Liam Duckstein
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Anfield gets a proper litmus test this weekend as Liverpool welcome a Manchester City side that has not lost a single match in over a month. Andoni Iraola’s men sit unbeaten in the league table too, but three draws from five games tells its own story about a team that keeps finding ways to avoid defeat without quite finding the killer touch. City, by contrast, have won every single one of their last seven matches across competitions, a run that includes a 5-3 shootout against Sunderland and a routine dismantling of Manchester United.
The interesting wrinkle here is the recent head-to-head record. City have won three straight meetings against Liverpool, including a one-sided 4-0 FA Cup quarterfinal, and Liverpool have not beaten their title rivals since late 2024. That sort of psychological edge rarely shows up in a stats sheet, but it matters once the whistle blows.
Two players worth watching closely are Erling Haaland and Alexander Isak. Haaland has scored twice in just two appearances across City’s last five matches, a conversion rate that borders on unfair, while Isak has been Liverpool’s most direct attacking outlet with a goal and an assist in four starts. Whoever wins the individual battle between these two strikers could well decide where the points go.
The hot stat of this preview belongs to City’s attack: they have scored 11 goals from just 36 shots in their last five matches, a conversion rate that dwarfs Liverpool’s 6 goals from 52 attempts in the same span. City are simply doing more with less, and that efficiency is the single biggest worry for the hosts heading into this one.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Anfield, Liverpool |
| 🗓️ Date: | 11.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:30 CEST |
Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction
We predict Manchester City to edge this one, perhaps not by a wide margin, but enough to extend their perfect run. City top the table with 15 points from five games and have not dropped a single point yet, while Liverpool have drawn three of their opening five fixtures despite staying unbeaten. Our punters lean toward City winning or at worst avoiding defeat, given how comfortably they have dealt with recent head-to-head meetings.
Liverpool have committed 50 fouls and picked up 6 yellow cards in their last five matches, a noticeably more combative approach than City’s 32 fouls and just 2 bookings in the same stretch. That discipline gap tends to matter in games where City look to control tempo through possession, since Liverpool’s more physical style can invite set-piece opportunities. Liverpool have also generated more raw passing volume (1754 vs 1637), but City have been far sharper when it matters in the final third, a pattern we expect to continue at Anfield.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Manchester City Double Chance (Draw or Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Liverpool’s last five results show a side that is hard to beat but struggling to turn control into results. The most recent outing, a 1-0 win over Bournemouth, summed that up well: Liverpool dominated territory but needed a single moment of quality to settle it. In our preview of Bournemouth vs Liverpool we called a win with goals at both ends, likely 1-2 or 2-3. The 1-0 scoreline handed us the correct winner, but the tight, low-scoring nature of the match went against the goals-at-both-ends part of that call.
Manchester City have been relentless. Their last five matches read like a highlight reel, capped by a 5-3 win over Sunderland where Haaland and Cherki both found the net. In our preview of Manchester City vs Sunderland we predicted City to win comfortably by two goals or more, with Haaland and Cherki among the scorers. The 5-3 final score delivered exactly that margin and both of our named players got on the scoresheet, even though Sunderland’s three goals meant the BTTS No side of that call missed.
🚨Check out our dedicated Liverpool vs Manchester City stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Manchester City the favourite
- Moneyline Liverpool 2.55 | Manchester City 2.45
- Draw 3.60
The market has this fixture priced tightly, but City are still favoured by most bookmakers, a reflection of their perfect form and recent head-to-head dominance. Liverpool’s home advantage keeps their odds respectable, but the gap is narrow enough that we see real value backing City to avoid defeat rather than Liverpool outright.
Possible Starting Lineups
Liverpool possible starting eleven
- GK: Alisson Becker
- DF: Jeremie Frimpong, Virgil van Dijk, Ronald Araujo, Milos Kerkez
- MF: Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch
- FW: Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz, Rio Ngumoha, Alexander Isak
Iraola is likely to stick with his 4-2-3-1, leaning on Mac Allister and Gravenberch to shield the back four while Wirtz and Szoboszlai look to combine with Isak up top. Van Dijk’s experience will be key against a City front line that loves to run at defenders in behind.
Manchester City possible starting eleven
- GK: Gianluigi Donnarumma
- DF: Rico Lewis, Rúben Dias, Marc Guehi, Abdukodir Khusanov
- MF: Mateo Kovačić, Enzo Fernández
- FW: Rayan Cherki, Antoine Semenyo, Iliman Ndiaye, Erling Haaland
Maresca is expected to keep faith in the same 4-2-3-1 shape that has powered this winning run. Cherki’s creativity behind Haaland has been a constant theme in recent matches, and Dias anchoring the back line gives City the composure they need against Liverpool’s direct attacking threats.
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Manchester City. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a tight, cagey match that leans City’s way, perhaps settled by a single moment of quality from Haaland or Cherki. Liverpool’s recent draws suggest a team capable of frustrating anyone, but City’s conversion rate and their dominance in the last three meetings make them the safer side to trust. Expect goals at both ends, a handful of cards from Liverpool’s more physical approach, and a result that keeps City’s perfect start intact, possibly a narrow 1-2 or 2-2 finish at Anfield.
