Sofia Quijada
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Levante sit 14th with 10 points from 10 games while Atletico Madrid occupy second place, five clear of Real Madrid on goal difference and chasing down a rampant Barcelona side. The last two league meetings between these clubs tell a split story: a 3-1 Atletico romp followed by a goalless stalemate, so history offers no guaranteed script for this one. Simeone’s men arrive at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia on a four-win, one-draw run over their last five fixtures, a stark contrast to a Levante side that has lost its last match and shown little consistency over the past month.
Julián Álvarez has produced two goals and an assist across his last five outings and remains Atletico’s chief creative outlet through the middle. For Levante, Roger Brugué has been the one spark in an otherwise patchy attack, scoring twice and setting up another in his last four appearances, and he will need a big performance to trouble this Atletico backline.
Hot stat: Atletico Madrid have conceded just 8 goals in 10 La Liga matches this season, the second-stingiest defense in the division behind only Barcelona, a number that should worry a Levante attack averaging nearly four goals per game across its last five outings, almost entirely because of how openly those games have been played at both ends.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2026/2027, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia |
| 🗓️ Date: | 31.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:00 CEST |
Levante vs Atletico Madrid prediction
We predict Atletico Madrid to win this one comfortably, perhaps by a 2-1 or 2-0 scoreline, built on a defense that has only let in eight goals all season and an attack that has scored in every one of its last five matches. Levante’s matches have swung wildly, three draws or losses by multiple goals mixed with high-scoring draws, which suggests their backline is there to be exploited by a side with Atletico’s quality in behind.
Atletico’s numbers from the last five games show 81 total shots against Levante’s 49, a passing accuracy near 88% compared to Levante’s roughly 81%, and more than double the interceptions, 41 to 25. Levante have picked up fewer yellow cards, 10 against 13, but Atletico’s physical edge, 52 fouls committed to Levante’s 45, plus a red card in their sample, shows a side willing to take tactical risks in midfield to protect their lead once ahead. That combination of control and physicality, to be honest, points firmly toward a routine away performance.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Atletico Madrid -1 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Levante’s last five results read loss, win, draw, draw, loss, a run that leaves them stuck in the bottom half. Their most recent outing against Real Sociedad ended 1-2, a game where they conceded a second-half winner despite matching their opponents for spells. In our preview of Real Sociedad vs Levante we backed a Sociedad win with both teams scoring around 2-1, and the eventual 2-1 scoreline delivered exactly that call. Levante have scored in four of their last five matches but rarely look organized defensively, conceding multiple goals in three of those five games, a pattern that does not bode well against Atletico’s firepower.
Atletico Madrid’s last five results show four wins and a single draw, a run that has kept them within touching distance of Barcelona at the top. Their most recent match saw them edge Deportivo La Coruna 1-0, a tight, controlled performance typical of Simeone’s side on the road. In our preview of Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna we called a comfortable Atletico win under 2.5 goals with no BTTS, and the 1-0 result landed on every count. That kind of clean, low-event win has become the norm for this Atletico side this autumn.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Levante | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Levante vs Atletico Madrid stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico Madrid the favourite
- Moneyline Levante 5.25 | Atletico Madrid 1.47
- Draw 4.33
Bookmakers give Atletico around a 60% chance of victory, and the market odds back that up firmly, with Levante priced above 5.00 in most books. That price gap mirrors the gulf in points, form, and underlying numbers between these two sides this season, and we see no value in backing the home win outright given how one-sided the recent meetings and current trajectories look.
Possible Starting Lineups
Levante possible starting eleven
- GK: Mathew Ryan
- DF: Manu Sánchez, Ifeanyi Ndukwe, Jeremy Toljan, Aïssa Mandi
- MF: Jon Ander Olasagasti, Daniel Requena Sánchez, Oriol Rey, Thiago Cruz Fernandez
- FW: Roger Brugué, Iván Romero
Luís Castro should stick with his usual 4-4-2, leaning on Roger Brugué and Iván Romero up top, both of whom have combined for three goals in the last four matches. Mathew Ryan has started every recent game and remains the clear number one, while Daniel Requena Sánchez offers the side’s main creative outlet from midfield.
Atletico Madrid possible starting eleven
- GK: Jan Oblak
- DF: Marcos Llorente, Dávid Hancko, Alejandro Grimaldo, Marc Pubill
- MF: Morten Hjulmand, Pablo Barrios Rivas, Lee Kang-In
- FW: Alejandro Baena Rodríguez, Giuliano Simeone Baldini, Julián Álvarez
Simeone’s likely 4-2-3-1 pairs Hjulmand and Barrios as a double pivot shielding the back four, freeing Álvarez to operate centrally behind the attack. Jan Oblak remains an automatic pick in goal with 17 saves across his last five appearances, and Baena’s two assists in that span make him one to watch creatively.
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Levante. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict Atletico Madrid to win on the road, perhaps 2-1, with Levante’s leaky defense giving up enough chances for both sides to find the net. Atletico’s shot volume, passing control, and recent clean defensive numbers outweigh Levante’s home comfort, and the handicap and over 2.5 combination offers, to be honest, the most reasonable value on a fixture that looks lopsided on paper, in the standings, and in current form.
