Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction: 09.05.2026 English Premier League

Liverpool and Chelsea face off at Anfield in a Premier League encounter with significant implications for European places. Both clubs enter this game amid inconsistent form, but Liverpool’s push for a top-four finish makes this match a must-win. Chelsea, under Calum McFarlane, look to recover from a recent setback. Among the key players, Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah remains a constant threat in front of goal while Chelsea’s Cole Palmer provides the creative spark and attacking intent from midfield. The duel between these two dynamic talents could be decisive.

Hot stat: In the last five matches, Liverpool have averaged 15 shots per game and scored 9 goals. Chelsea, in contrast, have managed just 2 goals despite 68 shots over the same period—a stark indicator of Liverpool’s greater attacking efficiency.

Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction

We predict a Liverpool win. The home advantage at Anfield, coupled with Liverpool’s superior scoring record and shot conversion rate, tips the scales in their favor. Liverpool are fourth in the league, fighting for Champions League football, while Chelsea trail in ninth and have struggled for consistency.

Liverpool’s aggressive playstyle is evident in their 52 fouls and 5 yellow cards over the last five games. They also maintain high passing accuracy (84%) despite this physical approach. Chelsea have been even more physical (54 fouls, 11 yellow cards) but lack Liverpool’s cutting edge in attack. Expect a match filled with energy, frequent challenges, and numerous set-piece opportunities. With both teams using a 4-2-3-1 formation, midfield battles and wide play will be crucial.

Team Analysis

Liverpool’s recent games show a side that mixes attacking prowess with defensive lapses. They lost their last league outing 2-3 against Manchester United in a game that exposed some vulnerability at the back. Before that, convincing wins over Crystal Palace (3-1) and Everton (2-1) demonstrated their ability to control matches, especially at home. Their attack remains potent, with multiple contributors beyond Salah, including Gakpo and Robertson.

Chelsea enter this match on the back of a disappointing 1-3 defeat at home to Nottingham Forest. This result capped a string of poor performances, with the team managing just two wins in their last six. The main issue has been converting chances—Chelsea’s 68 shots in five matches have yielded only two goals. Defensive discipline has also wavered, shown by a rising yellow card count and occasional lapses under pressure from top sides.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Liverpool vs Chelsea stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool the favourite

• Moneyline Liverpool 1.93 | Chelsea 3.94
• Draw 4.11
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.70 | Under 2.5 2.20
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.55 | No 2.45

Bookmakers see Liverpool as clear favorites, reflecting their higher league standing and more consistent performances. The odds on over 2.5 goals are short, which makes sense given both teams’ recent tendency for open, high-shot matches. Both teams to score looks likely, given Chelsea’s attacking intent and Liverpool’s occasional defensive slips. The draw is less likely but not out of the question if Chelsea can tighten up at the back.

Possible Starting Lineups

Liverpool possible starting eleven

This lineup features Liverpool’s most reliable core. Woodman has seen the most action in goal recently. Van Dijk anchors a back line that blends experience and athleticism. The midfield trio balances work rate and creativity, with Szoboszlai’s recent form a positive. Salah and Gakpo bring scoring punch up front. Liverpool should start in their familiar 4-2-3-1, using wide play and high pressing to disrupt Chelsea’s buildup.

Chelsea possible starting eleven

Chelsea’s lineup draws on the players with most minutes and starts lately. Sanchez remains first choice in goal. The defense is likely anchored by Cucurella and Fofana, with Chalobah and Gusto offering support. Midfield sees the energetic Caicedo paired with Lavia and the influential Fernández, while Palmer provides creative spark. Neto and João Pedro lead the line, hoping to finally capitalize on Chelsea’s shot volume. The 4-2-3-1 is expected again, but tactical adjustments could appear if Liverpool press high early on.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict Liverpool to take three points. Their sharper attack, home advantage, and slightly steadier defensive unit set them apart from a Chelsea side struggling to convert chances. Expect both teams to score, but Liverpool’s goal threat should see them outscore the visitors. Salah’s finishing and Gakpo’s movement will stretch Chelsea’s defense. Chelsea’s best hope lies in set pieces and Palmer’s creativity, yet unless their conversion rate improves, Liverpool’s overall efficiency should decide the result.

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