Rafael Nogueira
The Copa Verde 2026 Final returns to Belém for the second leg, with Paysandu Pa facing a steep mountain to climb. Anapolis won the first leg 3-1, meaning Paysandu need to score at least three goals without reply to lift the trophy at home. That kind of deficit in a cup final is rarely overturned, but Paysandu’s home record and 2026 win rate of 62% across 34 matches suggest they are capable of producing a strong performance. The key subplot here is whether Anapolis, who have won just 2 of their last 8 matches before the first leg, can hold their nerve in front of a hostile crowd at Estádio Leônidas Castro.
Two players worth tracking on the night: for Paysandu, coach Júnior Rocha will lean on whoever leads their attack to produce a multi-goal shift, as the team needs goals from the first whistle. For Anapolis, Jeff Strasser’s side will rely on their defensive organization, which conceded just once in three of their last five matches before the final, to protect their aggregate lead.
Hot stat: Anapolis scored 3 goals in the first leg and have shown the ability to shut opponents out, keeping clean sheets in three of five recent matches, including a 3-0 win over Rio Branco ES. That defensive solidity makes a Paysandu comeback even harder to engineer.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Verde 2026, Final (Second Leg) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estádio Leônidas Castro, Belém, Brazil |
| 🗓️ Date: | 07.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 23:30 CEST |
Paysandu Pa vs Anapolis Prediction
Paysandu Pa need to overturn a two-goal deficit on home soil. Their recent league form is strong, with six wins from their last ten matches, and the crowd at Estádio Leônidas Castro will push them forward from the first minute. The problem is that Anapolis have already shown they can score against this Paysandu side, and a single Anapolis goal effectively ends the tie as a contest.
We predict Paysandu will score, likely more than once given the attacking pressure they will need to apply, but Anapolis are disciplined enough to grab a goal on the counter. Both teams scoring is the natural outcome of a match where one side must attack and the other can sit deeper and exploit space. The total goals market leans toward the over given the open nature the game must take.
Paysandu’s recent matches show they are not shy in front of goal, posting wins of 4-2 and 2-1 in their last few outings. Anapolis, on the other hand, drew 0-0 with Maranhao and lost 0-2 to Rio Branco ES in their recent away days before the first leg, suggesting their best football comes in specific tactical setups. With Paysandu forced to commit men forward, Anapolis will find pockets of space.
Paysandu’s form over the last 30 days shows 6 wins, 3 losses, and 1 draw, which points to a team that can be beaten. Anapolis’ form of 2 wins, 3 losses, and 3 draws in the same period is modest, but they already have the cushion they need. Expect a high-tempo first half from Paysandu, with corners and set pieces playing a significant role as they look for any route back into the tie.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Anapolis to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Paysandu Pa enter this second leg having lost the first 1-3, a result that followed a 1-2 defeat to Figueirense in the Série C. That run of back-to-back losses is the first time they have lost consecutive matches since a dip earlier in the season. Before those two defeats, they strung together five straight wins, including a 4-2 victory over Nacional-AM and a 1-0 win in the reverse fixture against the same side. Their 2026 overall win rate of 62% from 34 matches is the strongest indicator that this is a quality squad, and at home they will be dangerous.
Anapolis arrive in Belém with the tie firmly in their hands. Their 3-1 win in the first leg was their best result in recent weeks, coming after a run that included a 0-0 draw with Maranhao, a 0-2 loss to Rio Branco ES, and a 0-1 defeat to Brusque. The 3-0 win over Rio Branco ES before that showed they can be clinical, but consistency has been their issue throughout the Copa Verde campaign. Jeff Strasser’s side have drawn three of their last eight, which suggests they are not averse to settling for a point when the situation calls for it. In a second leg where a draw is enough to win the cup, that mentality could prove decisive.
The two sides have met twice in 2026. Anapolis won the Copa Verde first leg 3-1, while Paysandu won the Série C encounter 2-1. Goals have featured in both meetings, with Paysandu scoring first in the league match before Anapolis turned the tables in the cup.
🚨Check out our dedicated Paysandu Pa vs Anapolis stats page for more info.
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Anapolis. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Paysandu Pa will throw everything at Anapolis from the opening minutes at Estádio Leônidas Castro, and the home crowd will be electric. Their 62% win rate across 34 matches in 2026 and a five-game winning streak before their recent dip confirm this is a team with real quality. A 2-1 or 3-1 home win in the 90 minutes is achievable, but Anapolis only need a draw on aggregate to claim the Copa Verde title.
Anapolis have the tactical discipline to absorb pressure, and their 3-1 first-leg win showed they can finish chances when they arrive. We predict Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals as the most reliable markets for this match. Perhaps the most honest assessment is that Anapolis lift the Copa Verde trophy despite losing the second leg on the night, with a 2-1 or 2-0 Paysandu win the most likely 90-minute result that still sees Anapolis advance on aggregate.
To be honest, backing Anapolis to score at least once away from home is the sharpest single-market bet available given the context of this tie.
