Levi Rothermund
Fenerbahce arrive in Austria as strong favourites for this pre-season meeting with LASK, and the numbers back that up. The Turkish side has won both of their July friendlies without conceding a single goal, scoring nine in the process. LASK, under Dietmar Kühbauer, have had a rougher July so far, losing their two most recent matches to Ingolstadt and Dynamo Kyiv, each by a 0-2 scoreline. That back-to-back shutout run is worth watching, because it tells you something about how LASK’s defensive shape is holding up right now.
On the Fenerbahce side, Cengiz Ünder is the player to track. He has two goals in just two pre-season appearances and has been sharp in tight spaces. Defensively, Milan Škriniar has been quietly commanding at the back, contributing a goal and winning duels consistently across his two outings. For LASK, with no player-level data available for this pre-season window, Kühbauer’s side remains something of a blank canvas going into this one.
Hot stat: Fenerbahce’s last two friendly wins came with a combined scoreline of 9-0, with Anthony Musaba chipping in a goal and an assist across those two games from a wide forward role.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026 – July Phase |
| 🗓️ Date: | 14.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:30 CEST |
LASK vs Fenerbahce Prediction
The gap between these two sides right now is significant. Fenerbahce are ranked far higher globally, have been ruthless in pre-season, and face a LASK team that has shipped four goals in their last two games while failing to score. İsmail Kartal’s men carry real attacking momentum, and the likes of Ünder, Musaba, and Frederico Santos have all shown form with goals and assists already.
We think Fenerbahce win this comfortably. The handicap market or an Asian line on Fenerbahce -1.5 looks like the best value here rather than the straight moneyline, given how one-sided the recent form comparison is. LASK may not be fully sharp yet, but Fenerbahce’s firepower should be enough to punish them.
Looking at the style data available, Fenerbahce have been disciplined in possession, recording a pass accuracy of around 92% across their last two games while committing just 19 fouls. Their corner count of 10 in two matches points to an attacking-minded approach. LASK’s style in recent games has leaned on quick transitions and set-piece organisation, but without their key players registering stats yet this pre-season, it is hard to gauge exactly where they are. The foul and card data for LASK is absent from recent games, which honestly makes it difficult to predict whether they’ll be physical or passive defensively. Given Fenerbahce’s passing volume and territorial dominance, expect the Turkish side to generate plenty of corners again.
- Fenerbahce to win and over 2.5 goals looks like a strong combined market
- Fenerbahce Asian Handicap -1.5 offers solid value at current odds
- Over 2.5 total goals backed by Fenerbahce’s scoring rate of 4.5 goals per game in July
- Corners over 8.5 is worth a look given Fenerbahce’s 5 corners per game average
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Fenerbahce Asian Handicap -1.5 |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
LASK’s July has been a mixed bag. They opened the pre-season with a convincing 6-0 win over Schallerbach and followed that up with a 5-0 victory against SPG Wels, but those wins came against very low-level opposition. The moment the quality stepped up, results changed fast. A 0-2 defeat to Dynamo Kyiv and then another 0-2 loss to Ingolstadt in their most recent outing show that Kühbauer’s side has work to do. The Ingolstadt result is particularly telling because Ingolstadt are not a top-tier team by any measure, yet LASK could not find a goal. Their year-long form shows a 59% win rate across 27 matches, which is respectable, but the current July dip is noticeable.
Fenerbahce have been in a completely different gear. Their last competitive result before pre-season was a 3-1 win over Basaksehir, and they have carried that form straight into July. A 3-0 win over Konyaspor was followed by a 3-3 draw with Eyupspor in a match that still showed attacking quality in abundance, and then back-to-back pre-season wins over Admira (5-0) and Pogon Szczecin (4-0) confirmed they are in excellent shape. Fenerbahce’s most recent match, the 4-0 dismantling of Pogon Szczecin, was particularly sharp. Musaba scored and assisted, Ünder was a constant threat, and the team’s defensive structure held firm throughout. Two wins from two in July, nine goals scored, zero conceded. That is the form line heading into this fixture.
🚨Check out our dedicated LASK vs Fenerbahce stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Fenerbahce the favourite
- Moneyline LASK 4.50–5.20 | Fenerbahce 1.41–1.51
- Draw 3.95–4.50
- Over/Under Over 2.5 (see bookmakers) | Under 2.5 (see bookmakers)
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes (see bookmakers) | No (see bookmakers)
The market is pricing Fenerbahce at roughly 65–70% implied probability across most books, which lines up with the bookmakers’ average of 61% for the away side. We think the true probability is even higher given the current form gap. LASK at 4.50 to 5.20 is a long shot for a reason. The draw odds around 4.10 to 4.50 reflect how unlikely a stalemate is when one team is scoring freely and the other has been blanked in back-to-back games. Fenerbahce at 1.41 with Pinnacle or 1.44 still represents fair value for a side this dominant in pre-season.
Possible Starting Lineups
Fenerbahce possible starting eleven
- GK: Tarik Çetin
- DF: Jayden Oosterwolde, Milan Škriniar, Rodrigo Becão, Ognjen Mimović
- MF: Mattéo Guendouzi, Bartuğ Elmaz, Marco Asensio, Frederico Rodrigues de Paula Santos
- FW: Cengiz Ünder, Anthony Musaba
Tarik Çetin has featured more than any other goalkeeper across the two pre-season games and is the likely starter. The back four picks itself based on minutes played, with Škriniar and Becão forming a reliable central partnership. Guendouzi and Elmaz provide the defensive midfield cover, with four interceptions and solid passing volume between them. Asensio and Santos have both contributed assists and carry the creative load from midfield. Up front, Ünder’s two goals make him an automatic selection, while Musaba’s goal and assist in 131 minutes of action make him the natural second forward. Kartal has favoured a 4-1-4-1 shape, so one of the midfielders may drop into a more advanced role depending on the setup. Ünder is the most dangerous player on the pitch.
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Fenerbahce. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Fenerbahce are the clear pick here. Their pre-season numbers are exceptional, nine goals in two games with a clean sheet in each, and the squad depth shown across the Admira and Pogon Szczecin wins suggests Kartal has real options. LASK’s recent 0-2 defeats highlight an attacking and defensive fragility that Fenerbahce’s forward line will look to exploit.
We think Fenerbahce win this by at least two goals. The over 2.5 total goals market looks well-supported by the Turkish side’s attacking output alone, and both teams to score lands as a No given LASK’s blank in their last two outings. The Asian handicap at -1.5 for Fenerbahce is honestly the sharpest bet on the board at current prices.
