Sofia Quijada
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Racing Santander welcome a Real Madrid side that has not lost since the final weekend of September. El Sardinero has rarely been a fortress this season, Racing sit 13th with a minus-11 goal difference, the second worst defensive record in the division behind only Getafe and Valencia. Mourinho’s side arrive on a five-match winning run that includes a statement victory over Barcelona, and their front four has scored at least two goals in every outing since early October. The gap in quality here is wide, but Racing’s home crowd and recent habit of scoring against bigger sides gives this fixture a bit of spice beyond the obvious scoreline prediction.
Watch Kylian Mbappé, who has scored 6 goals from 19 shots across Real Madrid’s last five matches, a strike rate that makes him the clearest individual threat on the pitch. For Racing, Yassir Zabiri has produced 2 goals in just 3 appearances recently and offers the hosts their best outlet on the counter.
Hot stat: Real Madrid have scored 15 goals in their last 5 matches, more than double Racing Santander’s 6 in the same span, while conceding just 6 themselves, a gulf that explains why bookmakers rate the visitors at roughly 75% to win this one.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2026/2027, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | El Sardinero, Santander |
| 🗓️ Date: | 01.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:15 CEST |
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid prediction
We predict a comfortable Real Madrid win, likely by two goals or more. Racing have conceded 26 times in 10 league matches, an average above 2.5 per game, and they are facing an attack that has found the net 15 times in its last five outings. Perhaps the only caveat is Real Madrid’s habit of easing off once a game is settled, which keeps the door open for a Racing consolation goal rather than a clean sheet for Courtois or Lunin.
Racing’s discipline numbers, 10 yellow cards and 44 fouls across their last five matches, suggest a side that competes physically without taking excessive risks in the tackle, which should limit set piece opportunities for Madrid somewhat. Real Madrid’s own 2658 passes at 88% accuracy over the same sample shows a team comfortable dictating tempo, and with 32 corners won in five games they should dominate territory throughout. That control, combined with Racing’s leaky back line, points toward a one-sided scoreline.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Real Madrid -1.5 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Racing Santander arrive off two straight wins, a 2-0 cup-style victory and a 2-1 league win over RCD Espanyol, but the two results before that, a 0-2 defeat to Osasuna and a 0-5 collapse against Celta Vigo, show how inconsistent this squad can be against sides with real quality. In our preview of Racing Santander vs RCD Espanyol we leaned toward an Espanyol edge with BTTS backed as the safer route, and the 2-1 scoreline went against our headline pick even though the BTTS angle landed. Racing’s defense has shipped multiple goals in three of their last five matches, a pattern that does not bode well against Madrid’s front line.
Real Madrid have won every single one of their last five matches, capped by a 2-1 win over Barcelona in El Clasico. In our preview of Barcelona vs Real Madrid we backed the hosts to edge it 3-2, and that call went against us since Madrid won 2-1 away from home. That result underlines how sharp Mourinho’s side currently look on the road, scoring freely against Leipzig, Sevilla and Roma as well, with four or more goals in three of those five fixtures.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Racing Santander and Real Madrid have no recent competitive meetings on record ahead of this fixture, Racing’s last promotion to La Liga has limited their top-flight encounters with the capital club.
🚨Check out our dedicated Racing Santander vs Real Madrid stats page for more info.
Racing Santander. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Real Madrid the favourite
- Moneyline Racing Santander 8.00 | Real Madrid 1.24
- Draw 6.00
The market leaves no doubt here, Real Madrid sit at around 1.24 with most books while Racing drifts past 8.00 across the board. That pricing matches the underlying form gap, five straight wins against one win in the last five for the hosts, and we see no value in fading the favourite given how comfortably Madrid have been scoring on the road.
Possible Starting Lineups
Racing Santander possible starting eleven
- GK: Julen Agirrezabala
- DF: Facundo González, Jorge Salinas Viadero, Pablo Ramon Parra, Jeanuël Belocian
- MF: Maguette Gueye, Íñigo Sáinz-Maza, Sergio Canales
- FW: Asier Villalibre, Yassir Zabiri, Iñigo Vicente
José Alberto López should stick with the 4-2-3-1 that has featured in all five recent matches. Canales pulls the strings behind Villalibre, while Zabiri’s recent scoring form earns him a place on the flank. Jorge Salinas Viadero has picked up three yellow cards in four games and will need to stay disciplined against Madrid’s quick forwards.
Real Madrid possible starting eleven
- GK: Andriy Lunin
- DF: Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konaté, Dean Huijsen, Marc Cucurella
- MF: Aurelien Tchouameni, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Arda Güler, Bernardo Silva
- FW: Kylian Mbappé
Mourinho’s 4-2-3-1 has produced 15 goals in five matches, and there is little reason to tinker. Güler’s 2 goals and 2 assists in that span make him a lively presence behind Mbappé, while Tchouameni and Camavinga shield a back line that has conceded just 6 times. Bellingham’s box-crashing habit, 18 free kicks won in five games, keeps opponents constantly defending.
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Real Madrid. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Real Madrid to win comfortably, perhaps 3-0 or 3-1, backed by their 15-goal output across the last five games against a Racing defense that has conceded 26 times in 10 league matches. Mbappé’s scoring touch combined with Madrid’s control of possession and corners should carry them past an El Sardinero crowd that will need something special to trouble Lunin’s goal. Racing’s own recent wins came against lower-rated opposition, and stepping up against a title contender of this caliber looks a step too far this weekend.
Read also: Racing Santander vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head: Record, Stats & Form as of 30 Oct 2026
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