Levi Rothermund
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Rizespor welcome Trabzonspor to the Black Sea coast with two very different seasons on display. The hosts sit 12th, winless in their last three outings, while Trabzonspor arrive fourth in the table and riding a run that has produced four wins from five. Thomas Reis has got his side purring again after a shaky start, and honestly, this fixture looks lopsided on paper. There’s an interesting wrinkle though: Rizespor have scored just one goal across their last five matches combined, a number that says plenty about what Recep Uçar’s attack is up against this weekend.
Mohamed Salah has been a constant thorn for Trabzonspor’s opponents lately, contributing three goals and three assists across his last five appearances, and he tends to drift wide before cutting inside, which could stretch a Rizespor back line already low on confidence. On the home side, Qazim Laci stands out as practically the only creative spark Rizespor possess right now, the lone outfield player among regulars to find the net in recent weeks.
Hot stat: Trabzonspor have fired off 73 shots and scored 11 goals across their last five matches. Rizespor, in the same stretch, have managed just 34 shots and a single goal. That gap tells most of the story here.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Süper Lig 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize |
| 🗓️ Date: | 26.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:00 CEST |
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor prediction
We think Trabzonspor win this one, and probably without too much drama. Rizespor haven’t won in their last three games and sit without a victory in October so far. Trabzonspor, meanwhile, have won four of their last five and currently occupy fourth spot, just four points off top. The value, in our view, isn’t necessarily on the straight moneyline given how short it’s priced, but a Trabzonspor win combined with BTTS No looks like solid logic considering Rizespor’s goal drought.
Rizespor’s defensive setup leans on interceptions (25 across five games) rather than control, while Trabzonspor dominate possession and passing, completing roughly 84% of their attempts compared to a similar 84% accuracy for Rizespor despite far fewer total passes attempted (885 vs 2,292). Trabzonspor also picked up two red cards in their last five fixtures against only zero for Rizespor, so discipline might matter if the game gets stretched in the second half. Fouls sit at 51 for Trabzonspor versus 16 for Rizespor, suggesting the away side commits more physical contact when chasing the ball back, which could open set-piece opportunities for the hosts.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Trabzonspor to win & BTTS No |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Rizespor’s form has gone flat fast. Their last five results read loss, loss, draw, win, loss, and the most recent outing against Corum ended 1-2, a game where they conceded first and never really settled. Before that it was a heavy 0-3 defeat to Fenerbahce, followed by a scrappy 2-2 draw with Goztepe. The one bright spot was a 2-0 win over Eyupspor, but that came against a side rooted at the bottom of the table. In our preview of Corum vs Rizespor we backed the hosts to win comfortably and keep Rizespor scoreless, and the 1-2 result delivered the win part, though Rizespor did find the net themselves and spoiled the clean sheet angle.
Trabzonspor look like a completely different animal right now. Four wins and a single loss across their last five, including a composed 2-0 win over Hearts in Europe just days ago. That match followed a 2-0 league win over Besiktas and a 4-2 scramble against KuPs, so there’s goals at both ends when Trabzonspor play, but mostly in their favor. In our preview of Trabzonspor vs Hearts we called a convincing home win with the total goals pushing over 2.5, and the 2-0 scoreline confirmed the win while the goal tally stayed just under our number.
🚨Check out our dedicated Rizespor vs Trabzonspor stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Trabzonspor the favourite
- Moneyline Rizespor 3.50 | Trabzonspor 1.91
- Draw 3.82
The market leans heavily toward Trabzonspor, and bookmakers give them roughly a 49% chance of winning against 27% for Rizespor. That gap matches the form table pretty closely. We’d argue the draw price at close to 3.80 looks slightly generous given how stretched Rizespor have looked defensively, but backing the favourite outright at under 2.00 doesn’t offer much cushion either. Combining the win with BTTS No feels like the smarter route to get a bit more value out of this one.
Possible Starting Lineups
Rizespor possible starting eleven
- GK: Yahia Fofana
- DF: Modibo Sagnan, Zakaria Ariss, Mithat Pala, Siaka Bakayoko
- MF: Taylan Antalyalı, Qazim Laci, Ibrahim Olawoyin, Adedire Mebude, Emrecan Bulut
- FW: Ali Sowe
Recep Uçar should stick with the 4-2-3-1 that’s been his go-to shape in recent weeks. Qazim Laci sits just behind Ali Sowe and carries most of the creative burden, he’s the only regular attacker to actually score in the last five games. Modibo Sagnan and Zakaria Ariss anchor the back four and both log heavy minutes, so expect continuity there despite the poor results.
Trabzonspor possible starting eleven
- GK: Ahmet Yıldırım
- DF: Cenk Ozkacar, Wagner Pina, Samet Akaydin, Chibuike Nwaiwu
- MF: Fabio Henrique Tavares, Ozan Tufan, Tim Jabol-Folcarelli, Benjamin Bouchouari, Mohamed Salah
- FW: Franculino Gluda Dju
Thomas Reis has favored a 4-1-4-1 lately, with Fabio Henrique Tavares screening the back four while Ozan Tufan pushes forward. Franculino Gluda Dju leads the line with four goals in his last four appearances, and Mohamed Salah’s combination of goals and assists from the wide right role makes him the player most likely to decide this game on his own.
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Trabzonspor. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Trabzonspor should get the job done here, maybe not by a landslide, but comfortably enough given the gap in current form and squad depth. Rizespor’s attack has gone cold, just one goal in five matches, and that’s hard to turn around against a side conceding so little right now. We’re leaning Trabzonspor to win with BTTS No as the smarter angle over the straight moneyline, and wouldn’t be shocked to see something like a 0-2 or 1-2 final score. The corner count could run high too, both sides have shown a willingness to work the ball wide, so backing over on the corners market adds a reasonable side bet to the slip.
