Liam Duckstein
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Anfield gets another heavyweight test this weekend as Liverpool welcome Arsenal with both sides sitting inside the top four of the table. Arsenal arrive just three points behind leaders Manchester City, while Liverpool sit fourth, three points further back after a season that has mixed sharp attacking football with the odd defensive wobble.
There’s an interesting wrinkle here: Arsenal have won just once in five head-to-head meetings with Liverpool since 2024, yet the bookmakers still install them as clear favourites this time around. That tension between recent history and current form is exactly what makes this one worth digging into.
Florian Wirtz has been Liverpool’s creative heartbeat, racking up a goal and two assists in his last five appearances while completing over 80% of his passes from a central role behind the striker. On the other side, Martin Odegaard remains the engine of Arsenal’s build-up play, pulling strings from midfield even without a goal contribution in his last five outings, his passing volume alone (333 attempts) tells the story of his influence.
Hot stat: Liverpool’s 6-3 win over LASK stands out as the single highest-scoring match from either club in their last five fixtures, with nine goals shared in one contest alone, a number that dwarfs anything Arsenal have produced defensively or offensively in that same stretch.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Anfield, Liverpool |
| 🗓️ Date: | 01.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:30 CEST |
Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction
We predict Arsenal to edge this one, perhaps by a narrow 2-1 scoreline. Arsenal’s defensive numbers this season, just five goals conceded in eight league games, back up their status as favourites even on the road. Liverpool’s attack has scored more goals in their last five matches (15 vs 9) but have also shown defensive gaps, conceding in four of their last five fixtures.
Liverpool’s style leans on pace and directness, evident in their 92 total shots over five matches compared to Arsenal’s 85, yet their pass accuracy sits noticeably lower (1975 completed vs Arsenal’s 2512). Arsenal control games through possession and discipline, committing fewer fouls (43 vs 54) and taking fewer yellow cards on average despite one red card in this stretch. That control-based approach tends to suit tight away trips against high-pressing sides, and Anfield’s intensity could actually play into Arsenal’s patient game plan rather than against it.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Arsenal to win and both teams to score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Liverpool’s last outing against Chelsea ended 1-1, a result that showed their attacking intent (another match with goals shared) but also their tendency to drop points against mid-table opposition. Before that, wins over Brighton (2-0) and Villarreal (4-3) highlighted their capacity to score freely, even if the Villarreal match exposed defensive frailty conceding three. In our preview of Liverpool vs Chelsea we backed the Reds for a 2-1 win fueled by their superior shot numbers, but the 1-1 final score went against us, proof that this Liverpool side can still stumble against teams parking the bus.
Arsenal’s most recent match, a 1-1 draw with Fleetwood, broke a run of four straight wins and showed some rotation fatigue from Arteta’s side. Prior to that, convincing performances against Everton (2-0) and Bayern Munich (2-2) in Europe demonstrated Arsenal’s quality against varied opposition. In our preview of Fleetwood vs Arsenal we called a routine, controlled win for the Gunners, but the 1-1 draw went against that pick, a reminder that even strong sides drop points when rotating heavily.
🚨Check out our dedicated Liverpool vs Arsenal stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Arsenal the favourite
- Moneyline Liverpool 3.25 | Arsenal 2.10
- Draw 3.50
The odds line up with the bookmakers’ implied probability of 44% for Arsenal against Liverpool’s 30%, a gap that reflects Arsenal’s superior defensive record this season despite travelling to a tough away venue. Liverpool’s home form keeps the draw price competitive, and we think there’s genuine value there too given how often these two sides have shared the points in recent seasons.
Possible Starting Lineups
Liverpool possible starting eleven
- GK: Alisson Becker
- DF: Joe Gomez, Virgil van Dijk, Ronald Araujo, Konstantinos Tsimikas
- MF: Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch, Florian Wirtz
- FW: Rio Ngumoha, Bradley Barcola, Alexander Isak
Iraola’s likely 4-2-3-1 keeps Alisson between the posts behind a back four built around van Dijk’s experience and Araujo’s recovery pace. Mac Allister and Gravenberch shield the defence, freeing Wirtz to operate centrally with Ngumoha and Barcola stretching play wide. Isak leads the line and has already shown sharp finishing instincts with two goals from his last four appearances, he’s the player to watch if Liverpool need a breakthrough goal.
Arsenal possible starting eleven
- GK: David Raya
- DF: Ben White, Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães, Cristhian Mosquera, Myles Lewis-Skelly
- MF: Declan Rice, Martín Zubimendi, Martin Odegaard
- FW: Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze, Viktor Gyökeres
Arteta sticks with his trusted 4-2-3-1, with Rice and Zubimendi forming a disciplined double pivot that limits space for Liverpool’s quick transitions. Odegaard pulls the strings just behind Gyökeres, who has delivered consistent goal threat all season. Saka’s return to full fitness gives Arsenal width and unpredictability, he remains the player most likely to unlock a packed Liverpool defence on the counter.
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Arsenal. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a tight contest that ultimately tilts Arsenal’s way, 2-1 feels like a fair scoreline given their defensive solidity this season. Liverpool’s attacking numbers are strong enough to find the net, their 15 goals in five matches and 92 total shots suggest they won’t go quiet at home. Arsenal’s discipline, shown through fewer fouls and better pass accuracy, should let them control midfield battles even in a hostile away atmosphere. To be honest, the draw price looks tempting too, but our lean stays with Arsenal edging a high-quality match between two genuine title contenders.
