Sofia Quijada
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Both sides arrive at the bottom half of Group 3 after difficult September windows, and this meeting in Debrecen looks like a straight fight to avoid finishing last. Israel sit on zero points after losses to Austria and Ireland, while Kosovo picked up three points against Ireland before a heavy defeat to Austria undid most of the good work. The interesting wrinkle here is that neither team has scored more than a single goal in their last three outings combined against top-half opposition, yet both keep generating chances, which points to a match that could open up once nerves settle.
Vedat Muriqi remains Kosovo’s focal point up front and the numbers back it up, seven shots in his last two caps shows he is still their main outlet. On the other side, Oscar Gloukh carries Israel’s creative burden through midfield, and how much space he finds between the lines could decide whether Israel manage their first goal of this camp.
Hot stat: Kosovo have fired 28 shots across their last five matches against just 13 from Israel, more than double the output, yet Israel’s defense has still shipped six goals in two games this year, so shot volume alone will not settle this one.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League B Group 3 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 01.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
Israel vs Kosovo prediction
We lean towards Kosovo here, and the reasoning is fairly simple. Franco Foda’s side has scored in four of their last five games and holds a positive shot count that Israel simply cannot match right now. Israel have conceded six goals in their two games this year and have not looked settled defensively, which suggests Kosovo’s front three, Muriqi in particular, should find room to work. Our value pick leans Kosovo Double Chance combined with both teams finding the net, since Israel’s habit of scoring even in defeats against Austria and Georgia earlier in the year shows they rarely go completely blank.
Style-wise, Kosovo commit more fouls per match (27 against Israel’s 20 across the sample) and have picked up fewer cards, suggesting a physical approach that stays just inside the rules. Israel’s pass accuracy sits close to 87%, slightly ahead of Kosovo’s 84%, which fits a team that tries to build patiently but struggles to turn possession into shots. Expect Kosovo to press higher and force turnovers, while Israel try to control tempo without quite having the firepower to punish a mistake.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Kosovo Double Chance & BTTS Yes |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Israel head into this game on the back of five straight competitive losses when counting the wider run, and the most recent 0-3 defeat to Ireland summed up their struggles, no shots on target of note and a defense that got stretched repeatedly. Before that, a 1-3 loss to Austria followed a similar script, chances conceded in bunches and little coming back the other way. In our preview of Israel vs Ireland we leaned towards Ireland’s Double Chance paired with Under 2.5 goals, and the eventual 0-3 scoreline confirmed the Ireland side of that call while the goals tally pushed just past our under line.
Kosovo’s form reads better on paper, a 1-0 win over Ireland sandwiched between defeats to Czech Republic and Austria. That last outing against Austria ended 1-3, a game where Kosovo actually got on the scoresheet but could not contain Rangnick’s side for long stretches. In our preview of Austria vs Kosovo we backed Austria to win by two goals or more with goals at both ends, and the 1-3 result delivered exactly that read.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Israel and Kosovo have no recent competitive meetings on record, so there is no head-to-head trend to lean on for this fixture.
🚨Check out our dedicated Israel vs Kosovo stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Kosovo the favourite
- Moneyline Israel 3.15 | Kosovo 2.30
- Draw 3.36
Bookmakers make Kosovo the clear favourite here, and the pricing tracks with the underlying numbers, more shots created, a fresher win in the group table, and a coach who has already found a settled 3-4-3 shape. Israel’s price above 3.00 reflects the six goals they have shipped in two games this year, a defensive record that punters will be wary of backing against.
Possible Starting Lineups
Israel possible starting eleven
- GK: Omri Glazer
- DF: Eli Dasa, Raz Shlomo, Idan Nachmias, Roy Revivo
- MF: Eilel Peretz, Dor Peretz, Oscar Gloukh, Manor Solomon, Liel Abada
- FW: Tai Baribo
Ran Ben Shimon sticks with his usual 4-2-3-1, leaning on Gloukh to link midfield and attack. Tai Baribo leads the line as the only recognized striker with real minutes in this sample, while Manor Solomon’s pace off the left offers Israel’s clearest outlet on the counter.
Kosovo possible starting eleven
- GK: Arijanet Murić
- DF: Mergim Vojvoda, Ilir Krasniqi, Dion Gallapeni
- MF: Edon Zhegrova, Milot Rashica, Ermal Krasniqi, Veldin Hodza
- FW: Vedat Muriqi, Baton Zabergja, Fisnik Asllani
Franco Foda keeps faith with the 3-4-3 that produced the Ireland win, built around Zhegrova’s dribbling and Muriqi’s presence up front. Vojvoda’s experience at the back anchors a three-man defense that will need to deal with Israel’s wide runners early.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Kosovo. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Kosovo to edge this one, perhaps by a single goal margin, with Israel finding the net given their tendency to score even in losing efforts this year. Muriqi and Zhegrova should create enough against a shaky Israeli backline, while Baribo or Solomon look capable of grabbing a consolation for the home side. To be honest, a 2-1 finish for Kosovo feels like the most realistic script based on both teams’ output over the last month.
Read Also: Israel vs Kosovo: Predicted Line-ups, Confirmed Absentees & Team News
