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New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati Prediction: 15.06.2025 Major League Soccer

13.06.2025, 17:44

The Major League Soccer regular season presents an intriguing matchup as New England Revolution hosts FC Cincinnati at the Gillette Stadium, Foxborough. Both teams enter this tie closely matched in the standings, with Cincinnati sitting 5th with 30 points and New England at 17th with 23 points and a game in hand. While home advantage may slightly tip the scales for Caleb Porter’s Revolution, Pat Noonan’s Cincinnati side has proven a tough traveling unit despite recent inconsistency.

A compelling subplot revolves around the midfield battle, where Carles Gil will orchestrate New England attacks against the ball-winning prowess of Obinna Nwobodo for Cincinnati. Additionally, keep an eye on FC Cincinnati’s Kevin Denkey – the striker’s recent scoring run has buoyed their campaign, as well as Ilay Feingold for New England, whose ability to get forward from defense adds an extra layer to their attack.

One outstanding stat heading into the game: FC Cincinnati’s 33 corner kicks in their last five matches stand out among MLS sides, indicating their relentless offensive pressure and potential for set-piece opportunities.

23:35Finished14.06.2025
1FC CincinnatiUnited States
🏆 Tournament: Major League Soccer 2025 Regular Season
🏟 Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
🗓️ Date: 15.06.2025
⏰ Time: 02:30 CEST

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New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati prediction

Given the balance between these squads and the razor-thin difference in bookmakers’ odds, the best value bet appears to be in the Asian Handicap market, specifically backing New England Revolution (0) or Draw No Bet. The Revolution have shown resilience at home and have lost just once in their last eight. FC Cincinnati’s away form has wavered with only two wins in their previous seven matches over the last month.

Both teams have displayed attacking intent – New England notching eight goals in five, Cincinnati matching that but posting a notably higher shot count (82 to New England’s 50). However, Cincinnati’s defense has been vulnerable, conceding multiple goals in three of their last five outings. Added to that, their high number of corners taken suggests a team pressing forward, potentially leaving space at the back for a counter-attacking home side.

When assessing style, New England have averaged 13 fouls per match and picked up 10 yellow cards in their last five, showing their combative edge. Cincinnati, meanwhile, are not far behind with 11 yellows and 52 fouls, underscoring a fiercely contested midfield. The Revolution’s higher average pass accuracy (67 percent to Cincinnati’s 63 percent) could allow them to control tempo in front of their home crowd. Expect a matchup brimming with chances at both ends.

🔥Hot Tip: New England Revolution (Draw No Bet)
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

Team Analysis

New England Revolution recent games:
New England come into this fixture on the back of a convincing 3-0 victory over CF Montreal. Their showing was highlighted by decisive attacking play and smart defending, restricting Montreal to sporadic threats. Caleb Porter’s men have gone unbeaten in three straight, including draws against DC United (1-1) and Kansas City (3-3). The Revolution’s only recent stumble was against Chicago Fire (1-3), where they struggled against a high-press system. Notably, their five-match form (two wins, two draws, one loss) showcases both stability and the ability to recover from setbacks.

23:30Finished31.05.2025

FC Cincinnati recent games:
Cincinnati’s latest outing was a narrow 1-2 defeat at home to DC United, a game where lapses in defense proved costly. They had previously played out a frantic 3-3 away draw with FC Dallas, further underlining defensive frailties but also a capacity to recover deficits. Pat Noonan’s side split points with Columbus Crew (1-1) and found their last win against Toronto FC (1-0). In their last five, Cincinnati have registered one win, two draws, and two losses – a pattern suggesting difficulty in seeing out leads, though their attacking numbers are impressive.

23:30Finished31.05.2025
1FC CincinnatiUnited States
2DC UnitedUnited States

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic New England Revolution FC Cincinnati
Goals 2 2
Total shots 18 22
Free kicks 15 13
Corner kicks 7 10
Total fouls 25 22
Pass accuracy (%) 68 64
Interceptions 9 12
Offsides 4 4

🚨Read our full New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati stats for more analysis.

FC Cincinnati. Source: Official Website

FC Cincinnati. Source: Official Website

Pre-game odds and win probability: New England Revolution the favourite

  • Moneyline New England Revolution 2.50 | FC Cincinnati 2.65
  • Draw 3.45
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.91 | Under 2.5 1.91
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.68 | No 2.07

While the bookmakers suggest a slight edge for the hosts, this market reflects a high degree of parity between these sides. The nearly even odds across Moneyline and Over/Under indicate expectations for a competitive and open contest. The short price on BTTS (Yes) aligns with both teams’ recent goalscoring records and defensive lapses. Savvy punters may appreciate the value in home advantage or focus on markets like Draw No Bet and Over 2.5 Goals, given both sides’ attacking form.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

New England Revolution possible starting eleven

  • GK: Aljaž Ivačič
  • DF: Brandon Bye, Peyton Miller, Mamadou Fofana, Ilay Feingold, Keegan Hughes
  • MF: Carles Gil, Matt Polster, Alhassan Yusuf
  • FW: Tomás Chancalay, Igniatius Ganago

Caleb Porter is likely to retain the 3-4-2-1 system that has provided defensive solidity and attacking width. Ilay Feingold stands out as a marauding fullback with three goals in his last five, while Ganago offers movement up front. Carles Gil remains the creative engine from midfield. Stability in defensive and midfield positions should help the Revolution manage transitions against a forward-minded Cincinnati.

FC Cincinnati possible starting eleven

  • GK: Roman Celentano
  • DF: Alvas Powell, Miles Robinson, Matthew Miazga, Teenage Hadebe, Lukas Engel
  • MF: Obinna Nwobodo, Pavel Bucha, Evander
  • FW: Kevin Denkey, Gerardo Valenzuela

Pat Noonan has used a 3-4-1-2 recently, emphasizing a strong back three and dynamic front pairing. Kevin Denkey (four goals in five) will lead the line, with Valenzuela providing secondary threat. Cincinnati’s defense features experience in Robinson and Miazga, while Evander offers creativity. Watch for Obinna Nwobodo’s ball recoveries to thwart New England’s midfield progress. The formation provides attacking outlets but exposes the flanks, making transitions a key battleground.

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New England Revolution. Source: Official Website

New England Revolution. Source: Official Website


My take on the Match

Predicting this MLS clash is no easy feat given how evenly matched these sides are in squad quality and form. My main pick is New England Revolution Draw No Bet. The Revolution’s home steadiness, improved recent form, and tactical flexibility give them an edge, while Cincinnati’s away record and recent defensive vulnerabilities raise questions. I expect a dynamic game with both teams having chances – a 2-1 result for the hosts feels plausible. For value bettors, Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS markets also present strong opportunities given each side’s attacking output and openness in recent weeks.

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