Sofia Quijada
Peru women host Bolivia women at the Miguel Grau Stadium in Callao on June 10, 2026, in the final stretch of the CONMEBOL Liga de Naciones Femenina 2025/26 regular season. Peru sit 7th in the standings with 8 points from 7 games, while Bolivia occupy last place with a single point and a staggering -34 goal difference from 7 matches. Bolivia have conceded 36 goals across their six losses this season, making this a fixture where Peru will look to recover some momentum after a difficult campaign.
Peru’s midfielder core has been the engine keeping them competitive, and their passing accuracy of 91% in the last match against Argentina stands out as a sign of discipline under pressure. Bolivia’s Juana Mamani has been one of the few bright spots for her side, working hard to create chances in an otherwise overwhelmed squad. The hot stat heading into this match: Bolivia have been outscored 36-2 in their six losses this season, conceding an average of six goals per defeat.
| 🏆 Tournament: | CONMEBOL Liga de Naciones Femenina 2025/26, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Miguel Grau Stadium, Callao, Peru |
| 🗓️ Date: | 10.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:00 CEST |
Peru (w) vs Bolivia (w) prediction
Peru are heavy favourites here at 1.18-1.19 across bookmakers, and the data backs that up fully. Bolivia have lost all six of their losses by wide margins, and Peru at home have the quality and motivation to put on a convincing display. Peru’s 4-3-3 setup allows them to press high and exploit space behind Bolivia’s defensive line, which has proven porous throughout the tournament.
Peru’s form reads wllllllwlllwdld, which shows inconsistency, but against a Bolivia side that sits at lllllllllldllll, the gap in quality is clear. Peru average more shots, more interceptions, and their passing accuracy in their last game hit 91%. Bolivia recorded just 3 total shots in their last match and were outclassed by Paraguay 8-0. Peru’s 16 fouls last match suggests an aggressive pressing approach that should pay off against a side that struggles to hold possession.
Bolivia commit fewer fouls (12 vs 16), but their low interception count (5 vs 16) tells the real story: they struggle to win the ball back, and once Peru get going, it becomes difficult to stop them. We predict Peru to win this match comfortably, with multiple goals scored.
- Best bet: Peru (w) to win
- Value pick: Peru (w) to win by 2+ goals
- We predict Over 2.5 goals in this match
- Bolivia unlikely to score
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Peru (w) to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 5.5 |
Team Analysis
Peru’s most recent match was a 1-1 draw against Argentina on the same date as Bolivia’s last fixture, which reads as a respectable result given Argentina sit 2nd in the standings with 15 points. Prior to that, Peru lost 0-1 to Ecuador and drew 1-1 with Paraguay. Their only win in the last five came against Uruguay (2-1), and they also suffered a surprise 0-1 loss to El Salvador. Peru’s last-five stats show 1 goal scored, 8 total shots, 16 interceptions, and 91% pass accuracy, alongside a red card that could affect squad availability. Coach Conrad Flores will need a clean, disciplined performance to rebuild confidence heading into this fixture.
Bolivia’s last match was a catastrophic 0-8 loss to Paraguay, which mirrors their 0-8 defeat to Venezuela and a 0-8 loss to Argentina earlier in the campaign. Their sole point came from a 1-1 draw with Colombia, and their only goal outside of that draw came in a 1-2 loss to Uruguay. Bolivia managed just 3 shots, 5 interceptions, and 221 passes with a 139% pass accuracy figure in their last match, which suggests an inflated number from short-range circulation rather than progressive build-up. Coach Jeff Strasser’s side have shown no signs of turning the corner defensively, and their attacking output remains minimal.
🚨Check out our dedicated Peru (w) vs Bolivia (w) stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Peru (w) the favourite
- Moneyline Peru (w) 1.18-1.19 | Bolivia (w) 10.00-11.00
- Draw 5.75-5.90
The odds on Peru at 1.18-1.19 reflect the bookmakers’ 76% probability estimate, which is well justified by Bolivia’s record. The draw at 5.75-5.90 carries minimal value given Bolivia’s inability to hold results, and Bolivia at 10.00-11.00 is purely speculative given their -34 goal difference. To be honest, the Peru win market offers thin margins, so the better value sits in handicap or goals markets rather than the straight moneyline.
Possible Starting Lineups
Peru (w) possible starting eleven
- GK: Melissa Herrera
- DF: Eylin Bonilla, Claudia Flores, Adriana Lúcar, Danica Flores
- MF: Natalia Zevallos, Pierina Montoya, Shirley Vásquez
- FW: Milagros Segura, Gabriela Alcalde, Andrea Salas
Peru are expected to line up in their familiar 4-3-3 shape under Conrad Flores. The red card from the Argentina match may force one defensive change, so the backline could see a rotation. Milagros Segura leads the attack and will be the primary threat against a Bolivia side that concedes freely. The midfield trio of Zevallos, Montoya, and Vásquez should control the tempo and feed balls into the wide forwards.
Bolivia (w) possible starting eleven
- GK: Vanesa Arancibia
- DF: María Coca, Claudia Saucedo, Daniela Campos, Sofía Jiménez
- MF: Juana Mamani, Pamela Martínez, Lucía Alarcón
- FW: Erika Farfán, Graciela Magne, Valeria Gutiérrez
Bolivia also deploy a 4-3-3, though in practice it often collapses into a deeper defensive shape once they lose the ball. Vanesa Arancibia in goal will face a demanding afternoon and will be Bolivia’s busiest player. Juana Mamani in midfield remains their most capable ball-carrier and the one player who can potentially create something against Peru’s press. Jeff Strasser has few tactical options given the squad’s quality limitations, and Bolivia will likely focus on limiting the damage rather than chasing a result.
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Peru (w). Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Peru win this match. Bolivia have conceded 36 goals in six losses this season, averaging six per game against competitive sides. Peru, despite their inconsistent form, have the home advantage, a superior squad, and a clear tactical identity in the 4-3-3 that suits their pressing game. Their 16 interceptions and 91% pass accuracy in the last match show they can perform at a high level when motivated.
We predict Peru to win to nil, with three or more goals scored. Bolivia’s 3-shot output in their last game and their inability to hold possession in their own half makes a clean sheet for Peru a realistic outcome. Perhaps the most telling number is Bolivia’s goal difference of -34 from 7 games: no other side in the tournament comes close to that figure. Peru should claim all three points comfortably and perhaps push their goal difference into positive territory before the season closes.
