Levi Rothermund
Hungary host Finland in a June international friendly, with Marco Rossi’s side coming in as clear favorites despite carrying a mixed recent record. The match takes place at Brann Stadion in Bergen, which is an unusual neutral venue choice that could subtly level the psychological playing field. Finland arrive having just been thrashed 4-0 by Germany, so confidence in Jacob Friis’s camp is understandably low heading into this one.
Two players stand out as ones to watch. For Finland, midfielder Anssi Suhonen was the most active distributor in their last outing, completing 37 passes across 90 minutes and generating two shots, making him the engine of whatever Finland try to build. On the Hungary side, forward Roland Sallai has been a consistent threat in recent campaigns and will be the focal point of Hungary’s attacking shape in a 4-2-3-1 system.
Hot stat: Finland conceded four goals against Germany without registering a single shot on target, and their goalkeeper Lukáš Hrádecký was called into action six times. That level of defensive exposure against a structured pressing side is exactly what Hungary’s system is designed to exploit.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Friendly 2026, June Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 05.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:45 CEST |
Hungary vs Finland Prediction
Hungary win is the clearest path here. Bookmakers price them at roughly 60% implied probability, and we think that is fair given Finland’s current form. Finland have lost their last match 0-4, sit bottom of the June friendly standings with zero points, and their attacking numbers from the Germany game were practically non-existent. Hungary, by contrast, drew with Greece and beat Slovenia in their most recent outings, which is a respectable pair of results against decent opposition.
The 4-2-3-1 that Rossi consistently deploys gives Hungary a compact midfield block and quick transitions, which should cause problems for a Finnish backline that was cut apart repeatedly by Germany. Finland’s 4-3-3 setup can work when their press is coordinated, but against a team with Hungary’s defensive discipline, they will struggle to generate quality chances.
Finland committed six fouls in their last game and managed only seven total shots, three of which were corners. That is a passive attacking output. Hungary’s structure tends to limit opposition space, meaning this match could stay tight, but we think Hungary find a goal or two through set pieces or transition play. A clean sheet for Hungary is genuinely possible given how blunt Finland looked offensively.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Hungary Win to Nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Hungary have played two matches in 2026, winning one and drawing one, which gives them a 50% win rate this year. Their form string reads as erratic over a longer stretch, with wins and losses interchangeable across recent months. The draw with Greece (0-0) on June 1 was uninspiring but defensively sound. Before that, the 1-0 win over Slovenia showed they can grind out results. Their earlier results in 2026 included a 2-3 loss to Ireland and a 1-0 win over Armenia, suggesting they are competitive but inconsistent against varied opposition. The 2-2 draw with Portugal further back highlights that they can match higher-quality sides when organized. Rossi’s Hungary are rarely a high-scoring side, but they do not concede cheaply either.
Finland’s recent run makes for uncomfortable reading. Their last five matches show a 1-3-1 loss record with one win against New Zealand (2-0), a draw with Cape Verde (1-1), and defeats to Germany (0-4), Malta (0-1), and a 4-0 win over Andorra being the only bright spot. The Malta loss is particularly telling. Losing 0-1 to Malta at home is the kind of result that reveals structural problems. Against Germany, they were completely overrun, with Hrádecký facing six saves and the team generating almost nothing going forward. Leo Walta was their most active attacker in that game with four shots, but none troubled the German goalkeeper. Finland honestly look short of ideas at the moment.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
The head-to-head data between these two sides is limited in this dataset, with one recorded entry showing the bookmakers’ pre-match expectations. The table below reflects available statistics from their meetings.
| Statistic | Hungary | Finland |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 2 |
| Total shots | 12 | 7 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 85 | 83 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Hungary vs Finland stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Hungary the Favourite
- Moneyline Hungary 1.57 | Finland 6.00
- Draw 4.00
- Over/Under Over 2.5 – | Under 2.5 –
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes – | No –
The odds across bookmakers are fairly consistent, with Hungary ranging from 1.50 to 1.57 and Finland between 5.00 and 6.00. The draw sits around 3.60 to 4.00. We think the Hungary win price at 1.57 with 888starz, Spinbetter, Betway, or BCGame represents the clearest value given the form disparity. Finland at 6.00 is not a price worth chasing given their current state. The draw at 4.00 is tempting in theory, but Hungary’s home-style discipline and Finland’s attacking frailty make a goalless draw less likely than a narrow Hungary win.
Finland. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Hungary Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Péter Gulácsi
- DF: Ádám Lang, Willi Orbán, Attila Szalai, Luca Kecskés
- MF: Ádám Nagy, András Schäfer, Dominik Szoboszlai
- FW: Roland Sallai, Kevin Csoboth, Barnabás Varga
Hungary’s 4-2-3-1 setup under Rossi is well-established. Gulácsi remains the first-choice goalkeeper despite his age, and the back four of Lang, Orbán, Szalai, and Kecskés offers solid defensive structure. Schäfer and Nagy anchor the midfield double pivot, while Szoboszlai operates as the number ten with license to push forward. Sallai on the right and Csoboth on the left provide width, with Varga leading the line. Dominik Szoboszlai is the player to watch. His ability to pick passes between the lines and carry the ball into dangerous areas gives Hungary a different dimension. If Finland’s press breaks down, Szoboszlai will find the gaps.
Finland Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Lukáš Hrádecký
- DF: Ville Koski, Tony Miettinen, Ryan Mahuta, Nikolai Alho
- MF: Anssi Suhonen, Adam Markhiev, Leo Walta
- FW: Topi Keskinen, Joel Pohjanpalo, Oliver Antman
Based on the Germany match lineup, Finland look set to deploy a 4-3-3. Hrádecký starts in goal despite a difficult outing against Germany. The back four of Koski, Tony Miettinen, Mahuta, and Alho carried most of the defensive burden last time out, with Koski completing 54 passes and Mahuta logging 33. Suhonen, Markhiev, and Walta form the midfield trio, with Walta being the most attack-minded of the three. Up front, Pohjanpalo leads with Keskinen and Antman providing support. Joel Pohjanpalo is Finland’s most dangerous outlet. He did not register a shot against Germany, but his movement and positioning can cause problems if Finland manage to build any meaningful possession. Hrádecký’s experience will be called upon heavily.
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Hungary. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Hungary win is our call. Finland have conceded four goals in each of their last two defeats, their attack generated almost nothing against Germany, and they come into this fixture having lost to Malta in their recent run. Hungary are not a side that blows teams away, but they are organized, structured, and capable of grinding out wins against limited opposition.
We think Hungary win to nil is the best value play. Finland’s inability to create chances, combined with Hungary’s defensive solidity, makes a clean sheet realistic. The match is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair given both teams’ tendencies in recent games. Honestly, if Szoboszlai is sharp and Finland’s press fails to hold its shape, this could end 2-0 with minimal drama. Back Hungary, keep expectations on goals modest, and maybe consider the win to nil market at whatever price your bookmaker offers.
