Levi Rothermund
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Matchday 9 in the Bundesliga closes at the Red Bull Arena, where fourth-placed RB Leipzig host an FC Augsburg side sitting 10th. History points one way. Across the last four league meetings Leipzig have outscored Augsburg 12-1, winning 4-0, drawing once, winning 6-0 and winning 2-1. The wrinkle worth knowing: Leipzig are the only club in the division without a single draw this season, five wins and three defeats from eight, and every recent defeat came against Champions League calibre opponents rather than domestic ones.
Two players shape this fixture more than most. Antonio Nusa has two goals and four assists in his last five matches for Leipzig and creates chaos from the left half-space. For Augsburg, Rodrigo Ribeiro has three goals in five appearances and carries their main attacking threat. The hot stat sits with the visitors, oddly enough: Augsburg have attempted 102 shots across their last five matches, 35 more than Leipzig managed in the same stretch.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Bundesliga 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Red Bull Arena, Leipzig |
| 🗓️ Date: | 07.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:30 CEST |
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg prediction
We’re backing RB Leipzig to win, and we expect goals while it happens. The straight home win trades around 1.45, short but justified against a side with one victory in six. The smarter route is folding the win together with goals: Leipzig have 22 league goals from eight games, bettered only by Bayern, while Augsburg have scored 18 and conceded 15. Their matches rarely stay quiet. Five straight Augsburg fixtures have produced three goals or more, including a 2-2 draw with Bayern and a wild 3-4 loss at Elversberg. Our predicted scoreline is 3-1 to the hosts.
Style matters here too. Leipzig commit 13.6 fouls per game with nine yellow cards in five matches, noticeably more aggressive than Augsburg’s 10.4 fouls and seven bookings. Augsburg rack up 62 interceptions to Leipzig’s 42, which hints at a deeper block that breaks up play and then shoots, often from distance through Arijon Ibrahimovic and Michael Gregoritsch, 14 attempts each. Passing volume is almost identical, 2,329 passes for Leipzig against 2,362 for Augsburg, at 83% and 82% accuracy. Expect Leipzig to control territory while Augsburg absorb and counter. A low foul count from the visitors should keep the game flowing, and that suits Leipzig’s transition speed. Three or four bookings feels about right.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | RB Leipzig to win & both teams to score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Leipzig’s fortnight splits neatly in two. Midweek brought a 2-3 defeat to Manchester City, a painful but familiar kind of loss, preceded by wins over Schalke (2-0), RW Essen (2-1) and Elversberg (4-0) inside ten days. Before that, Real Madrid left with a 4-1 victory. The pattern is stark: German opponents get beaten, European giants do the beating. Martin Demichelis runs a 3-4-2-1 that has produced 11 goals in five matches, with Christoph Baumgartner and Rômulo on three goals each and Nusa mixing creation into every game. In our preview of RB Leipzig vs Manchester City we called a City win with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals, and the 2-3 result delivered it.
Augsburg arrive with one win from their last six. The most recent outing ended 1-2 at home to Freiburg, a deflating result after the morale boost of taking a point off Bayern Munich in a 2-2 thriller. A 3-4 defeat at Elversberg showed both faces of this team, generous at the back and dangerous going forward, while a 4-2 cup win over Grossaspach kept spirits from sinking entirely. Manuel Baum’s 4-2-3-1 leans on Fabian Rieder’s passing and Hennes Behrens’ four assists from deep, with Ibrahimovic firing volume shots whenever space opens. Honestly, the defence is the problem: 15 league goals conceded already. In our preview of FC Augsburg vs Freiburg we backed Freiburg to edge a three-goal game with both teams scoring, and the 1-2 scoreline delivered it.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
The last four league meetings read 4-0 in September 2024, a goalless draw in February 2025, 6-0 last October and 2-1 in March 2026, all in Leipzig’s favour. That goalless draw is the only game in this series Augsburg have taken anything from in years, and the aggregate sits at 12-1.
| Statistic | RB Leipzig | FC Augsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 11 | 11 |
| Total shots | 67 | 102 |
| Free kicks | 67 | 49 |
| Corner kicks | 24 | 28 |
| Total fouls | 68 | 52 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 83% | 82% |
| Interceptions | 42 | 62 |
| Offsides | 11 | 9 |
🚨Check out our dedicated RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: RB Leipzig the favourite
- Moneyline RB Leipzig 1.45 | FC Augsburg 5.60
- Draw 5.10
The market makes Leipzig roughly a 67-69% chance at 1.44 to 1.47 across the major books, with the consensus model at 65%. That is a fair price rather than a generous one. Augsburg drift between 5.25 and 5.80 depending on the book, and the draw sits around 5.10, which reflects how rarely this fixture ends level, four meetings without a shared points split since the February 2025 stalemate. Goals markets carry the real value this weekend given both attacks are outproducing their defensive work, so we’d rather build a combo around the home win than pay full price for it alone.
Possible Starting Lineups
RB Leipzig possible starting eleven
- GK: Maarten Vandevoordt
- DF: Willi Orbán, Castello Lukeba, Ridle Baku
- MF: David Raum, Nicolas Seiwald, Neil El Aynaoui, Benjamin Henrichs
- FW: Christoph Baumgartner, Antonio Nusa, Rômulo
Vandevoordt keeps goal with ten saves across his five starts, ahead of the Orbán-Lukeba axis. Raum and Henrichs operate as wing-backs in Demichelis’ 3-4-2-1, with Seiwald and El Aynaoui screening. Baumgartner and Nusa play off Rômulo, and that trio has produced eight goal contributions in five matches. Watch Nusa in particular; Tidiam Gomis, two goals from the bench role, is the likeliest rotation option.
FC Augsburg possible starting eleven
- GK: Finn Gilbert Dahmen
- DF: Seol Young-woo, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Juma Bah, Hennes Behrens
- MF: Han-Noah Massengo, Fabian Rieder, Anton Kade, Robin Fellhauer, Arijon Ibrahimovic
- FW: Rodrigo Ribeiro
Dahmen has been busy with 14 saves in five matches behind a back four anchored by Matsima’s 450 minutes and Gouweleeuw’s experience. Behrens’ delivery from the left is a genuine weapon, four assists in five. Rieder and Massengo form the pivot, with Kade, Fellhauer and Ibrahimovic supporting Ribeiro in Baum’s 4-2-3-1. Gregoritsch offers a physical alternative if Ribeiro misfires.
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FC Augsburg. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Everything points to a home win with goals attached. Leipzig have beaten every German side put in front of them recently, their 22 league goals trail only Bayern’s, and Augsburg’s defence has leaked 15 times in eight rounds against a schedule no harder than this one. The visitors can score, Ribeiro and Ibrahimovic see to that, but the 12-1 aggregate from the last four meetings tells you how this matchup tends to resolve. Our punters team expects RB Leipzig to win 3-1, with over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and the corner count clearing nine. Take the win-plus-BTTS combo as the main play and the straight 1.45 only in accumulators.
