Levi Rothermund
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LASK welcome Liverpool to the Raiffeisen Arena on matchday two of the Champions League League Phase, and on paper this looks like a routine away trip for Andoni Iraola’s men. The Austrian side sit bottom of the 36-team table after opening with a tight 0-1 loss to AEK Athens, while Liverpool needed a late surge to edge Atletico Madrid 2-1 in their own opener. What makes this one worth a second look is how shaky Liverpool’s domestic form has turned, three draws and a 0-3 home defeat to Manchester City inside their last four matches hint at cracks that a disciplined underdog could, in theory, exploit.
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Keep an eye on Alexis Mac Allister in midfield for Liverpool. He has started every one of the last four matches, chipped in with a goal and an assist, and still leads the squad for shot volume from deep. For LASK, Sascha Horvath is the man they lean on going forward, a goal and an assist from midfield in his last three outings, often the one pulling strings between the lines.
Hot stat: Liverpool have racked up 47 interceptions across their last five matches, almost double LASK’s tally of 24 over the same stretch. That gap says a lot about the defensive intensity difference between a side built for Europe’s top table and one still fighting to settle into it.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Champions League 2026/27, League Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Raiffeisen Arena, Linz |
| 🗓️ Date: | 14.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:45 CEST |
LASK vs Liverpool prediction
Liverpool are priced as heavy favourites here, and honestly, the gap in quality backs that up. We think the smarter angle is not just picking Liverpool to win, but trusting them to do it with goals to spare. LASK have conceded in four of their last five games and their away form in Europe has been patchy at best, while Liverpool’s front line, even in a wobbly spell domestically, has still found the net in every match bar one over the same run.
Style-wise, the contrast matters too. LASK have been fairly tidy disciplinarily, just 23 fouls and 4 yellow cards across their last five matches, but their passing accuracy sits around 83%, a touch behind Liverpool’s 82% on considerably higher volume (1,636 passes attempted compared to LASK’s 1,359). Liverpool have picked up more cards (7) and fouled more often (58 times), a sign of a side that presses hard and sometimes gets caught scrambling, which could open space for LASK on the counter. Corner numbers lean LASK’s way per match, but that is more a product of them sitting deep and conceding territory than genuine control.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Liverpool -1.5 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
LASK’s last five results read like a side caught between two different versions of itself. A 3-3 thriller with Hartberg and a 2-1 win over First Vienna showed they can still score goals in bunches domestically, but defeats to Sturm Graz, AEK Athens and most recently a 0-2 loss at home to SK Rapid Wien expose a defence that leaks against sharper opposition. That Rapid Wien result is the one that stings most, a losing performance on home soil right before facing a side of Liverpool’s calibre, and it does not inspire much confidence heading into this one.
Liverpool’s form has been more about frustration than collapse. A 0-0 draw with Fulham and a 3-1 win over Tottenham sandwiched a run that eventually caved into a 0-3 home defeat against Manchester City, their heaviest loss of the stretch. In our preview of Liverpool vs Manchester City we leaned toward a narrow City win built on fine margins, and the eventual 0-3 scoreline backed that call even if the gap ended up wider than we expected. Coming off that kind of result, Liverpool tend to respond well in Europe, and we expect a reaction performance here.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
LASK and Liverpool have no recent competitive meetings on record, this is a fresh fixture between the two clubs with no head-to-head pattern to lean on.
🚨Check out our dedicated LASK vs Liverpool stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool the favourite
- Moneyline LASK 10.50 | Liverpool 1.24
- Draw 6.55
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.85 | Under 2.5 1.95
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.75
The gap in the moneyline, roughly 76% implied probability for Liverpool against under 10% for LASK, matches the gulf shown in the world club rankings, 13th against 243rd. Bookmakers clearly expect a one-sided affair, but the draw odds hovering around 6.50 suggest a small respect for LASK’s home advantage and recent domestic scoring form. We think the Over 2.5 price offers more value than the moneyline itself, given both sides have shown they can concede.
LASK. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
LASK possible starting eleven
- GK: Lukas Jungwirth
- DF: João Victor Tornich, Xavier Mbuyamba, Andres Andrade, George Bello
- MF: Melayro Bogarde, Sascha Horvath, Robert Ljubicic, Christoph Lang, Moses Usor
- FW: Sasa Kalajdzic
Kühbauer tends to stick with his 4-2-3-1 and the minutes data backs a fairly settled back four, with Tornich and Mbuyamba as the senior centre pairing. Horvath is the player to watch, he carries most of LASK’s creative burden from midfield, while Kalajdzic leads the line on minutes played among the forward options.
Liverpool possible starting eleven
- GK: Alisson Becker
- DF: Ronald Araujo, Milos Kerkez, Jérémy Jacquet, Virgil van Dijk
- MF: Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch, Florian Wirtz, Dominik Szoboszlai, Rio Ngumoha
- FW: Bradley Barcola
Iraola also favours a 4-2-3-1 shape, and the minutes suggest Alisson keeps his spot ahead of Mamardashvili for now. Mac Allister and Wirtz carry the biggest creative weight in midfield, and Barcola gets the nod up top on recent playing time over Gakpo and Isak, though either could easily feature given rotation across European fixtures.
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Liverpool. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We expect Liverpool to control this one from the first whistle. LASK have shown flashes of attacking quality in Austrian league play, enough to make BTTS worth a look, but their defensive numbers against sharper opposition suggest they will struggle to contain Liverpool’s movement through midfield. Maybe LASK nick a consolation goal late on, the way they did against Hartberg and Sturm Graz, but we are backing Liverpool to win comfortably, likely by two goals or more, with the game going over 2.5 total goals.
Read also: LASK Linz vs Liverpool Predicted Lineups, Team News and Expected XIs
Read also: LASK Linz vs Liverpool Head-to-Head: Record, Stats and Form as of 12 Oct 2026
