Liam Duckstein
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Ireland welcome Israel for a League B Group 3 fixture that carries real weight for both sides’ survival hopes. Ireland sit second on four points after a mixed start, while Israel prop up the table with a single point and a goal difference of minus five. The two teams met barely a week ago in this same group, with Ireland winning 3-0, and we doubt Israel have fixed much since then.
Perhaps the most interesting wrinkle here is the venue. This match is being staged away from Dublin, at Gradski Stadion in Backa Topola, which adds a neutral-ground flavor to what is technically a home fixture for Ireland. That quirk rarely favors the side listed as “home,” and we think it’s worth keeping in mind before backing Ireland too heavily on reputation alone.
Troy Parrott has been the standout name in green lately, scoring in four straight caps and giving Ireland a focal point they lacked for years. On the Israeli side, Manor Solomon remains their most dangerous creative outlet even though the final product has dried up around him this autumn.
Hot stat: Troy Parrott has scored four goals in his last four Ireland appearances, while Israel’s entire squad has combined for just a single goal across their last five matches. That gap alone tells most of the story heading into kickoff.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League B Group 3 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Gradski Stadion, Backa Topola |
| 🗓️ Date: | 04.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
Ireland vs Israel prediction
We predict Ireland to win this one comfortably, and to be honest the gap in recent output makes this one of the more straightforward reads on the group’s fixture list. Israel have scored once in their last five outings and lost or drawn four of their last five, while Ireland have netted eight times in the same span including a 3-0 win over this exact opponent. Our punters lean toward Ireland winning without needing Israel to score at all.
Style-wise, Ireland commit more fouls (53 to Israel’s 44) and pick up more yellow cards (8 against 4), which points to a more physical, direct approach from Heimir Hallgrímsson’s side. Israel keep the ball better, completing passes at a noticeably higher rate, but possession alone hasn’t translated into chances. Expect Ireland to press higher and force turnovers, which should keep this one slightly stretched and open to more than one or two clear strikes on goal.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Troy Parrott to score anytime & Ireland to win |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Ireland’s last match ended 2-2 against Austria, a result that papered over a worrying second-half collapse after leading twice. The draw against the group’s top side wasn’t a disaster, but it showed a defense that can be undone by quality movement in behind. In our preview of Ireland vs Austria we backed the visitors to win by two goals, and the 2-2 scoreline went against that call since Ireland held firm for a point rather than folding. Before that, Ireland beat Israel 3-0 and dispatched Kosovo narrowly in defeat, so the overall picture remains one of a team that scores freely but still leaks goals at the back.
Israel’s last match finished 0-0 against Kosovo, extending a run that now reads two losses, a draw, and barely a goal to show for any of it. In our preview of Israel vs Kosovo we tipped Kosovo to win 2-1 with Israel grabbing a consolation, and the 0-0 result went against that call since neither side could find the net at all. Ran Ben Shimon’s side have won none of their last three and lost to both Austria and Ireland by two or more goals in that stretch, which underlines just how blunt their attack has become.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Ireland | Israel |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 0 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Ireland vs Israel stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ireland the favourite
- Moneyline Ireland 1.91 | Israel 3.82
- Draw 3.47
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.95 | Under 2.5 1.85
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.05 | No 1.75
The market lines up with what the numbers show. Ireland sit around evens-to-slight-favourite territory, which feels fair given their scoring form against an Israel side that has gone cold in front of goal. The BTTS “No” price looks like decent value to us considering Israel have managed just one goal combined across their last five games, and their defense has shipped goals freely to both Austria and Ireland already this campaign.
Israel. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Ireland possible starting eleven
- GK: Caoimhin Kelleher
- DF: Dara O’Shea, John Egan, Liam Scales
- MF: Ryan Manning, Jake O’Brien, Jayson Molumby, Conor Coventry
- FW: Jack Moylan, Finn Azaz, Troy Parrott
Kelleher is the clear choice in goal given his game time and 18 saves across his last four caps. The back three of O’Shea, Egan and Scales has been the regular unit under Hallgrímsson, with Manning and O’Brien pushing on as wingbacks in the 3-4-2-1 setup. Parrott leads the line on current scoring form, with Moylan and Azaz operating just behind him. Adam Idah remains a real threat off the bench given his own two goals in four games.
Israel possible starting eleven
- GK: Omri Glazer
- DF: Raz Shlomo, Nikita Stoyanov, Idan Nachmias
- MF: Guy Mizrahi, Eilel Peretz, Oscar Gloukh, Anan Khalaili
- FW: Tai Baribo, Manor Solomon, Dor Peretz
Glazer remains the first-choice keeper despite a quiet workload in recent appearances. The back three of Shlomo, Stoyanov and Nachmias has started regularly, while Mizrahi and Khalaili provide width in the 3-4-3. Solomon is the player Israel need to find more often, with Baribo and Dor Peretz asked to convert the limited service they receive.
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Ireland. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Ireland to beat Israel again, likely by a similar margin to their last meeting. Israel’s attack has produced almost nothing over the past month, and their defense has conceded six goals across their last three competitive outings. Ireland, meanwhile, have the sharpest striker in the group right now in Troy Parrott, and a midfield capable of creating repeat chances. A 2-0 or 3-0 Ireland win feels like the most honest read of where both squads currently stand, and we’d be surprised if Israel found the net at all.
Read also: Ireland vs Israel: Predicted Line-ups, Confirmed Absentees and Team News
