Liverpool vs West Ham Prediction: 28.02.2026 English Premier League

As the Premier League’s business end draws near, Liverpool host West Ham at Anfield on 28 February 2026 in a fixture that could define more than just three points. With Liverpool clinging to hopes of Champions League football, and West Ham battling tooth and nail to stay above water, both coaches—Arne Slot for Liverpool and Nuno Espírito Santo for the Hammers—are set to put tactical nous and resilience to the test. Intriguingly, Liverpool enter this match with a formidable home record and a squad pulsing with attacking intent, while West Ham’s recent upturn in form and penchant for disruptive counterattacking play signal anything but a routine contest.

Key individuals are bound to shape proceedings. Mohamed Salah, ever the heartbeat of Liverpool’s forward thrusts, has been impactful even amidst a rotational attack—contributing goals and assists with typical panache. For West Ham, Crysencio Summerville’s knack for finding the net of late, combined with Jarrod Bowen’s intelligent movement, gives the visitors that menacing edge on the break. The keepers, Alisson and Areola, will also have crucial roles, but it’s in the final third that this one is likely to spark to life.

“Hot Stat”: Liverpool have conceded just one goal in their last three home games, underlying a subtle but unmistakable resurgence in defensive discipline at Anfield—a marked shift from the sometimes frenetic early-season displays.

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Liverpool vs West Ham prediction

The data suggests a compelling narrative: Liverpool are clear favourites, buoyed by an 83% win rate over their last six fixtures and a mere seven-point gap to the league’s top three. At Anfield, they have both tangible momentum and the psychological edge—a team that’s rediscovered not just attacking thrust but renewed shape under Arne Slot.

Conversely, West Ham’s 40% win rate in their last five is only part of the story; there’s a new-found steel about them defensively, registering successive clean sheets and demonstrating a disciplined 4-2-3-1 shape that can grind out results.

The most value, with healthy odds, rests on Liverpool to win and both teams to score (BTTS—Yes). This is justified not only by Liverpool’s offensive firepower, but also by West Ham’s ability to strike on the counter, as seen in Summerville’s and Bowen’s recent output. West Ham are no strangers to disciplined fouling either, averaging 6 yellow cards in the last five, which may present set-piece chances for Liverpool—an area Slot’s men are primed to exploit.

Liverpool’s games average just under two yellows per match and 30 corners in the last five—indicative of a side happy to stretch play, recycle possession and press high, often winning set pieces. West Ham’s higher interception and foul counts reflect their tactical fouling and defensive shape, which can cause frustration and disruptions, but also present Liverpool with repeated chances in advanced areas.

Team Analysis

Liverpool Recent Games

Liverpool’s last five have seen them notch wins over Nottingham Forest, Brighton, and Sunderland, conceding just once—a nerve-jangling 1-2 defeat to Manchester City being the only blemish. The shift has been in recapturing midfield control (Curtis Jones and Mac Allister excelling in ball retention and creative transitions), while the directness of Salah and the verve of Dominik Szoboszlai have added powerful offensive layers. Goals are nicely distributed, with the likes of Hugo Ekitiké and Wirtz chipping in—a testament to Slot’s multi-pronged attack. The defensive improvements, with Van Dijk marshalling the back four and Alisson in fine form, suggest a more balanced Liverpool, less susceptible to lapses in concentration.

West Ham Recent Games

Nuno Espírito Santo’s West Ham recently dispatched Burnley (2-0) and held both Manchester United and Bournemouth to cagey draws, underscored by steadfast defending and a pragmatic approach. Summerville’s scoring touch (3 goals in last 5), ably supported by Bowen’s tireless work rate, supplies their main cutting edge, but it’s telling that the Hammers have been forced to rely on discipline and set-pieces, with Tomáš Souček’s late runs from midfield always a wild card. The red cards in the last five, though, highlight a sometimes risky edge when defending deep.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Liverpool vs West Ham stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool the favourite

• Moneyline Liverpool 1.40 | West Ham 7.00
• Draw 5.15
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.69 | Under 2.5 2.15
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.75 | No 2.05

Clearly, the bookmakers have Liverpool marked out as strong favourites at Anfield—with best available odds clustered around 1.40 for the home win and West Ham as distant outside bets at 7.00. The draw—historically a rare occurrence between these two at Anfield—sits near 5.15, reflecting Liverpool’s dominance in recent head-to-heads. ‘Over 2.5 goals’ trades as the likeliest goal range due to Liverpool’s attacking verve and West Ham’s dangerous counters. Notably, the BTTS Yes odds (1.75) beckon: with Liverpool’s strong attack but occasional defensive lapses, and West Ham’s ability to nick a goal, it’s a logical punt.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Liverpool possible starting eleven

This XI reflects Liverpool’s pattern under Arne Slot—full-backs surging high to pin back West Ham’s wingers, Van Dijk providing much needed aerial security, and Mac Allister plus Jones dictating the midfield rhythm. Salah, of course, is the one to watch—always a threat, his movement creates space for Ekitiké to find pockets between defenders. Szoboszlai’s recent form may see him pop up with a crucial goal or assist, while Kerkez adds bite in both defence and attack. Expect the usual 4-2-3-1 with strong transitional play.

West Ham possible starting eleven

West Ham are unlikely to divert from their trusted 4-2-3-1, seeking compactness and quick transitions. Mavropanos and Kilman anchor the rear-guard, supported by pacey full-backs. Souček’s physicality and late runs give them a goal threat from deep, while Bowen and Summerville will test Liverpool’s full-backs on the break. Castellanos leads the line: his hold-up play will be key if West Ham are to relieve pressure and link up quickly in transition. Eyes will be on Summerville, who’s been the Hammers’ brightest spark in attack.

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My take on the Match

Taking the full breadth of recent stats, tactical setups, and the narrative of the season into account, Liverpool should assert their class at Anfield, but this will not be a walkover. West Ham under Espírito Santo have developed real obstinacy, and with pace on the counter, could trouble Liverpool just enough to nick a goal. Our main pick is Liverpool to win with a -1 Asian Handicap—reflecting the gulf in attacking options and Anfield’s unique aura. Still, with the Hammers scrapping for every point, expect a spirited fight and a few nervy moments for the home crowd. Football’s unpredictability is why we love it, but the smart money would go with a Liverpool win in an open, entertaining clash!

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