Newcastle vs Everton Prediction: 02.11.2026 English Premier League

Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover

Add on Google

Newcastle welcome Everton to St James’ Park just days after the two sides met in the EFL Cup, a game the Toffees won convincingly. That result adds a sharp edge to this league rematch. Newcastle sit 8th, Everton 11th, separated by a single point and little else, making this one of the tighter mid-table fixtures on the weekend card.

The interesting wrinkle here is timing. Playing the same opponent twice inside a week rarely favors the team coming off the defeat, and Newcastle now have to shake off a cup exit before Matthias Jaissle’s side can focus on climbing the table again.

Harvey Barnes has been Newcastle’s most direct attacking outlet of late, racking up 17 shots across his last five appearances, and he will likely look to exploit space in behind Everton’s back line. For the visitors, Thierno Barry has been directly involved in five goals (three scored, two assisted) over his last five outings, giving Moyes a focal point who can finish moves on his own.

Hot stat: Thierno Barry’s five goal contributions in his last five games is the single most eye-catching number heading into this fixture, more productive than any other player involved on either side.

Newcastle vs Everton prediction

We lean toward Newcastle at home, but not with huge conviction. The hosts have lost three of their last four matches, including that cup defeat to this very opponent, yet they still have enough quality in attack to trouble Everton’s leaky back line. Our punters team sees value in backing Newcastle on the double chance market rather than an outright win, given how shaky their recent form has been.

Newcastle have committed 64 fouls and picked up 16 yellow cards across their last five matches, numbers that suggest a side playing with some frustration. Everton are not far off at 59 fouls and 16 bookings in the same span. Both teams average high foul counts relative to their shot output, Newcastle managing 101 shots to Everton’s 51 over five games, which points to a physical, stop-start contest rather than a free-flowing one. Pass accuracy favors Newcastle slightly (1761 completed passes vs 1675 for Everton), but neither side is dominating possession in a way that should decide this one.

Team Analysis

Newcastle have won just one of their last four league matches, and their most recent outing summed up the problem: a 1-3 defeat to Everton in the EFL Cup, where they conceded three without reply once Everton found their rhythm. Before that they beat Crystal Palace 2-0, but losses to Aston Villa and Coventry either side of that win show a team that cannot string results together. In our preview of Everton vs Newcastle we backed Newcastle to go through on the night alongside BTTS Yes and over 2.5 goals, and while the goals markets landed in that 3-1 scoreline, Newcastle’s progression did not, so that call went against us on the primary pick.

Everton arrive in better spirits after that cup win, though their league form tells a different story. Back-to-back 0-2 losses to Arsenal and Chelsea preceded a 2-2 draw with Hull, meaning the Toffees have scored just two goals in their last three league matches before the Newcastle cup tie reignited their attack. Moyes will hope Thierno Barry’s scoring touch carries over from the cup into the league fixture. The same previous verdict applies here too, we called Newcastle to come through that cup meeting and it did not happen, Everton’s resilience under Moyes proved the difference.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Newcastle vs Everton stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Newcastle the favourite

• Moneyline Newcastle 2.30 | Everton 3.00
• Draw 3.50

The market gives Newcastle a modest edge as hosts, which matches their position just above Everton in the table despite the recent cup setback. The draw price sitting near 3.50 reflects how tight these two sides are on paper, with only a point separating them. We do not see enough separating these teams to justify backing Newcastle outright at this price, hence our preference for the double chance angle instead.

Possible Starting Lineups

Newcastle possible starting eleven

Jaissle should stick with the 4-2-3-1 that his squad has used in each of the last five matches. Dan Burn’s two goals from the back make him a genuine set-piece threat, while Harvey Barnes’ shot volume suggests he will be given license to run at Everton’s full backs from the left.

Everton possible starting eleven

Moyes also favors a 4-2-3-1, with Nørgaard and Röhl screening a back four that has leaked goals this season. Thierno Barry leads the line alone, and his recent scoring form makes him the player Newcastle’s defense needs to track closest.

🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict a close game at St James’ Park that follows the pattern of the recent cup meeting, minus the wide margin. Newcastle’s home advantage and Dan Burn’s set-piece threat should be enough to edge this, but Everton’s recent cup form and Thierno Barry’s sharpness make a clean sheet unlikely for either side. Perhaps the safest route through this one is backing goals at both ends alongside a Newcastle double chance, rather than chasing a straight home win. To be hones, neither team has shown the defensive consistency to keep this one tight, and that is exactly where the value lies.

More useful links for football fans

• Gamble Responsibly
• Best Football Betting Websites
• How to Bet On Sports
• Sports Betting Glossary
• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current football tournaments
• Football betting guide by Tips.GG