Sofia Quijada
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Atletico Madrid sit second in La Liga with 22 points from nine games and welcome a Deportivo side that has not won in its last five league outings. Diego Simeone’s team arrives unbeaten in four of their last five fixtures across competitions, while Depor have drawn three and lost two of their last five matches, a run that has them stuck in ninth with just 11 points. The gap in quality and momentum is wide, and the Metropolitano has rarely been kind to visiting sides from outside the traditional top bracket this season.
Julián Álvarez has a goal and an assist in his last four appearances and remains the focal point of Atletico’s attack, pulling defenders out of position before Sørloth or Lookman exploit the space. For Deportivo, Yeremay Hernández is the one genuine creative spark, carrying a goal contribution in each of his last two outings and offering the only realistic route to goals against a settled Atletico back line.
Hot stat: Atletico have fired 61 shots across their last five matches compared to Deportivo’s 34, yet the combined goal tally in both teams’ recent games has stayed low, a sign that defensive discipline, not just attacking firepower, will likely decide this one.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2026/2027 – Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid |
| 🗓️ Date: | 24.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction
We predict Atletico Madrid win this comfortably, perhaps 2-0, with the home side’s control of possession and set-piece threat proving too much for a Deportivo defence that has conceded in four of their last five matches. Atletico’s 28 corners and 47 free kicks over their last five games dwarf Deportivo’s 13 and 25 respectively, pointing to a match shaped heavily around the hosts’ territorial dominance.
Atletico commit fouls at a moderate rate (41 across five games) and pick up cards sparingly compared to Deportivo’s more physical approach, which has produced 30 fouls and 5 yellow cards in the same span despite fewer overall touches. Depor’s lower pass accuracy and reduced ball progression suggest they will sit deep and look to break, a tactic that rarely troubles Atletico at home given their 2,414 completed passes over five matches versus Deportivo’s 888.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Atletico Madrid to win & BTTS No |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Atletico’s last match ended 1-1 against Stuttgart, a result that snapped a run of three straight wins but kept their unbeaten streak intact. Before that they beat Espanyol 1-0, Manchester United 2-0 and Alavés 2-1, a stretch showing their capacity to grind out results even without scoring freely. In our preview of Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid we called a narrow Atletico win around 1-2, and the 1-1 draw went against that specific scoreline, though the BTTS yes element of that call did land.
Deportivo drew 1-1 with Levante in their most recent fixture, extending a difficult patch that includes a 2-3 loss to Real Sociedad and a 1-3 defeat to Porto. Their only point of real encouragement lately has been avoiding further losses, with three draws in their last five outings. In our preview of Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante we backed Depor to edge a tight game around 2-1, and the eventual 1-1 draw went against that primary call, even though the drawn outcome was flagged as a live possibility at the time.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides have one recent meeting on record, a Copa del Rey Round of 16 tie won 1-0 by Atletico Madrid, with no further competitive fixtures between them to draw a broader statistical comparison from.
🚨Check out our dedicated Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico Madrid the favourite
- Moneyline Atletico Madrid 1.27 | Deportivo La Coruna 10.00
- Draw 5.80
- Over/Under Over 2.5 not listed | Under 2.5 not listed
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes not listed | No not listed
The market gives Atletico roughly a 74% implied chance of victory, a figure we think undersells how one-sided this fixture looks on current form. Deportivo’s odds near double figures reflect a side without a win in five, and backing the hosts straight up, perhaps combined with a clean sheet angle, looks like the sharper route into this match rather than chasing the long draw or away price.
Possible Starting Lineups
Atletico Madrid possible starting eleven
- GK: Jan Oblak
- DF: Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Dávid Hancko, Alejandro Grimaldo
- MF: Pablo Barrios, Morten Hjulmand, Lee Kang-In, Johnny Cardoso
- FW: Julián Álvarez, Alexander Sørloth
Simeone’s preferred 4-4-2 relies on Hjulmand and Barrios shielding the back four while Grimaldo overlaps from the left. Álvaro and Sørloth lead the line, with Álvarez the player most likely to influence the scoreline given his recent output in front of goal.
Deportivo La Coruna possible starting eleven
- GK: Leonardo Román Riquelme
- DF: Ximo Navarro, Bright Ede, Giacomo Quagliata, José María Giménez
- MF: Diego Villares, Mario Soriano, Riki Rodríguez, David Mella, Yeremay Hernández
- FW: Bil Nsongo
Hidalgo’s 4-2-3-1 leans on Villares and Soriano to screen a back four that has struggled defensively, while Yeremay and Mella look to break quickly behind Nsongo. Riquelme’s save count in recent games suggests he could be busy again at the Metropolitano.
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Deportivo La Coruna. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Atletico Madrid win this without too much resistance, perhaps 2-0, built on their superior possession, set-piece volume and a defence that has conceded sparingly at home. Deportivo’s inability to win in five matches, paired with their modest shot and pass numbers away from Riazor, gives little reason to expect an upset. Backing Atletico to win combined with under 2.5 goals and no BTTS offers, to be honest, the cleanest read on a fixture this lopsided on paper and in recent form.
