Levante vs Elche Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga Match - 23.01.2026

On 23 January 2026, Ciutat de València in Valencia will host a high-stakes La Liga regular season clash between Levante and Elche. Scheduled to kick off at 22:00 CEST, this match marks a critical juncture for both teams as they navigate a challenging league campaign. Levante enters the fixture languishing near the bottom of the table, while Elche, buoyed by tactical versatility, sits mid-table and seeks to widen the gap from the relegation battle.

Under Luís Castro, Levante will rely heavily on attacking midfielder Iker Losada – a player with the technical finesse and an eye for decisive runs behind Elche’s defensive line – and Carlos Álvarez, who brings dynamism in the forward line. Elche’s hope for control and creativity rests firmly on the shoulders of Aleix Febas, a consistent playmaker excelling at orchestrating possession, and Germán Valera, whose dribbling and pace down the flanks can break open tightly contested games.

Hot stat: Elche leads the league in corners earned over their last five matches, registering an impressive 26, while Levante managed just 5. This suggests Elche’s intent to stretch play wide and force opportunities from set pieces – a tactical key to watch.

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Levante vs Elche predictions

Me best bet: Elche Double Chance (Win or Draw). Elche’s greater points tally, aptitude for pressing high, and superiority in generating set piece situations all tip the scale against a Levante squad that has struggled for both defensive stability and attacking cohesion. While Levante will bank on home advantage, a glance at recent results, including a 0-2 home defeat to Real Madrid and an earlier H2H loss to Elche, highlights persistent difficulties breaking down disciplined defensive blocks.

Both teams deploy relatively conservative setups: Levante tends to overload the midfield in a 4-2-3-1, seeking moderate ball possession but often succumbing to pressing traps and coughing up possession under pressure. Their average pass accuracy in recent fixtures sits at 78 percent but lacks penetration in the final third. Elche, meanwhile, operates a pragmatic 4-4-2 – favoring direct play, sweeping counters, and high corner and foul counts (45 fouls and 12 yellows in the last five games), a reflection of physical intensity but also a potential risk for card-related disruptions.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Levante vs Elche Most recent H2Hs

Looking over the history of recent direct encounters, Elche has held a psychological edge in competitive fixtures. Most notably, in their last La Liga face-off, Elche triumphed 2-0 away – a display marked by defensive organization and efficiency on the break. However, Levante managed to win 3-1 in La Liga 2 last year, demonstrating that at their best, they are capable of unsettling Elche’s backline. Generally, goals have been at a premium: three of the last four meetings saw under 2.5 goals, suggesting another tightly contested affair awaits.

🚨Read our full Levante vs Elche stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Elche earned 26 corners in their last five matches, highest in the division.
• Levante’s home goal difference is -11, among the lowest in La Liga.
• Levante has not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five home matches.
• Elche’s disciplinary record: 12 yellows and 45 fouls over five games, most in La Liga during this span.
• Levante averages just 0.7 goals per game across their last 10 fixtures.

Levante vs Elche score prediction: 0-1

A single-goal victory for Elche looks probable. Aleix Febas and Germán Valera are both in strong form, capable of exploiting Levante’s tendency to leave space between lines. Levante’s attack, despite flashes from Iker Losada, lacks cohesion and the final touch. The defensive tandem of Pedro Bigas and Víctor Chust for Elche inspire confidence to see out a clean sheet.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Levante the favourite

Although the bookmakers narrowly tilt the odds in favor of Levante (2.45) due to home advantage, Elche’s recent performances, both statistically and qualitatively, do not justify making them genuine underdogs. The markets anticipate a low-scoring match, with ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ and ‘No’ on BTTS both strong value bets. Disciplinary volatility and set piece opportunities will likely dictate the rhythm more than open play.

Levante vs Elche Over/Under Analysis

• Levante’s last three home games each saw under 2.5 total goals.
• Elche have registered under 2.5 goals in six of their last eight away fixtures.
• Both teams have failed to score in three of their last four La Liga encounters.
• ‘Over 8.5 Corners’ has hit in four of Elche’s last five games thanks to wing-focused attacks.

Levante Preview

Levante’s recent form paints a troubling picture: one win in the last five matches (a convincing 3-0 over Sevilla), two draws, and two defeats – including a shutout loss against Real Madrid. While the team displays spells of competent build-up play, defensive lapses and a lack of cutting edge in the box have been recurring themes. Their reliance on young midfielder Iker Losada for creative spark is evident, and the likes of Carlos Álvarez and Carlos Espí sporadically threaten, but too often moves break down in advanced areas. Defensively, Levante’s transition from attack to defense remains a vulnerability, especially against counter-attacking sides.

Levante possible starting eleven

Elche Preview

Elche, under Eder Sarabia, have found a groove with their structured 4-4-2, balancing disciplined defense with frequent wide switches that constantly stretch opposing fullbacks. In their last five matches, Elche have remained unbeaten twice, drawing exciting games against Valencia and Sevilla while pushing Real Betis hard in a 2-1 defeat. Their propensity for winning corners and committing fouls underscores a combative, high-tempo identity.
Look for Aleix Febas to dictate play centrally and for Germán Valera’s incisive runs to threaten Levante’s backline. Defensively, the partnership of Pedro Bigas and Víctor Chust has stood up well to pressure, and Matías Dituro provides steadiness and experience between the posts.

Elche possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

On behalf of the TipsGG expert panel: Elche Double Chance (Win or Draw) is the recommended pick. The blend of a superior midfield engine, high output in wide areas, and a recent track record in this fixture suggests the visitors are poised to take at least a point. We estimate Elche’s win/draw probability at 61 percent, powered by our in-house AI prediction engine, which factors in not only stats but tactical matchups, motivation, and squad depth.

Levante must elevate both discipline and control to overturn this odds imbalance – otherwise, statistical evidence points to a tough evening at the Ciutat de València.

How to watch Levante vs Elche

When?
Kick-off: 23 January 2026, 22:00 CEST
Where?
Ciutat de València, Valencia, Spain
How to watch: Via local TV broadcasts in Spain or through subscription-based streaming services covering La Liga (check providers such as Movistar+, DAZN, or ESPN+).
Favorite: Levante (per bookmakers odds)

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