Sofia Quijada
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Huracan host Gimnasia LP at the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó in a Clausura meeting between two sides locked together on 19 points in the table. The contrast in recent form is the real talking point here: Huracan have won three of their last four, while Gimnasia LP have drawn all four of theirs. El Globo have not lost a game in over a month, yet they also have not won one either, and that pattern of stalemates could be exactly what shapes this fixture.
Watch Oscar Cortes for Huracan, he has a goal and an assist in his last three starts and leads the squad in shot volume. On the other side, Agustin Auzmendi has been directly involved in two goals across his last three outings and carries most of Gimnasia LP’s attacking threat on his own.
Hot stat: Gimnasia LP out-shot their opponents 65-32 across their last five matches combined, but only scored one more goal than Huracan (4 vs 3) in that stretch, a sign of wasteful finishing that we expect to continue on the road.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Argentine Primera Division 2026, Clausura |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó, Buenos Aires |
| 🗓️ Date: | 16.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:00 CEST |
Huracan vs Gimnasia LP prediction
We predict a tight Huracan win here, perhaps 1-0 or 2-1. The home side has the sharper recent trend, three wins from four, and sits at home where their 4-4-2 shape has created enough chances despite modest conversion numbers. Gimnasia LP arrive unbeaten in four, but every single one of those results was a draw, which tells us their attack lacks the final punch to turn level games into wins away from home.
Discipline could shape the game too. Huracan have picked up 37 fouls and 7 yellow cards across their last five, noticeably more combative than Gimnasia LP’s 23 fouls and 4 cards in the same span. Gimnasia LP control the ball better and generate more corners (18 vs 11 over five games), but their final product has been poor, just 4 goals from 65 attempts. That gap between possession and output favors a Huracan side that defends in a more compact block and punishes mistakes on the counter.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Agustin Auzmendi to score anytime |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Huracan’s form in the last 30 days reads three wins and one loss, and that loss was the most recent result, a 2-0 defeat away at Barracas Central. Before that setback they beat Aldosivi, River Plate and Racing Club, all by narrow margins, showing a side that wins ugly rather than dominant. In our preview of Barracas Central vs Huracan we called a narrow away win for the visitors, and the 2-0 result went against us, Huracan’s attack simply did not show up that night. Playing at home now against a team that struggles to score, we expect a bounce-back performance.
Gimnasia LP have drawn four straight matches, 1-1 with Atletico Tucuman most recently, following draws against Independiente Rivadavia, Banfield and Argentinos Juniors. That run shows a defense that holds up reasonably well but an attack that cannot find a second goal when it matters. In our preview of Independiente Rivadavia vs Gimnasia LP we backed Rivadavia for a 2-0 win, and the 1-1 scoreline went against that call, though the under 2.5 goals angle we flagged did hold up. Perhaps the same low-scoring pattern repeats here.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Huracan | Gimnasia LP |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 0 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Huracan vs Gimnasia LP stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Huracan the favourite
- Moneyline Huracan 2.55 | Gimnasia LP 2.94
- Draw 2.90
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The market prices this almost as a three-way coin flip, Huracan at roughly 36% implied probability, the draw close behind at 32%, and Gimnasia LP level with the draw at 32%. We think that undersells Huracan’s home edge and recent scoring momentum slightly, the odds on the home win look like fair value rather than a trap, especially given Gimnasia LP’s inability to close out matches on the road this season.
Possible Starting Lineups
Huracan possible starting eleven
- GK: Sebastian Tomas Meza
- DF: Fabio Pereyra, Máximo Agustín Palazzo, Lucas Blondel, Rodrigo Fernández
- MF: Leonardo Gil, Facundo Waller, Facundo Kalinger di Napoli, Thaiel Peralta
- FW: Oscar Cortes, Jordy Caicedo
Diego Martínez keeps faith with the regular 4-4-2 that has delivered results recently. Blondel and Palazzo have played every minute available and anchor the back line, while Cortes leads the line as the team’s most involved attacker in front of goal.
Gimnasia LP possible starting eleven
- GK: Nelson Insfrán
- DF: Enzo Martínez, Bautista Barros Schelotto, Germán Conti, Pedro Silva Torrejón
- MF: Ignacio Fernández, Ignacio Miramon, Mateo Seoane, Alexis Steimbach, Nicolás Barros Schelotto
- FW: Agustin Auzmendi
Ariel Pereyra sticks with the 4-2-3-1 that has shaped recent draws, with Ignacio Fernández dictating tempo from deep thanks to his heavy passing volume, and Auzmendi left isolated as the sole focal point up front, a factor that could limit Gimnasia LP’s cutting edge against a well-organized home defense.
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Huracan. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict Huracan to edge this 1-0, built on their recent scoring run and a Gimnasia LP attack that has gone four games without finding a winner. The home side’s physical edge, more fouls, more cards, more direct play, should wear down a Gimnasia LP team that controls possession but rarely converts it into end product. Under 2.5 goals and no BTTS round out our view, this looks set up to be a close, low-scoring game decided by one moment of quality rather than a string of chances.
