Mexico face Ecuador in a critical World Championship qualifier. Mexico enter as favorites at 45% implied probability, with Ecuador at 23%. The draw sits at 32% probability. Check out the full tournament details at World Championship 2026, explore our football predictions, or review upcoming football matches.
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Mexico vs Ecuador Betting Odds
Match Result (Win Market)
The win market reflects the outright outcome after 90 minutes. Mexico are strong favorites, while a draw offers mid-range value for those expecting a defensive encounter.
| Outcome | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Mexico | 1.25 | 5/4 | -400 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 21/10 | +210 |
| Ecuador | 3.90 | 29/10 | +290 |
To Qualify
This market determines which team advances from the knockout stage. Mexico are clear favorites to secure qualification at shorter odds than the standard win market.
| Team | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Mexico | 1.62 | 8/13 | -185 |
| Ecuador | 2.38 | 11/8 | +138 |
Anytime Goalscorer
Back any player to score at any point during the match. Raul Jimenez leads at 31.23% probability, while Santiago Gimenez and Armando Gonzalez represent strong Mexico attacking options. Enner Valencia is Ecuador’s standout option at 3/1.
| Player | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Raul Jimenez | 3.30 | 23/10 | +230 |
| Santiago Gimenez | 3.70 | 27/10 | +270 |
| Armando Gonzalez | 3.75 | 11/4 | +275 |
| Guillermo Martinez | 3.75 | 11/4 | +275 |
| Julian Quinones | 3.95 | 59/20 | +295 |
| Enner Valencia | 4.00 | 3/1 | +300 |
| Kevin Rodriguez | 4.75 | 15/4 | +375 |
| Alexis Vega | 5.00 | 4/1 | +400 |
| Jordy Caicedo | 5.00 | 4/1 | +400 |
| Jeremy Arevalo | 5.00 | 4/1 | +400 |
| Cesar Huerta | 5.50 | 9/2 | +450 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 6.50 | 11/2 | +550 |
| John Yeboah | 6.50 | 11/2 | +550 |
| Gonzalo Plata | 6.50 | 11/2 | +550 |
| Nilson Angulo | 7.00 | 6/1 | +600 |
Correct Score
Predict the exact scoreline at full-time. Mexico 1-0 and 2-0 are the shortest odds among potential results, reflecting confidence in a Mexican victory with a narrow margin.
| Score | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Mexico 1-0 | 6.00 | 5/1 | +500 |
| Mexico 2-0 | 10.50 | 19/2 | +950 |
| Mexico 2-1 | 11.00 | 10/1 | +1000 |
| Mexico 3-1 | 29.00 | 28/1 | +2800 |
| Mexico 3-0 | 29.00 | 28/1 | +2800 |
| Draw 1-1 | 6.50 | 11/2 | +550 |
| Draw 0-0 | 7.00 | 6/1 | +600 |
| Draw 2-2 | 21.00 | 20/1 | +2000 |
| Draw 3-3 | 151.00 | 150/1 | +15000 |
| Ecuador 1-0 | 8.50 | 15/2 | +750 |
| Ecuador 2-1 | 15.00 | 14/1 | +1400 |
| Ecuador 2-0 | 21.00 | 20/1 | +2000 |
| Ecuador 3-1 | 51.00 | 50/1 | +5000 |
| Ecuador 3-0 | 61.00 | 60/1 | +6000 |
Half Time/Full Time
This combined market requires you to predict the result at both half-time and full-time. Mexico/Mexico and Draw/Draw are evenly priced at 3/1, indicating balanced expectations for match flow.
| Half Time / Full Time | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Draw/Draw | 4.00 | 3/1 | +300 |
| Mexico/Mexico | 4.00 | 3/1 | +300 |
| Draw/Mexico | 5.50 | 9/2 | +450 |
| Ecuador/Ecuador | 6.50 | 11/2 | +550 |
| Draw/Ecuador | 8.00 | 7/1 | +700 |
| Mexico/Draw | 16.00 | 15/1 | +1500 |
| Ecuador/Draw | 17.00 | 16/1 | +1600 |
| Ecuador/Mexico | 36.00 | 35/1 | +3500 |
| Mexico/Ecuador | 51.00 | 50/1 | +5000 |
Method Of Victory
Bet on how Mexico or Ecuador wins—within 90 minutes, via extra time, or on penalties. Mexico to win in 90 minutes is the shortest odds, reflecting the baseline tournament structure.
