Liam Duckstein
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Kosovo host Austria in Pristina just a week after the two sides met in the reverse fixture, where Ralf Rangnick’s men ran out 3-1 winners. That result leaves Austria top of League B Group 3 on seven points, while Kosovo sit third on four, level with Ireland but behind on goal difference. A win here for Franco Foda’s side would flip the group on its head. A repeat of last week’s scoreline would all but confirm Austria as runaway favourites for promotion.
The quick turnaround between legs is the quirky part of this one. Both squads barely had time to recover before boarding flights again, and fatigue could play a bigger role than usual in how the match unfolds.
Keep an eye on Edon Zhegrova for Kosovo, he has scored twice in the last five games and remains the home side’s most direct creative outlet. For Austria, Patrick Wimmer has been involved in a goal roughly every other match recently, racking up three assists in his last five appearances, and he tends to drift into pockets that Kosovo’s back three struggle to track.
Hot stat: Austria have scored 11 goals across their last five matches while Kosovo have managed only three, a gap wide enough that we think it should show up again on the scoreboard here.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League B Group 3 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina |
| 🗓️ Date: | 04.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Kosovo vs Austria prediction
We predict Austria to win this rematch, and the value sits with backing them without needing a heavy handicap. The visitors have won two of their last three overall, scored eleven goals in five matches and just beat this exact opponent 3-1 on the road. Kosovo, meanwhile, have won only once in their last three and have been held to a blank by Israel in their most recent outing. Perhaps the only thing working in Kosovo’s favour is the raw motivation of a home crowd in Pristina, but motivation alone rarely closes an 8-goal gap in attacking output.
Stylistically these teams differ more than the table suggests. Austria commit more fouls per match (74 across five games against Kosovo’s 49) and pick up roughly double the yellow cards, a sign that Rangnick’s side presses high and risks cynical fouls to stop counters. Pass accuracy is almost identical for both sides, around 85%, so neither team struggles to keep the ball. The difference shows in final-third output: Austria’s extra fouls often come from recovering possession deep in Kosovo’s half, which usually leads to set pieces and corners, something that should inflate the corner count in this one.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Austria to win & BTTS Yes |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Kosovo’s recent run reads as one win, one draw and one loss from their last three, and the picture darkens when you add the two earlier friendlies. Their last match was a flat 0-0 draw away to Israel, a result that stalled any momentum after the Austria defeat. In our preview of Israel vs Kosovo we backed the visitors for a tight 2-1 win built around Muriqi and Zhegrova, and the scoreless draw that followed went against that call. Kosovo have now scored in just two of their last five games, which is the single biggest concern heading into this rematch.
Austria’s form tells a different story. Two wins and a draw from their last three, and the only blemish was a 2-2 stalemate with Ireland where they led twice but could not hold on. In our preview of Ireland vs Austria we leaned towards a two-goal Austrian win, and the 2-2 scoreline that actually played out went against that read, so Rangnick’s side are not quite the finishing machine the wider numbers suggest. They still come into Pristina as the far sharper attacking unit, with eleven goals scored in five matches compared to Kosovo’s three.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Kosovo | Austria |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Kosovo vs Austria stats page for more info.
Kosovo. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Austria the favourite
- Moneyline Kosovo 3.30 | Austria 2.02
- Draw 3.70
Bookmakers give Austria a 46% chance of victory against Kosovo’s 28%, and the draw sits at 25%. The market is pricing this close to how the first leg actually played out, with Austria’s odds hovering just above 2.00 almost everywhere we checked. That price feels fair to us given the attacking gap between these two sides over the last month, and we see little reason to fade the favourite here.
Possible Starting Lineups
Kosovo possible starting eleven
- GK: Arijanet Murić
- DF: Mergim Vojvoda, Lumbardh Dellova, Ilir Krasniqi
- MF: Veldin Hodza, Ermal Krasniqi, Edon Zhegrova, Milot Rashica
- FW: Vedat Muriqi, Baton Zabergja, Fisnik Asllani
Franco Foda should stick with the 3-4-2-1 shape that has featured in four of the last five games. Murić anchors the back line from goal, while Muriqi leads the line as the focal point up top. Zhegrova’s movement behind him is the piece most likely to unlock Austria’s defense if Kosovo are to end their goal drought.
Austria possible starting eleven
- GK: Alexander Schlager
- DF: Kevin Danso, David Affengruber, Stefan Posch
- MF: Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Romano Schmid, Carney Chukwuemeka
- FW: Patrick Wimmer, Sasa Kalajdzic, Junior Adamu
Rangnick tends to favour a 3-4-3 with this group, and the midfield trio of Xaver Schlager, Seiwald and Schmid gives Austria control in the middle third. Wimmer’s creativity on the wing and Kalajdzic’s physical presence up front are the two traits that gave Kosovo the most trouble in the first leg, and we expect the same approach again.
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Austria. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We back Austria to beat Kosovo again, perhaps by a tighter margin than last week’s 3-1, maybe something closer to 2-1 or 2-0. Kosovo’s home support and the sting of that first leg defeat should produce a more committed display, but the underlying numbers, three goals in five games against Austria’s eleven, still point one way. To be honest, both teams scoring feels likely too, since Kosovo found the net even in defeat last time out. Our punters team is siding with Austria to win and both teams to find the net in what should be a spirited rematch in Pristina.
Read also: Kosovo vs Austria Head-to-Head: Record, Stats & Form as of 2 Oct 2026
Read also: Kosovo vs Austria Team News and Predicted Lineups: Who Starts?
