Levi Rothermund
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Both sides arrive at this one having already tasted defeat in the group opener, and neither wants a second slip. Israel fell 3-1 to Austria, while Ireland lost narrowly at Kosovo. Group 3 is tighter than the standings suggest right now, and a defeat here for either team makes the climb back much harder. Interesting side note: both nations’ defenses got picked apart by set-piece movement in matchday one, which is worth watching given how physical Ireland tend to get around the box.
Oscar Gloukh has been Israel’s most creative outlet in the middle third and his passing range could stretch Ireland’s back three. On the other side, Troy Parrott’s movement in behind gave Kosovo trouble and he looks like Ireland’s main outlet if this stays tight into the final third.
Hot stat: Ireland smashed Grenada 5-0 back in June, their heaviest scoreline of the year, a reminder that this squad can be ruthless once it settles into rhythm, even if recent Nations League form has been far more cautious.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League B Group 3 |
| 🗓️ Date: | 27.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
Israel vs Ireland prediction
We lean towards Ireland here, though not with huge confidence. The bookmakers’ 40% split for the visitors feels roughly fair given how much sharper Hallgrímsson’s side looked defensively against Kosovo compared to Israel’s opener against Austria, where three goals went in. Honestly, backing Ireland to avoid defeat feels like the more sensible route than a straight win bet, since Israel have shown they can score against decent opposition even in losses.
Both teams set up in a 3-4-2-1 shape, which usually means goals leak through wide areas once wingbacks get isolated. Israel commit few fouls (just 4 in their latest sample) but concede plenty of space defensively, while Ireland foul far more often (15) and picked up two yellow cards already this campaign. That physical edge from Ireland could slow Israel’s rhythm down, especially through midfield where Gloukh likes time on the ball. Pass accuracy also favours Israel slightly, around 84% completion compared to Ireland’s 77%, so expect more sustained possession from the hosts even if final output stays low.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Ireland Double Chance (Draw or Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Israel’s last outing against Austria ended 3-1 and exposed real gaps at the back, with the visitors punishing every lapse in the middle third. Before that they beat Albania 1-0 and drew 2-2 with Georgia, so the pattern is a team capable of moments but leaky once pressure builds for a full 90 minutes. Ran Ben Shimon will want a tighter shape here, maybe dropping the wingbacks deeper against a physical Irish midfield. In our preview of Austria vs Israel we leaned towards an Austria win with goals at both ends, and the 3-1 final score backed that read, even if Austria’s margin ended up a bit wider than our suggested 2-1.
Ireland’s most recent match was a 0-1 loss at Kosovo, a game where they struggled to create clean chances despite decent underlying numbers. Before that they beat Qatar 1-0 and thrashed Grenada 5-0, so there’s clearly firepower in this squad when the door opens. The Kosovo defeat looked more like a slow start than a genuine defensive collapse. In our preview of Kosovo vs Ireland we called Ireland Double Chance combined with Under 2.5 goals, and the goals side landed, but Kosovo’s win means the Double Chance portion went against us.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Israel and Ireland have not met in any recent competitive fixture we have on record, so there is no head-to-head trend to draw from here.
🚨Check out our dedicated Israel vs Ireland stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ireland the favourite
- Moneyline Israel 2.95 | Ireland 2.38
- Draw 3.25
Markets place Ireland around 40% to win, with Israel closer to 32% and the draw sitting near 29%. That gap makes sense given Ireland’s tighter defensive shape lately versus Israel conceding three in their opener. We think the draw price looks a touch generous though, given how cagey these Nations League openers between mid-table nations tend to play out.
Israel. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Israel possible starting eleven
- GK: Daniel Peretz
- DF: Idan Nachmias, Roy Revivo, Nikita Stoyanov
- MF: Anan Khalaili, guy mizrahi, Eilel Peretz, Dor Peretz
- FW: Oscar Gloukh, Manor Solomon, Dor Turgeman
The 3-4-2-1 shape leans heavily on Nachmias and Revivo covering the flanks, while Gloukh drops between the lines to link play. Solomon’s movement off the last defender should give Israel a direct out-ball, and Turgeman leads the line as the lone striker.
Ireland possible starting eleven
- GK: Caoimhin Kelleher
- DF: Dara O’Shea, Jake O’Brien, John Egan
- MF: Jayson Molumby, Jason Knight, Finn Azaz, Conor Coventry
- FW: Troy Parrott, Chiedozie Ogbene, Adam Idah
Hallgrímsson keeps the same back three that started at Kosovo, with Molumby and Knight screening in front. Parrott and Ogbene rotate underneath Idah in the 3-4-2-1, and both carry real threat in transition if Israel push numbers forward.
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Ireland. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We think Ireland edge this on quality but the margin should stay thin. Israel’s ability to score even in losses (Austria, Georgia) suggests they won’t sit back completely, and Ireland’s own low-scoring recent run points towards a cagey, low-event match. Our call leans Ireland Double Chance paired with Under 2.5 goals, with maybe a small side bet on Ireland winning to nil if Egan and O’Shea hold their shape at the back. Anything beyond two goals combined would honestly surprise us given both teams’ output lately.
Read also: Israel vs Ireland Head-to-Head: Record, Stats and Form as of 25 Sep 2026
Read also: Israel vs Ireland Predicted Lineups, Team News and Expected XIs
