Liam Duckstein
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Juventus open their Europa League League Phase campaign at home against a Nijmegen side that arrives in Turin with a shaky record away from home. The Dutch club have lost four of their last seven games and shipped goals in bunches against Bodo Glimt and Feyenoord. Juventus, meanwhile, come off the back of a surprising 3-2 defeat at Sassuolo, a result that has put a small dent in their otherwise solid domestic run under Luciano Spalletti.
What makes this fixture worth a second look is the gap in shot volume from recent matches. Juventus have piled up 74 attempts across their last five outings while Nijmegen managed just 44. That kind of attacking pressure, against a Nijmegen defense that has already conceded three goals on two separate occasions this season, points toward a comfortable home night, at least on paper.
Edon Zhegrova has been Juventus’s sharpest weapon lately, scoring twice in just three appearances, and his pace on the flank should cause problems for a Nijmegen backline missing real top-flight speed. On the other side, Tjaronn Chery carries most of Nijmegen’s attacking threat, having scored twice and racked up nine shots in his last five games, making him the one player capable of springing a surprise on the counter.
Hot stat: Juventus have fired 74 shots in their last five matches but converted only six into goals, an 8% conversion rate that suggests tonight’s scoreline could still hinge on finishing rather than territory.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Europa League 2026/27, League Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Allianz Stadium, Turin |
| 🗓️ Date: | 17.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Juventus vs Nijmegen prediction
We predict a Juventus win, and given the 79% market implied probability, that part is hardly a shock. The value, in our view, sits in backing Juventus to win by two or more goals rather than just taking the plain moneyline at short odds. Nijmegen have kept a clean sheet in only one of their last five matches, and against a Juventus attack averaging almost 15 shots per game, we think the home side breaks the game open before halftime.
Style-wise, this should be a fairly clean game for Juventus. They have picked up seven yellow cards across their last five matches compared to Nijmegen’s eleven and one red, hinting at a more disciplined defensive setup for the Italians. Nijmegen commit more fouls relative to shots taken, a sign of a team forced into reactive defending, which usually opens space for quicker opposition attacks like Juventus’s front three.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Juventus win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Juventus’s most recent outing ended in a 3-2 loss at Sassuolo, a result that snapped a run of solid form. In our preview of Sassuolo vs Juventus we leaned toward a Juventus win with goals on both ends, and the 3-2 defeat went against our primary call, even though the over 2.5 goals angle landed comfortably. Before that slip, Juventus had drawn with Milan and beaten Parma and Frosinone, showing a team capable of good spells but occasionally careless at the back, exactly the profile that made the Sassuolo result possible.
Nijmegen’s last match was arguably their worst of the run, a 0-3 loss to Cambuur that continued a troubling pattern of conceding three goals without much resistance. Before that they drew 2-2 with Excelsior and lost 1-3 to Feyenoord, results that paint a picture of a side leaking goals regardless of opponent quality. Their 29% winrate over the last month, with four losses in seven games, does not inspire confidence heading into Turin.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Juventus and Nijmegen have no recent competitive meetings on record, so there is no head-to-head trend to lean on for this fixture. Both clubs are essentially walking into unfamiliar territory against each other.
🚨Check out our dedicated Juventus vs Nijmegen stats page for more info.
Nijmegen. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Juventus the favourite
- Moneyline Juventus 1.23 | Nijmegen 13.10
- Draw 7.30
The odds line up almost exactly with the bookmakers’ implied percentages, and honestly, a price near 1.20 for Juventus at home against a Nijmegen side struggling defensively looks fair rather than generous. Perhaps the better route for value hunters is skipping the plain moneyline and targeting the goal markets instead, where the pricing tends to be less efficient.
Possible Starting Lineups
Juventus possible starting eleven
- GK: Guglielmo Vicario
- DF: Zeki Çelik, Gleison Bremer, Pierre Kalulu, Andrea Cambiaso
- MF: Douglas Luiz, Manuel Locatelli, Teun Koopmeiners
- FW: Francisco Conceicao, Edon Zhegrova, Randal Kolo Muani
Vicario has started every game available and looks the clear number one. Bremer and Kalulu anchor the back line based on minutes played, while Zhegrova’s two goals in three appearances make him too dangerous to leave out. Spalletti tends to favor a 4-2-3-1 shape, with Douglas Luiz and Locatelli screening the back four and Koopmeiners linking play behind Kolo Muani.
Nijmegen possible starting eleven
- GK: Nikolas Polster
- DF: Bram Nuytinck, Almugera Kabar, Gabriel Bras, Deveron Fonville
- MF: Tobias Storm, Noe Lebreton, Jamiro Monteiro
- FW: Tjaronn Chery, Dušan Tadić, Kaj Sierhuis
Polster’s eleven saves across recent matches earn him the gloves ahead of Crettaz, who also picked up a red card in this stretch. Storm has barely left the pitch and forms the base of the midfield alongside Lebreton, who has three yellow cards to his name already, a sign of how much defensive work Nijmegen’s midfielders are being asked to do. Chery remains their most direct attacking outlet under Dick Schreuder’s setup.
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Juventus. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Our punters expect Juventus to control this game from start to finish. Nijmegen’s defensive numbers, four losses in the last seven and repeated three-goal concessions, simply do not match up well against a Juventus front line that has scored in bunches when the service is right. We predict a 3-0 finish, with Juventus keeping a clean sheet and Zhegrova or Kolo Muani getting on the scoresheet. To be honest, the only real risk here is Juventus taking their foot off the gas once the game is settled, but on home turf in a competition opener, we doubt Spalletti allows that.
Read also: Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen Predicted Line-ups and Team News: Both Expected XIs
Read also: Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head: Record, Stats & Form (Updated September 2026)