| Method | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Mexico to Win in 90 minutes | 2.20 | 6/5 | +120 |
| Ecuador to Win in 90 minutes | 3.75 | 11/4 | +275 |
| Mexico Win after Penalties | 8.50 | 15/2 | +750 |
| Ecuador Win after Penalties | 9.00 | 8/1 | +800 |
| Mexico to Win in Extra Time | 10.00 | 9/1 | +900 |
| Ecuador to Win in Extra Time | 15.00 | 14/1 | +1400 |
Draw No Bet
Back Mexico or Ecuador to win, with stakes returned if the match ends in a draw. This eliminates draw risk for bettors confident in a winner within 90 minutes.
| Team | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Mexico | 1.53 | 8/15 | -187 |
| Ecuador | 2.50 | 6/4 | +150 |
Player Shots On Target
Wager on whether a specific player records over or under a set number of shots on target. Kevin Rodriguez and Jordy Caicedo lead the high odds for Ecuador, while Raul Jimenez and Santiago Gimenez are Mexico’s key attacking options.
| Player & Market | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Raul Jimenez Over 0.5 | 1.53 | 8/15 | -187 |
| Enner Valencia Over 0.5 | 1.55 | 11/20 | -220 |
| Santiago Gimenez Over 0.5 | 1.57 | 4/7 | -233 |
| Julian Quinones Over 0.5 | 1.62 | 8/13 | -185 |
| Armando Gonzalez Over 0.5 | 1.67 | 4/6 | -200 |
| Guillermo Martinez Over 0.5 | 1.67 | 4/6 | -200 |
| Jordy Caicedo Over 0.5 | 1.73 | 8/11 | -268 |
| Kevin Rodriguez Over 0.5 | 1.85 | 17/20 | -385 |
| Piero Hincapie Under 0.5 | 1.11 | 1/9 | -900 |
| Jesus Gallardo Under 0.5 | 1.14 | 1/7 | -700 |
| Moises Caicedo Under 0.5 | 1.17 | 1/6 | -600 |
| Edson Alvarez Under 0.5 | 1.20 | 1/5 | -500 |
| Roberto Alvarado Under 0.5 | 1.22 | 2/9 | -450 |
| Pedro Vite Under 0.5 | 1.36 | 4/11 | -275 |
| John Yeboah Under 0.5 | 1.67 | 4/6 | -200 |
Player Tackles
Predict whether a midfielder or defender records over or under 0.5 tackles. These markets reflect defensive involvement; odds are heavily favored toward the Over across all players listed.
| Player Over 0.5 | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Moises Caicedo | 1.04 | 1/25 | -2500 |
| Piero Hincapie | 1.05 | 1/20 | -2000 |
| Mateo Chavez | 1.05 | 1/20 | -2000 |
| Jorge Sanchez | 1.07 | 1/14 | -1400 |
| Angelo Preciado | 1.07 | 1/14 | -1400 |
| Luis Romo | 1.07 | 1/14 | -1400 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 1.08 | 1/12 | -1200 |
| Erik Lira | 1.08 | 1/12 | -1200 |
| Edson Alvarez | 1.08 | 1/12 | -1200 |
| Gonzalo Plata | 1.09 | 1/11 | -1100 |
| Luis Chavez | 1.10 | 1/10 | -1000 |
| Pedro Vite | 1.10 | 1/10 | -1000 |
| Obed Vargas | 1.10 | 1/10 | -1000 |
| Nilson Angulo | 1.11 | 1/9 | -900 |
| Alvaro Fidalgo | 1.12 | 1/8 | -800 |
Player Assists
Wager on whether a creative midfielder or forward records over 0.5 assists. Alexis Vega and Roberto Alvarado represent Mexico’s attacking midfield prowess, while Ecuador’s John Yeboah offers longer odds.
| Player Over 0.5 | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Alexis Vega | 5.00 | 4/1 | +400 |
| Roberto Alvarado | 6.00 | 5/1 | +500 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 6.50 | 11/2 | +550 |
| Cesar Huerta | 7.00 | 6/1 | +600 |
| John Yeboah | 8.00 | 7/1 | +700 |
| Raul Jimenez | 8.50 | 15/2 | +750 |
| Gonzalo Plata | 8.50 | 15/2 | +750 |
| Alvaro Fidalgo | 9.00 | 8/1 | +800 |
| Anthony Valencia | 9.50 | 17/2 | +850 |
| Kendry Paez | 9.50 | 17/2 | +850 |
| Alan Minda | 9.50 | 17/2 | +850 |
| Julian Quinones | 9.50 | 17/2 | +850 |
| Mateo Chavez | 10.00 | 9/1 | +900 |
| Luis Romo | 10.00 | 9/1 | +900 |
| Santiago Gimenez | 10.00 | 9/1 | +900 |
Goalkeeper Saves
Predict whether Mexico’s Raul Rangel or Ecuador’s Hernan Galindez records over a set number of saves. Galindez is favored to exceed 2.5 saves at heavy odds.
