Rafael Nogueira
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Novorizontino sit 9th in Série B but own the best goal difference outside the top five, a sign this squad plays above its table position. Goias arrive 14th, five points and five places back, trying to shake off an away record that has cost them all season. The clubs met earlier this year and Novorizontino won 4-0, a scoreline that still hangs over this rematch and shapes plenty of our thinking below.
Robson leads the Novorizontino attack with two goals and 17 shots across his last five outings, and Madson Ferreira has chipped in a goal plus two assists from the back line, a rare attacking threat from a defender. For Goias, Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino has fired 21 shots in five games for two goals, while Jean Carlos adds two goals and an assist from midfield, their most reliable creative outlet.
Hot stat: Novorizontino beat this same Goias side 4-0 in the reverse fixture earlier this season, the widest margin between these two clubs in recent meetings and a result Goias have never avenged since.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase Stadium, New Horizons |
| 🗓️ Date: | 02.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 02:00 CEST |
Novorizontino vs Goias prediction
We predict Novorizontino win this fixture, backed by home comfort, the superior goal difference and the 4-0 hammering they handed Goias earlier in the campaign. Novorizontino have scored eight goals across their last five matches against Goias’ five, and their defense has looked tighter overall this term. Perhaps the smarter staking angle is Novorizontino on the Draw No Bet line, since Goias have drawn just once in their last six games and tend to either win or lose outright, limiting the value of backing the outright split three-way price.
Discipline separates these sides. Goias have picked up 15 yellow cards and a red card across their last five games against Novorizontino’s eight yellows and zero reds, a gap that suggests Goias defenders get dragged into fouls under pressure, 64 fouls to Novorizontino’s 54. Novorizontino also generate more from wide areas, 40 corners to Goias’ 33 in the same span, which points toward set-piece pressure building against a Goias backline already prone to conceding cards in their own box.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Novorizontino to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Novorizontino’s last five reads two wins, two draws and a loss, closing with a scoreless draw at Sao Bernardo. Before that they lost 1-2 to Ceara and drew 1-1 with Cuiaba, a stretch that cooled a run of heavier wins over Botafogo SP (3-1) and Avai (3-1). In our preview of Novorizontino vs Cuiaba we backed the hosts to win without conceding alongside Over 2.5 goals, and the 1-1 draw went against us on both counts. The finishing has cooled since, but the underlying shot numbers still favor them at home.
Goias’ recent form is choppier: a 0-1 loss to Atletico Goianiense most recently, sandwiched between a 2-1 win over Avai, a 3-1 win over Botafogo SP, a 0-2 loss to Vila Nova and a 0-1 loss to Fortaleza. Three defeats in five tells its own story. In our preview of Goias vs Atletico Goianiense we called the visitors to avoid defeat, and the 0-1 result delivered that call comfortably, though Goias again failed to score, a recurring issue heading into this trip.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Novorizontino | Goias |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 0 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Novorizontino vs Goias stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Novorizontino the favourite
- Moneyline Novorizontino 1.65 | Goias 5.25
- Draw 3.55
The market gives Novorizontino roughly a 56% implied win chance against 18% for Goias, a wide gap that mirrors the goal difference table and the 4-0 head-to-head result. Books outside the top range as high as 5.60 on Goias, which tells us bookmakers see almost no value backing the away side outright here.
Goias. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Novorizontino possible starting eleven
- GK: Jordi
- DF: Eduardo Brock, Carlinhos, Maykon Kesley de Jesus Ramalho, Madson Ferreira dos Santos
- MF: Luís Oyama, Juninho, Marlon, Leonardo Naldi de Matos, Matheus Henrique Bianqui
- FW: Robson
Jordi keeps his place in goal with six saves across five starts, while Madson Ferreira’s goal and two assists from full back make him a genuine outlet down the right in this 4-2-3-1. Oyama and Juninho screen the back four, freeing Marlon and Leonardo Naldi to support Robson, who leads the line as the club’s sharpest finisher this run.
Goias possible starting eleven
- GK: Tadeu Antonio Ferreira
- DF: Djalma Silva, Luis Fellipe Campos Doria, Danilo Cunha, Luiz Felipe
- MF: João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço, Filipe Machado, Jean Carlos, Pedro Junqueira de Oliveira, Wellington Rato
- FW: Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino
Tadeu Antonio Ferreira has racked up 12 saves in five games, a workload that reflects how often Goias sit under pressure. Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino spearheads the same 4-2-3-1 with 21 shots in five matches, and Jean Carlos operates just behind him, the pair responsible for four of Goias’ last five goals between them.
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Novorizontino. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Novorizontino take this one, most likely by a two-goal margin given the disciplinary gap and the 4-0 precedent from earlier in the season. Goias’ away form has produced three losses in six league games and their finishing has dried up on the road, while Novorizontino’s set-piece numbers and shot volume at home give them the edge in a game that should stay one-sided. To be honest, a repeat blowout would not shock our staff, but the safer route is Novorizontino to win combined with Over 2.5 total goals and a corner count that leans heavily toward the hosts.
