Liam Duckstein
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Kasimpasa welcome Besiktas to Istanbul in a fixture that looks lopsided on paper but carries a few wrinkles worth noting. Emre Belözoğlu’s side sit seventh, built on a stubborn unbeaten home run full of draws rather than goals. Vincenzo Italiano’s Besiktas arrive fourth, scoring freely and chasing the top three. The odd detail here: both clubs have scored exactly 9 goals apiece across their last five league matches, despite Besiktas looking the far more dominant attacking unit on shot volume.
Watch Oh Hyeon-gyu closely. He has scored three goals in his last five appearances for Besiktas, a conversion rate that stands out even in a squad full of attacking talent. On the other side, Adrian Benedyczak has quietly produced two goals and an assist in just three outings for Kasimpasa, and his movement could trouble a Besiktas backline that has conceded in four of its last five matches.
Hot stat: Kasimpasa have scored in every one of their last four matches bar a 0-0 stalemate with Konyaspor, while Besiktas have hit the net in each of their last five, yet both teams land on an identical nine-goal tally for the period, a strange symmetry given the gap in table position.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Süper Lig 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadı, Istanbul |
| 🗓️ Date: | 01.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Kasimpasa vs Besiktas prediction
We predict Besiktas edge this one, but not by a landslide. Kasimpasa have drawn four of their nine league games this season and carry a stubborn home record, so a clean away win feels less certain than the bookmakers’ 59% figure suggests. Our lean sits with Besiktas winning by a single goal, perhaps 2-1, with Kasimpasa’s resilience keeping the scoreline tight rather than one-sided.
Style-wise, the contrast matters. Besiktas have racked up 76 total shots and 2,389 passes in their last five matches against Kasimpasa’s 65 shots and 1,067 passes, a clear possession and creation gap. Kasimpasa, though, foul less often per shot conceded and have avoided red cards entirely in this sample, while Besiktas picked up a sending off against Kocaelispor. That discipline gap, combined with Kasimpasa’s compact 4-1-4-1 setup, could frustrate Besiktas for long spells before quality tells late on.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Besiktas Draw No Bet |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Kasimpasa’s most recent outing, a 3-1 win over Corluspor, continued a pattern of comfortable scoring against weaker opposition, following a 1-0 edge over Eyupspor and a 4-1 rout of Samsunspor. The one blemish came against Galatasaray, a 1-3 defeat that exposed their ceiling against elite sides, sandwiched by a goalless draw with Konyaspor. Belözoğlu’s men look sharp going forward in the right matchups but have struggled to break down defensive-minded teams, something Besiktas will try to exploit by sitting compact early.
Besiktas head into this one off a 2-0 win over Basaksehir, a result that followed draws and defeats against Crystal Palace and Trabzonspor respectively. In our preview of Besiktas vs Basaksehir we called a home win in the 2-0 or 2-1 range, and the actual 2-0 scoreline delivered it cleanly. That form, paired with a 3-2 win over Hoffenheim earlier in the run, shows a team capable of scoring goals in bunches even when defensive lapses creep in, which is exactly the profile Kasimpasa will hope to punish on the counter.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Kasimpasa | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 8 | 6 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Kasimpasa vs Besiktas stats page for more info.
Kasimpasa. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Besiktas the favourite
- Moneyline Kasimpasa 5.15 | Besiktas 1.56
- Draw 4.10
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The market leans heavily on Besiktas, and the 1.56 average price reflects their quality edge rather than overconfidence. We think the draw price at 4.10 offers some value given Kasimpasa’s home record this season, four draws in nine games is not a fluke. Backing Besiktas outright still makes sense for straight winnings, but anyone hunting better returns should look at the draw no bet market or a narrow Besiktas handicap instead of the raw moneyline.
Possible Starting Lineups
Kasimpasa possible starting eleven
- GK: Ali Emre Yanar
- DF: Ayberk Karapo, Matei Cristian Ilie, Claudio Winck, Adem Arous
- MF: Marcus Rafferty, Atakan Müjde, Elson Mendes, Emirhan Boz, Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
- FW: Ali Yavuz Kol
Belözoğlu tends to stick with his 4-1-4-1 shape, using Marcus Rafferty as the screen in front of the back four. Adem Arous stands out defensively with two goals from set pieces this season, while Ali Yavuz Kol leads the line with the sharpest recent output among the forward options.
Besiktas possible starting eleven
- GK: Alexander Nübel
- DF: Emirhan Topçu, Amir Murillo, Emmanuel Agbadou, Ridvan Yilmaz
- MF: Salih Özcan, Wilfred Ndidi, Leandro Trossard, Junior Olaitan, Václav Černý
- FW: Oh Hyeon-gyu
Italiano’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Özcan and Ndidi to shield the back line while Trossard roams from the right, even though his 78 lost balls in five games hint at a slightly careless final pass. Oh Hyeon-gyu gets the nod up top purely on his goal rate, a clear step above Dušan Vlahović’s recent output.
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Besiktas. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Besiktas carry the better squad, the better scoring form away from home, and a clear edge in shot volume over these two sides’ recent matches. Kasimpasa’s draw-heavy home record and defensive discipline, zero red cards in their last five, give them a real chance of frustrating the visitors for large stretches. We predict a tight 2-1 win for Besiktas, with both teams finding the net given how often that has happened in this fixture historically. To be honest, backing the draw no bet line on Besiktas feels like the smarter way to play a match where the favourite’s edge is clear but not overwhelming.