| Goalkeeper & Market | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Hernan Galindez Over 2.5 | 1.61 | 61/100 | -164 |
| Raul Rangel Over 2.5 | 2.30 | 13/10 | +130 |
| Hernan Galindez Over 3.5 | 2.70 | 17/10 | +170 |
| Raul Rangel Over 3.5 | 4.33 | 333/100 | +333 |
| Hernan Galindez Over 4.5 | 5.00 | 4/1 | +400 |
| Raul Rangel Over 4.5 | 8.00 | 7/1 | +700 |
Total Goals Exact
Wager on the exact number of total goals scored. 1 and 2 goals are equally favored at 13/5, suggesting expectations for a tightly contested, low-scoring match.
| Total Goals | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| 0 | 6.50 | 11/2 | +550 |
| 1 | 3.60 | 13/5 | +260 |
| 2 | 3.60 | 13/5 | +260 |
| 3 | 5.00 | 4/1 | +400 |
| 4 | 8.50 | 15/2 | +750 |
| 5 | 21.00 | 20/1 | +2000 |
| 6 | 41.00 | 40/1 | +4000 |
| 7 Or More | 67.00 | 66/1 | +6600 |
Total Goals Over/Under
Back whether total goals stay under or exceed a set threshold. Under 1.5 goals at 7/12 reflects strong expectation of a tight, defensive affair.
| Threshold | Under | Decimal (Under) | Fractional (Under) | American (Under) | Over | Decimal (Over) | Fractional (Over) | American (Over) |
| 0.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | Yes | 1.12 | 1/8 | -800 |
| 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | Yes | 1.17 | 1/6 | -600 |
| 1.25 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | Yes | 1.36 | 4/11 | -275 |
| 1.5 | Yes | 1.58 | 7/12 | -240 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3.25 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | Yes | 1.15 | 2/13 | -650 |
| 3.75 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | Yes | 1.06 | 1/16 | -1600 |
| 4 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | Yes | 1.02 | 1/41 | -4100 |
| 4.5 | Yes | 1.04 | 1/25 | -2500 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5.5 | Yes | 1.01 | 1/41 | -4100 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Match Result And Both Teams To Score
Combine the match result with whether both teams score. Mexico without both teams scoring at 9/4 offers a balanced proposition for those backing a narrow Mexican victory.
| Result & BTTS | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Mexico & Yes | 6.50 | 11/2 | +550 |
| Mexico & No | 3.25 | 9/4 | +225 |
| Draw & Yes | 5.25 | 17/4 | +425 |
| Draw & No | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Ecuador & Yes | 10.00 | 9/1 | +900 |
| Ecuador & No | 4.50 | 9/2 | +350 |
To Score A Hat-Trick
Back any player to score three goals in the match. Raul Jimenez leads at 125/1, while all other options extend beyond 150/1, indicating low probability of three-goal performances.
| Player | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Raul Jimenez | 126.00 | 125/1 | +12500 |
| Santiago Gimenez | 151.00 | 150/1 | +15000 |
| Guillermo Martinez | 176.00 | 175/1 | +17500 |
| Armando Gonzalez | 201.00 | 200/1 | +20000 |
| Julian Quinones | 226.00 | 225/1 | +22500 |
| Enner Valencia | 251.00 | 250/1 | +25000 |
| Jeremy Arevalo | 301.00 | 300/1 | +30000 |
| Jordy Caicedo | 301.00 | 300/1 | +30000 |
| Kevin Rodriguez | 326.00 | 325/1 | +32500 |
| Alexis Vega | 501.00 | 500/1 | +50000 |
| John Yeboah | 501.00 | 500/1 | +50000 |
| Roberto Alvarado | 501.00 | 500/1 | +50000 |
| Alan Minda | 501.00 | 500/1 | +50000 |
| Kendry Paez | 501.00 | 500/1 | +50000 |
| Anthony Valencia | 501.00 | 500/1 | +50000 |
Half Time
Predict the scoreline at half-time only. Mexico at 21/10 hold an edge over a draw at 19/20, with Ecuador at longer odds reflecting their underdog status.
