Rafael Nogueira
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Platense welcome Fluminense RJ to Vicente López needing something close to a miracle. The first leg finished 2-0 for the Brazilian side, and a two-goal home deficit against a club sitting 63rd in the world rankings, well above Platense’s own 388th spot, is a steep mountain to climb. Martín Palermo’s men have won only one of their last five matches in all competitions, while Marcão’s Fluminense arrive with genuine European pedigree in South American football and a squad built around individual brilliance up front.
Hulk remains the man Platense’s defence fears most, four goals and three assists across his last five appearances, including a free-kick strike, make him the aggregate tie’s most dangerous weapon. On the other side, Guido Mainero is Platense’s most reliable outlet, the only home forward with a goal in his last five outings and the one player capable of unsettling a settled Fluminense back line.
Hot stat: Hulk has been directly involved in 7 goals from his last 5 games for Fluminense (4 goals, 3 assists), more than double Platense’s entire attacking output of 3 goals across their previous five matches combined.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Libertadores 2026 – Quarterfinals (2nd Leg) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, Florida, Argentina |
| 🗓️ Date: | 16.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:00 CEST |
Platense vs Fluminense RJ prediction
We predict Fluminense advance without needing to win the match outright. Platense’s recent form, no victories in five, three losses in that stretch, gives little confidence they can score the two or more goals required to force extra time, let alone the three needed for outright progression. Fluminense’s away form this year sits comfortably above 48% winrate, and a side that scored eleven goals across its last five matches only needs one away goal here to make the tie almost impossible for the hosts.
Platense foul more often (74 fouls in the sample against 58 for Fluminense) and have taken more cards, which points to a team likely to press aggressively and concede set-piece chances, an area where Fluminense’s Hulk and Yeferson Soteldo thrive. Fluminense’s superior pass accuracy and possession numbers suggest they can absorb early pressure and pick Platense off on the counter, perhaps even before halftime.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Fluminense RJ to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Platense’s last outing ended 1-2 against Estudiantes LP, continuing a run without a win, three losses and two draws in five, and confirming the defensive fragility that let Fluminense score twice in the first leg. Ignacio Vazquez and Víctor Cuesta have carried a heavy defensive workload, but the goals column tells the real story, only three scored across five matches with Guido Mainero the sole contributor with a goal from open play.
Fluminense’s most recent match brought a rare setback, a 1-3 defeat to Atlético Mineiro that snapped a run of good form. Even so, the wider picture stays strongly in their favour, four wins from their last seven games and a 48% winrate across the season, comfortably ahead of Platense’s mark. Hulk’s continued involvement in almost every goal gives Marcão a reliable route to another away score even on an off night for the rest of the squad.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Platense | Fluminense RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Platense vs Fluminense RJ stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Platense the favourite
- Moneyline Platense 2.57 | Fluminense RJ 2.70
- Draw 3.20
Bookmakers give Platense a narrow edge on the moneyline purely on home advantage, 36% to Fluminense’s 34% by the average market read, with the draw sitting at 30%. That price reflects the single match in isolation, not the aggregate tie, and it is worth remembering Fluminense only need a draw or a narrow home loss to go through. To be honest, the moneyline odds undersell how comfortable Fluminense’s position actually is.
Possible Starting Lineups
Platense possible starting eleven
- GK: Juan Cozzani
- DF: Ignacio Vazquez, Víctor Cuesta, Agustin Lagos, Tomás Silva
- MF: Martin Barrios, Gastón Togni, Franco Zapiola Yamartino
- FW: Kevin Retamar, Guido Mainero, Gonzalo Lencina
Palermo has stuck close to a 4-2-3-1 base with Guido Mainero leading the line as the only home forward with a goal contribution this run. Víctor Cuesta and Agustin Lagos anchor a back line that has leaked goals regularly, and Palermo will likely push Retamar and Lencina wide to stretch a Fluminense defence that has looked comfortable of late.
Fluminense RJ possible starting eleven
- GK: Fábio Deivson Lopes Maciel
- DF: Renê Rodrigues Martins, Julian Millan, Claudio Rodrigues Gomes, Thiago Silva
- MF: Gustavo Nonato Santana, Matheus Martinelli Lima, Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima, Yeferson Soteldo
- FW: Hulk, Kevin Serna
Marcão’s 4-4-2 leans on Hulk and Kevin Serna up top, with Soteldo drifting wide to create overloads and Gustavo Nonato Santana screening the back four. Every one of these outfield names has started or featured in all five recent matches, giving Marcão a settled group he trusts to protect a two-goal cushion away from home.
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Platense. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Fluminense RJ progress to the semifinal, either through a win or a share of the spoils that keeps the aggregate advantage intact. Platense’s inability to string wins together, no victory in five outings, works directly against the kind of urgent, controlled performance needed to chase down a two-goal deficit. Perhaps Platense manage an early goal at home to spark some belief, but Fluminense’s quality up front through Hulk, Serna and Soteldo should be enough to settle the tie comfortably by full time.
Read Also: CA Platense vs Fluminense Head-to-Head: Record, Stats & Form (Updated September 2026)
Read Also: CA Platense vs Fluminense – RJ: Predicted Line-ups, Confirmed Absentees & Team News
