The Super League 1 2025/26 season continues with a highly-anticipated contest as Olympiacos host Atromitos at Karaiskakis Stadium in Piraeus. While Olympiacos are setting the pace at the top of the table, Atromitos aim to disrupt their rhythm and climb higher from 10th place. An intriguing subplot surrounds Olympiacos’s 4-2-3-1 setup, which has yielded attacking prowess, contrasting with Atromitos’s recent struggles away from home. Both sides will rely not only on their tactical frameworks but also the individual brilliance of players like Mehdi Taremi for Olympiacos and Makana Baku for Atromitos, who have stood out with their recent performances.
Among numerous key figures, keep an eye on Olympiacos’s in-form forward Ayoub El Kaabi, whose sharp finishing has produced 3 goals in the last four matches, and Atromitos’s versatile attacker Makana Baku, who is providing creative impetus even under challenging circumstances.
Notably, Olympiacos have recorded 5 wins in their last 7 matches (a 71% win rate in the past 30 days), underscoring their excellent recent form and firm status as league leaders.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Super League 1 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus |
| 🗓️ Date: | 22.11.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:00 CEST |
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Olympiacos vs Atromitos prediction
With Olympiacos entering this encounter on the back of an emphatic 5-0 win over Volos and maintaining an outright 70% win rate across this year, the hosts are rightfully strong favorites. Their fluid 4-2-3-1 formation has fostered both defensive solidity and attacking depth, evidenced by 23 goals scored in just 10 league matches. In contrast, Atromitos have struggled for consistency, managing just a single win from their last five outings. Backing Olympiacos with a -1.5 Asian Handicap offers significant value, considering the club’s relentless recent home form and Atromitos’s defensive concerns on the road.
Statistical insights reveal Olympiacos’s preference for high possession phases and progressive attacks, averaging 15 shots and over 60% possession per match recently. The hosts concede few set pieces and maintain strong discipline, reflected by only 9 yellow cards in their last 5 matches. Atromitos, meanwhile, face difficulties containing opposition pressure, reflected in 39 committed fouls and 22 corners conceded recently. Their backline faces an uphill battle against Olympiacos’s variety in the final third.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Olympiacos -1.5 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Olympiacos have been a dominant force in Greek football this season, combining efficient attacking transitions with a strong defensive spine. Their recent 3-1 triumph over Kifisia showcased clinical conversion and game management. In that match, Olympiacos controlled play, produced 16 shots, and maintained 88% passing accuracy, with key contributors such as Ayoub El Kaabi and Daniel Podence providing the creative spark. Notably, their defensive structure remains compact, conceding just 7 goals in 10 games — a testament to manager José Luis Mendilibar’s disciplined setup. Their progression under Mendilibar has clearly been built on a balance of aggression and control, validating their title credentials.
Atromitos, by contrast, have struggled for rhythm and consistency despite flashes of attacking promise. A 0-1 home defeat to Volos in their last game summarized their current struggles; possession was stilted and attacking phases lacked purpose. Athanasios Karamanis and Makana Baku continue to offer creativity, but the overall output (only 5 goals in the last 5 matches) and defensive lapses signal recurring issues for Dusan Kerkez’s squad. Atromitos tend to concede space in midfield and rely heavily on transitions, which can leave them vulnerable against more cohesive sides like Olympiacos.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Olympiacos | Atromitos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1 |
| Total shots | 31 | 14 |
| Free kicks | 21 | 17 |
| Corner kicks | 12 | 7 |
| Total fouls | 22 | 19 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 88 | 81 |
| Interceptions | 13 | 14 |
| Offsides | 5 | 2 |
🚨Read our full Olympiacos vs Atromitos stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Olympiacos the favourite
- Moneyline Olympiacos 1.13 | Atromitos 17.75
- Draw 8.00
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.55 | Under 2.5 2.32
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.30 | No 1.61
The odds presented across leading bookmakers unambiguously point towards Olympiacos as heavy favorites with an average win probability of 82%. The -1.5 Asian Handicap and Over 2.5 Goals are offered at attractive rates, aligning with Olympiacos’s dominant run and Atromitos’s frequent defensive lapses. Given Atromitos’s away record and Olympiacos’s attacking form, a comfortable win for the hosts looks a highly probable outcome, making alternative bets such as BTTS (No) and high corners totals logical complements.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Atromitos. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Olympiacos possible starting eleven
- GK: Alexandros Paschalakis
- DF: Rodinei, Panagiotis Retsos, Lorenzo Pirola, Bruno Onyemaechi
- MF: Christos Mouzakitis, Daniel Podence, Chiquinho, Diogo Nascimento
- FW: Ayoub El Kaabi, Mehdi Taremi
Olympiacos’s continuity in their 4-2-3-1 formation is underscored by reliable picks, notably Paschalakis in goal and Pirola leading the back four. The double pivot of Mouzakitis and Chiquinho helps orchestrate build-up and recycle possession, freeing Podence and Nascimento to join the attack. Up front, the partnership of El Kaabi and Taremi has been especially effective, with both providing consistent scoring threats — expect them to exploit Atromitos’s defensive gaps. This formation gives Olympiacos width, control, and consistent goal threat.
Atromitos possible starting eleven

- GK: Lefteris Choutesiotis
- DF: Dimitrios Stavropoulos, Georgios Papadopoulos, Mansur, Quini
- MF: Mattheos Mountes, Dimitrios Tsakmakis, Samuel Moutoussamy, Peter Michorl
- FW: Makana Baku, Ognjen Ožegović
Atromitos are also likely to persist with a 4-2-3-1 shape, bolstering the midfield with Moutoussamy and Mountes, and utilizing Makana Baku’s versatility in attack. Ožegović’s movement and Baku’s dribbling provide their best attacking outlets, while Choutesiotis will need to be decisive between the sticks. This side will need to maintain discipline, especially in holding possession and defending transitions, if they are to stifle Olympiacos’s forwards.
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Olympiacos. Source: Official Facebook
My take on the Match
Drawing from the evidence, my main pick for this fixture is Olympiacos to win convincingly, possibly by a two-goal margin or more. The statistical edge in nearly every department — from recent goalscoring and defensive resilience to both tactical structure and squad depth — emphasizes Olympiacos’s superiority. Atromitos’s difficulties in both ball retention and set piece defense play into Olympiacos’s strengths, making a home win the most logic-backed and valuable betting angle. Expect high-tempo phases from Olympiacos and dominant midfield displays, as the home side looks to extend their lead at the summit of the Super League 1 table.

