Millwall vs Ipswich Prediction: 26.12.2025 EFL Championship

As the festive fixtures bring their customary drama to the EFL Championship, few matchups on Boxing Day promise as much tactical intrigue as Millwall hosting Ipswich at The Den. This contest sees both sides pushing for a place in the playoffs, with only a two-point margin between them and the stakes rising each passing week. With both teams favouring the 4-2-3-1 formation, expect a tactical battle in midfield and wide areas. Notably, Millwall are aiming to shake off a recent blip, while Ipswich look to consolidate their position in the top three.

Two players to keep an eye on for this clash: Millwall’s dynamic forward Femi Azeez, who’s been electric in transition with his driving runs and willingness to take on defenders, and Ipswich’s versatile attacker Jaden Philogene-Bidace, whose flair and intelligent movement have frequently unlocked opposition defences. These two could tip the balance in what should be a fiercely contested encounter.

Hot stat: In their last five matches, Ipswich have netted 9 goals — a significant uptick in attacking output and a clear warning to Millwall’s defenders.

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Millwall vs Ipswich prediction

The bookies make Ipswich the clear favourites heading into this festive fixture, and, frankly, it’s not hard to see why. Ipswich’s recent goal-scoring surge, particularly their ability to slice through defences in transition, sets them apart. They notched three or more goals in two of their last three matches – a feat Millwall simply haven’t matched, scoring six across their last five. The visitors’ more robust midfield, marshalled by Azor Matusiwa and Jens Cajuste, gives them both steel and passing intelligence in the engine room.

Both sides aren’t shy in the tackle: Millwall have racked up 72 fouls in their last five (over 14 per match), with 12 yellow cards and one red, suggesting an aggressive, contact-heavy approach. Ipswich, meanwhile, are almost as robust with 54 fouls and 16 yellows, and their work rate off the ball leads to frequent interceptions. Expect a spiky midfield battle with plenty of energy — perhaps a goal or two from set pieces given the volume of fouls and resulting dead balls.

Team Analysis

Millwall’s Recent Games:
Millwall enter this contest having stumbled in their last two matches: a 0-2 home loss to Blackburn and a 1-3 setback against Hull. Prior to that, however, they found some momentum with a hard-fought 1-1 against Derby and decent wins over Bristol City (1-0) and Southampton (3-2). Their attack has sputtered for consistency, managing just six goals over the last five fixtures. Defensively, conceding three at home to Hull exposed cracks, and manager Alex Neil will be desperate for improvement against an enterprising Ipswich attack.

Ipswich’s Recent Games:
Ipswich’s form is more encouraging, highlighted by a resounding 3-1 win against Sheffield Wednesday in their latest outing. They slipped up 1-3 to Leicester before that, but crucially, this side has already shown their bounce-back ability, blitzing past Stoke (1-0) and drubbing Coventry 3-0 away. With nine goals in their last five, Kieran McKenna’s men look revitalised in attack, and their blend of youth and experience is allowing them to go toe-to-toe with the Championship’s best.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Millwall vs Ipswich stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ipswich the favourite

• Moneyline Millwall 3.75 | Ipswich 2.03
• Draw 3.40
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.95 | Under 2.5 1.81
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.82 | No 1.93

The market is siding with Ipswich, and with good reason: they’ve looked slick in attack and have weathered a tougher schedule than Millwall of late. While Millwall’s physicality and home crowd could disrupt proceedings, Ipswich’s consistent goal threat and superior passing metrics (83 percent accuracy compared to Millwall’s 69) lend them the edge. The draw price is tempting given Millwall’s stubbornness at home, but Ipswich’s attacking spark makes them the value.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Millwall possible starting eleven

Alex Neil is set to keep faith with the experience and physicality of Max Crocombe in goal and Jake Cooper at centre-half. McNamara and Harding provide support out wide, while Doughty and De Norre are trusted engines in midfield. Up top, the pace of Azeez and Emakhu, flanked by the tireless Ivanovic, should stretch Ipswich’s backline. Expect Millwall to maintain their 4-2-3-1 shape, relying on transition moments and set pieces.

Ipswich possible starting eleven

Kieran McKenna will likely go with his favoured 4-2-3-1, anchored by the reliability of Christian Walton between the sticks. O’Shea, Davis, and Kipre offer a strong platform in defence, with Furlong providing attacking thrust from full-back. Matusiwa and Núñez should control rhythm, with Cajuste giving extra bite. Up front, pace and technical guile come via Philogene-Bidace and Clarke, with Hirst’s clever movement key for breaking Millwall’s defensive lines.

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The Verdict

This match has all the makings of a classic EFL Championship Boxing Day scrap. Both Millwall and Ipswich are brimming with ambition and neither side will back down from the challenge. Ipswich’s edge in attacking output and passing precision could be the decisive factor, but Millwall’s combative home displays mean this is far from a foregone conclusion. My main pick: Ipswich Draw No Bet. Their recent attacking trends and squad balance should see them edge it, but a draw wouldn’t be at all shocking. One thing’s for sure – supporters at The Den can expect fireworks and full-blooded football befitting the occasion!

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