Liam Duckstein
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Milan welcome Ferencvaros to San Siro sitting 24th in the League Phase table, a spot that feels odd for a club of this size. Ferencvaros, by contrast, sit 4th with three wins from three and look like one of the surprise packages of this competition so far. The Hungarian champions have scored nine goals already and arrive unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions. Amorim’s men, meanwhile, just edged a wild derby against Inter and need points badly to climb away from the relegation zone of this new league format.
Christian Pulisic has been Milan’s most reliable outlet going forward, with two goals in his last five appearances and a habit of finding pockets between the lines. On the other side, Bamidele Isa Yusuf has been unplayable for Ferencvaros, netting three goals in four games and drawing fouls at a high rate that keeps defenses honest. Both forwards carry real threat and both sides will need their goalkeepers alert given the chances likely to come from transition.
Hot stat: Ferencvaros have fired off 95 total shots across their last five matches compared to Milan’s 48, nearly double the output, and their corner count of 39 versus Milan’s 15 tells a similar story about who dictates territory right now.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Europa League 2026/27, League Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan |
| 🗓️ Date: | 05.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:45 CEST |
Milan vs Ferencvaros prediction
We predict Milan to win this one, though perhaps not by the margin the bookmakers’ 72% favourite tag suggests. San Siro carries weight, Milan have scored in four of their last five games, and Ferencvaros have shown defensive cracks away from home despite their table position. The Hungarian side’s shot volume is impressive, but a lot of that comes against weaker domestic opposition rather than a Serie A outfit with Modrić and Pulisic pulling strings.
Milan foul less often than Ferencvaros (49 fouls to 60 across the last five games) and hold a cleaner disciplinary record overall, which should help them control tempo rather than get dragged into stoppages. Ferencvaros press aggressively and rack up corners at a rate that can trouble teams, but their pass accuracy sits lower than Milan’s, a gap that tends to widen once the better side gets a goal and sits back on the ball.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Milan to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Milan’s form has been a rollercoaster lately, winning and losing in an almost perfect alternating pattern across their last five outings. The run reads win against Atalanta, loss to Bournemouth, win over Udinese, loss to Bologna, then a 3-1 derby win against Inter most recently. That last result matters most here: Milan looked sharp going forward but still shipped a goal, a pattern that has repeated itself all season. In our preview of Milan vs Inter we leaned toward Inter getting the win given Milan’s leaky defensive moments, and the 3-1 scoreline actually went the other way, so that call went against us.
Ferencvaros have been nothing short of relentless, winning four of their last five and drawing the other. Their most recent match saw them beat Paksi 2-0, continuing a run where they have kept things tight at the back while still scoring freely further up the pitch. The concern for Hungarian football fans making the trip to Milan is that this run has come almost entirely against domestic opposition of a different caliber. In our preview of Ferencvaros vs Torreense we backed a comfortable home win built on shot volume, and the eventual 4-1 scoreline delivered exactly that outcome.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Milan and Ferencvaros have no recent competitive meetings on record between these two clubs, so there is no head-to-head data to draw from for this fixture.
🚨Check out our dedicated Milan vs Ferencvaros stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Milan the favourite
- Moneyline Milan 1.29 | Ferencvaros 8.80
- Draw 5.50
The market leans heavily toward Milan, and with good reason given the venue and the quality gap on paper. Odds around 1.29 for the hosts reflect a win probability close to the bookmaker’s own 72% figure, and we see no real value fading that number outright. The draw price near 5.50 looks fair given how erratic Milan’s form has been this season, while Ferencvaros at odds near 8.80 feels generous for a side unbeaten in eight matches, even if most of that run came domestically.
Possible Starting Lineups
Milan possible starting eleven
- GK: Mike Maignan
- DF: Davide Bartesaghi, Strahinja Pavlovic, Koni De Winter, Pervis Estupinan
- MF: Luka Modrić, Ardon Jashari, Adrien Rabiot, Alphadjo Cissè
- FW: Christian Pulisic, Francesco Camarda
Amorim sticks with his trusted 4-2-3-1 base, built around Modrić and Jashari screening the back four while Pulisic roams off a young Camarda up top. Rabiot’s recent return to scoring form gives this midfield extra bite, and Pulisic remains the player most likely to decide the game with a moment of quality.
Ferencvaros possible starting eleven
- GK: Dénes Dibusz
- DF: Mariano Gómez, Toon Raemaekers, Attila Osváth
- MF: Kristoffer Zachariassen, Habib Maïga, marius corbu, Veljko Birmančević
- FW: Bamidele Isa Yusuf, Daniel Arzani, Jonathan Levi
Borbély’s 3-4-2-1 asks a lot of his wing-backs, and Zachariassen plus Birmančević have supplied the creative spark all season. Isa Yusuf leads the line as the clear focal point, and his movement will test a Milan back line that has looked uneasy against direct runners this year.
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Ferencvaros. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict Milan to win this one at San Siro, likely by a scoreline around 2-1 or 3-1, with goals expected at both ends given how open both defenses have looked lately. Ferencvaros bring genuine attacking threat and a scoring run that deserves respect, but their domestic-heavy schedule has not tested them against a squad with Modrić, Pulisic and Rabiot available together. To be honest, the main worry for Milan is their own defensive consistency rather than anything Ferencvaros do with the ball, and that is where the goals against could come from. Backing Milan to win alongside both teams scoring looks like the shape this match takes.
Read Also: AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC Predicted Line-ups and Team News Ahead of 5 Nov 2026: Both Expected XIs