| Outcome | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Mexico | 3.10 | 21/10 | +210 |
| Draw | 1.95 | 19/20 | -105 |
| Ecuador | 4.60 | 18/5 | +360 |
Total Home Goals
Wager on how many goals Mexico (home team) scores. Under 0.5 is heavily favored at 3/8, suggesting expectation of at least one Mexican goal.
| Threshold | Under | Decimal (Under) | Fractional (Under) | American (Under) | Over | Decimal (Over) | Fractional (Over) | American (Over) |
| 0.5 | Yes | 2.75 | 3/8 | -267 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 | Yes | 1.95 | 19/20 | -105 | Yes | 1.75 | 3/4 | -133 |
| 1.5 | Yes | 1.45 | 5/11 | -220 | Yes | 2.88 | 15/8 | +188 |
| 2.5 | Yes | 1.11 | 1/10 | -1000 | Yes | 8.00 | 7/1 | +700 |
| 3.5 | Yes | 1.02 | 1/50 | -5000 | Yes | 23.00 | 22/1 | +2200 |
| 4.5 | Yes | 1.002 | 1/500 | -50000 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Last Goalscorer
Predict which player scores the final goal of the match. Raul Jimenez is the clear favorite at 11/2, with a 13/2 option on no goalscorer (0-0 draw).
| Player | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| No Goalscorer | 7.50 | 13/2 | +650 |
| Raul Jimenez | 6.50 | 11/2 | +550 |
| Santiago Gimenez | 7.50 | 13/2 | +650 |
| Julian Quinones | 8.50 | 15/2 | +750 |
| Guillermo Martinez | 8.50 | 15/2 | +750 |
| Enner Valencia | 8.50 | 15/2 | +750 |
| Armando Gonzalez | 8.50 | 15/2 | +750 |
| Kevin Rodriguez | 10.00 | 9/1 | +900 |
| Jordy Caicedo | 10.00 | 9/1 | +900 |
| Alexis Vega | 10.50 | 19/2 | +950 |
| Cesar Huerta | 11.00 | 10/1 | +1000 |
| Jeremy Arevalo | 11.00 | 10/1 | +1000 |
| Gonzalo Plata | 13.00 | 12/1 | +1200 |
| Luis Chavez | 15.00 | 14/1 | +1400 |
| John Yeboah | 15.00 | 14/1 | +1400 |
| Kendry Paez | 15.00 | 14/1 | +1400 |
First Goalscorer
Back a player to score the opening goal. Raul Jimenez and Santiago Gimenez are equally positioned at 11/2 and 13/2 respectively, with a 13/2 option on no early goal.
| Player | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| No Goalscorer | 7.50 | 13/2 | +650 |
| Raul Jimenez | 6.50 | 11/2 | +550 |
| Santiago Gimenez | 7.50 | 13/2 | +650 |
| Enner Valencia | 8.50 | 15/2 | +750 |
| Julian Quinones | 8.50 | 15/2 | +750 |
| Armando Gonzalez | 8.50 | 15/2 | +750 |
| Guillermo Martinez | 8.50 | 15/2 | +750 |
| Kevin Rodriguez | 10.00 | 9/1 | +900 |
| Jordy Caicedo | 10.00 | 9/1 | +900 |
| Alexis Vega | 10.50 | 19/2 | +950 |
| Cesar Huerta | 11.00 | 10/1 | +1000 |
| Jeremy Arevalo | 11.00 | 10/1 | +1000 |
| Gonzalo Plata | 13.00 | 12/1 | +1200 |
| Luis Chavez | 15.00 | 14/1 | +1400 |
| John Yeboah | 15.00 | 14/1 | +1400 |
Total Away Goals
Predict Ecuador’s goal output. Under 0.5 is favored at 11/8, meaning odds expect Ecuador to score less than one goal on average.
| Threshold | Under | Decimal (Under) | Fractional (Under) | American (Under) | Over | Decimal (Over) | Fractional (Over) | American (Over) |
| 0.5 | Yes | 2.38 | 11/8 | +138 | Yes | 1.67 | 4/6 | -200 |
| 1.5 | Yes | 1.25 | 1/4 | -400 | Yes | 4.33 | 10/3 | +333 |
| 2.5 | Yes | 1.04 | 1/25 | -2500 | Yes | 15.00 | 14/1 | +1400 |
| 3.5 | Yes | 1.005 | 1/200 | -20000 | Yes | 51.00 | 50/1 | +5000 |
| 5.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | Yes | 34.00 | 33/1 | +3300 |
Both Teams To Score
Back whether both teams will score at least one goal. No is favored at 7/10, suggesting the match is expected to feature at least one clean sheet.
