul counts suggest a physical, sometimes scrappy game—Saint Mirren committed 68 fouls in five matches, Thistle 48. Bookings are moderate (Saint Mirren 9 yellows, Thistle just 4) which means aggression but not reckless abandon. Expect a match that bogs down in midfield, full of interruptions and turnovers, especially with both sides desperate to avoid mistakes.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Under 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | 0-2 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 10.5 |
Team Analysis
Saint Mirren’s last game was a 1-1 draw with Partick Thistle. The story? Saint Mirren dominated the ball but struggled to create clear chances. Defensive lapses have haunted them this phase, and even when they get ahead, they rarely press the advantage. Mark O’Hara and Allan Campbell put in the work but can’t always shield a shaky back line. The 4-4-1-1 often leaves Mandron isolated and goals come rarely. Their previous run—a 1-1 with Dundee United, a win over Aberdeen, and a heavy loss to Kilmarnock—shows a team that can look disciplined or unravel, almost at random.
Partick Thistle’s unbeaten streak in this phase is built more on resilience than flair. Their last outing, again the 1-1 against Saint Mirren, summed up their season: spells of tidy passing, but mostly scrapping for every ball. They mix up their play with a 3-1-4-2 that can quickly become defensive if things get tense. Fitzpatrick pops up in the right places, but Thistle’s goal threat is unpredictable. Before that draw, a narrow 2-1 win over Dunfermline and another 1-1 showed they rarely get blown away but also struggle to kill off games.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Saint Mirren | Partick Thistle |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2 |
| Total shots | 15 | 13 |
| Free kicks | 15 | 13 |
| Corner kicks | 7 | 8 |
| Total fouls | 20 | 14 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 73 | 67 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 11 |
| Offsides | 3 | 4 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Saint Mirren vs Partick Thistle stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Saint Mirren the favourite
- Moneyline Saint Mirren 1.77 | Partick Thistle 4.60
- Draw 3.75
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.20 | Under 2.5 1.65
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.80
Bookmakers make Saint Mirren the favourite but not a runaway one. Odds for Thistle are tempting, but their lack of attacking intent holds us back. The draw sits at 3.75—generous, given these teams’ struggle to win. Over 2.5 goals is priced higher, reflecting the expectation of a tight match. Both teams to score? Maybe, but don’t expect fireworks. Under 2.5 looks safest. We don’t see either team running away with it.
Partick Thistle. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Saint Mirren possible starting eleven
- GK: Ross Sinclair
- DF: Marcus Fraser, Scott Tanser, Miguel Freckleton, Richard King
- MF: Allan Campbell, Mark O’Hara, Killian Phillips, Alexander Gogić
- FW: Mikael Mandron, Jake Young
This lineup draws from the most consistent appearances—Sinclair always starts in goal, and Freckleton leads the back line with reliability. King and Tanser complete a defense that, while not always sturdy, gets the nod through sheer match involvement. Campbell and O’Hara will anchor midfield, with Phillips providing a real goal threat from deep. Mandron, despite few goals, stays up front for his hold-up play; Young gets the nod for energy. The 4-4-1-1 will likely remain, though Phillips could push forward in possession.
Partick Thistle possible starting eleven
- GK: Josh Clarke
- DF: Lee Ashcroft, Cale Loughrey, Luke Mcbeth
- MF: Aidan Fitzpatrick, Robbie Crawford, Tony Watt, Ben Stanway, Gary Mackay Steven, Cammy Logan
- FW: Logan Chalmers
Clarke stands firm between the posts, Ashcroft and Loughrey provide defensive steel, and Mcbeth brings mobility. The midfield is a blend—Fitzpatrick and Stanway offer threat, Watt drops deeper to link play, and Mackay Steven can stretch the field. Chalmers has a knack for late runs into the box. This is likely to be a 3-1-4-2 morphing into a five-man midfield as needed. Fitzpatrick is the real spark; his ability to draw fouls and break lines matters here.
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Saint Mirren. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Saint Mirren and Partick Thistle both stumble into this match desperate, not dangerous. We think the draw offers the best value, with both sides likely to cancel each other out. Low-scoring, lots of niggly fouls, and not much separating the teams on the pitch. Maybe a moment of magic from Fitzpatrick or Phillips breaks the deadlock, but the stats scream parity. Our punters’ pick: 1-1 or 0-0, with neither side truly convincing as a winner.
