Rafael Nogueira
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Londrina PR sit dead last in the Série B table with 21 points from 24 games, and a home win here is close to mandatory if Rogério Micale’s side want to keep any survival hope alive. Criciuma arrive in 4th place, still chasing a return to the top flight, though their recent form has wobbled badly. The last meeting between these two, played away from Londrina, ended 0-1 to Criciuma, and the visitors will fancy repeating that script given the gap in the standings.
Herbert Mateus Almeida De Oliveira has been Londrina’s most direct attacking threat across the last five rounds, scoring twice and racking up 16 shots, more than any other player in the squad. For Criciuma, Rómulo Otero pulls the strings in midfield with 14 shots and a team-high 17 free kicks taken, and his delivery from dead balls could be the difference in a tight contest.
Hot stat: Londrina’s 6-0 demolition of bottom-side Ponte Preta remains the standout number from either camp’s recent run, though it should be read with caution given the opponent sits 20th with the league’s worst defense. Criciuma’s counterweight is grim: a 0-4 collapse against Atletico Goianiense, their heaviest defeat of the sample and a sign of real defensive fragility on the road.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio do Cafe, Londrina |
| 🗓️ Date: | 03.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:30 CEST |
Londrina PR vs Criciuma prediction
We lean toward Criciuma avoiding defeat here, perhaps edging it outright. Londrina have won only 5 of 24 league games this season and their last five results read two wins (one against bottom-placed Ponte Preta), three losses, with seven goals shipped. Criciuma’s away form in that same window is shaky too, but their overall season numbers, 18 wins from 40 and a plus-2 goal difference, put them well above a side fighting relegation. Our punters team backs Criciuma to either win or draw, with value sitting in the double chance market rather than a straight home bet.
Londrina have picked up 15 yellow cards and committed 74 fouls across their last five matches, against 38 corners and 1979 passes completed at 81% accuracy. Criciuma look the tidier side on the ball, 2562 passes at 86% accuracy, 41 corners, and fewer cards at 12 in the same stretch. That gap in composure on the ball usually translates into fewer unforced errors near goal, which tilts the contest further toward the away side keeping things controlled rather than chasing an open game.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Criciuma Double Chance (Draw or Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Londrina’s recent run shows one win, two defeats and a draw before that heavy win, followed by their most recent outing, a 0-2 home-ground loss to Vila Nova. That defeat continued a pattern of leaky defending, with the hosts conceding in four of their last five outings despite scoring freely against weaker opposition. In our preview of Londrina PR vs Fortaleza we leaned toward the visitors avoiding defeat with low-scoring expectations, and the 1-2 final score backed that read, Fortaleza came away unbeaten as called, even if two goals went in rather than our preferred cautious script.
Criciuma’s last five swings between promising and alarming: a win over Cuiaba, a loss to Juventude, the 0-4 hammering by Atletico Goianiense, a 0-2 loss to Operario PR, then a bounce-back 3-0 win over Avai in their most recent fixture. That Avai result is the key data point here, it shows a squad capable of resetting quickly after rough patches, scoring three without reply on the road. In our preview of Criciuma vs Operario PR we called a narrow home win with goals at both ends, and the 0-2 result went against that read entirely, Criciuma failed to score and lost at home.
🚨Check out our dedicated Londrina PR vs Criciuma stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Criciuma the favourite
- Moneyline Londrina PR 3.02 | Criciuma 2.41
- Draw 3.23
Bookmakers price Criciuma as the clear favourite despite sitting away from home, odds around 2.40 against Londrina’s near-3.00 reflect the gulf in table position rather than recent form, since both sides have struggled lately. The draw price above 3.00 looks fair given Londrina’s tendency to grind out results against mid-table sides even while losing more than they win overall. We see value in backing Criciuma not to lose outright, since the moneyline alone looks tight for the quality gap on show.
Possible Starting Lineups
Londrina PR possible starting eleven
- GK: Mauricio Kozlinski
- DF: Wallace Reis da Silva, Heron, Gabriel Santos Cordeiro Lacerda
- MF: Nino Paraíba, Thalis Henrique Cantanhede, Lucas Marques, Kaue Leonardo De Souza Prado
- FW: Herbert Mateus Almeida De Oliveira, William Pottker, Guilherme Cachoeira Silveira
Micale sticks with the 3-4-3 that has featured in each of the last five games. Wallace Reis da Silva anchors the back three with 450 minutes played, the most of any outfield player, and Herbert remains the player to watch up front given his two goals and team-high shot count.
Criciuma possible starting eleven
- GK: Airton
- DF: Rodrigo Fagundes, César Martins, Marcelo Hermes
- MF: Ronald, Rómulo Otero, Guilherme Teixeira Lobo, Fellipe Mateus
- FW: Waguininho, Nicolas Godinho Johann, Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva
Louzer also favours 3-4-3, and Airton’s full 450 minutes across the sample confirm him as the clear starter in goal. Rómulo Otero is the player to watch in midfield, his set-piece volume and passing numbers make him the main creative outlet, while Waguininho leads the front line on minutes played among the forward options.
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Londrina PR. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Criciuma leave Estadio do Cafe with at least a point. Londrina’s defense has leaked in four of their last five outings, and Criciuma, despite their own wobbles, still carry more quality across midfield and attack. To be honest, a repeat of the narrow 0-1 scoreline from their last meeting here would not surprise us at all. Backing the away side on the double chance, paired with under 2.5 goals, offers the cleanest route into this fixture without overreaching on a straight moneyline bet.