| Outcome | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| No | 1.70 | 7/10 | -143 |
| Yes | 2.30 | 13/10 | +130 |
Correct Score – 1st Half
Predict the exact half-time scoreline. 0-0 is the strongest favorite at 29/20, reflecting defensive equilibrium expected early in the match.
| Score | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| 0-0 | 2.45 | 29/20 | +145 |
| Mexico 1-0 | 4.33 | 10/3 | +333 |
| Draw 1-1 | 10.00 | 9/1 | +900 |
| Mexico 2-0 | 15.00 | 14/1 | +1400 |
| Mexico 2-1 | 31.00 | 30/1 | +3000 |
| Mexico 3-0 | 81.00 | 80/1 | +8000 |
| Mexico 3-1 | 151.00 | 150/1 | +15000 |
| Draw 2-2 | 151.00 | 150/1 | +15000 |
| Ecuador 1-0 | 6.00 | 5/1 | +500 |
| Ecuador 2-0 | 26.00 | 25/1 | +2500 |
| Ecuador 2-1 | 41.00 | 40/1 | +4000 |
| Ecuador 3-1 | 151.00 | 150/1 | +15000 |
| Ecuador 3-0 | 151.00 | 150/1 | +15000 |
Winning Margin
Bet on the goal difference between winner and loser. Mexico to win by 1 goal at 11/4 is the tightest margin, with 0-0 draw at 6/1 representing a neutral stalemate.
| Margin | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Mexico to win by 1 Goal | 3.75 | 11/4 | +275 |
| Score Draw | 4.75 | 15/4 | +375 |
| Draw 0-0 | 7.00 | 6/1 | +600 |
| Mexico to win by 2 Goals | 7.50 | 13/2 | +650 |
| Ecuador to win by 1 Goal | 5.00 | 4/1 | +400 |
| Ecuador to win by 2 Goals | 13.00 | 12/1 | +1200 |
| Mexico to win by 3 Goals | 19.00 | 18/1 | +1800 |
| Mexico to win by 4 Or More Goals | 46.00 | 45/1 | +4500 |
| Ecuador to win by 3 Goals | 46.00 | 45/1 | +4500 |
| Ecuador to win by 4 Or More Goals | 151.00 | 150/1 | +15000 |
To Score 2 Or More Goals
Wager on whether a player scores two goals or more. Raul Jimenez is the favorite at 15/1, while most others sit in the 20/1 to 66/1 range.
| Player | Decimal | Fractional | American |
| Raul Jimenez | 16.00 | 15/1 | +1500 |
| Santiago Gimenez | 21.00 | 20/1 | +2000 |
| Armando Gonzalez | 23.00 | 22/1 | +2200 |
| Guillermo Martinez | 23.00 | 22/1 | +2200 |
| Enner Valencia | 23.00 | 22/1 | +2200 |
| Julian Quinones | 23.00 | 22/1 | +2200 |
| Alexis Vega | 34.00 | 33/1 | +3300 |
| Kevin Rodriguez | 36.00 | 35/1 | +3500 |
| Jordy Caicedo | 41.00 | 40/1 | +4000 |
| Cesar Huerta | 41.00 | 40/1 | +4000 |
| Jeremy Arevalo | 41.00 | 40/1 | +4000 |
| Gonzalo Plata | 61.00 | 60/1 | +6000 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 67.00 | 66/1 | +6600 |
| John Yeboah | 67.00 | 66/1 | +6600 |
| Kendry Paez | 67.00 | 66/1 | +6600 |
Total Corners
Predict total corner kicks awarded. Markets for 13.5+ corners are heavily favored, indicating expectations of high volume across these extreme thresholds.
| Threshold | Over | Decimal (Over) | Fractional (Over) | American (Over) |
| 2.5 | Yes | 1.001 | 1/1000 | -100000 |
| 3 | Yes | 1.013 | 1/80 | -8000 |
| 3.5 | Yes | 1.010 | 1/100 | -10000 |
| 4 | Yes | 1.05 | 1/20 | -2000 |
| 13.5 | Yes | 1.001 | 1/1000 | -100000 |
| 14.5 | Yes | 1.005 | 1/200 | -20000 |
| 15 | Yes | 1.005 | 1/200 | -20000 |
| 15.5 | Yes | 1.01 | 1/100 | -10000 |
| 16 | Yes | 1.01 | 1/100 | -10000 |
Read also: Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction: July 1, 2026 World Cup Round of 32 Preview
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