Greece (w) vs Turkey (w) Prediction: 03.06.2025 UEFA Women's Nations League Preview

As the UEFA Women’s Nations League League B Group A2 phase concludes, Greece (w) and Turkey (w) face off at Brann Stadion in Bergen for a match that promises more than just points – it’s about turning the tide on disappointing campaigns. With both teams experiencing tough runs of form, the encounter becomes a critical opportunity to salvage pride and momentum, especially for Greece who are yet to register a point in this campaign.

Keep an eye on Veatriki Sarri, a dynamic forward for Greece, whose energy and direct play can disrupt defenses on her day, and Ebru Topçu of Turkey, an accomplished midfielder known for her strong passing game and ability to orchestrate play. Both possess the technical skills to be the difference-makers in a fixture where small details will determine the outcome.

A standout stat heading into this clash: Turkey (w) have managed to achieve 10 total shots compared to Greece’s 3 over the last five matches, highlighting their greater offensive initiative – a factor that could sway the balance.

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Greece (w) vs Turkey (w) Prediction

Our expert analysis suggests this match tilts in favor of Turkey (w), who have at least found the back of the net in this group and generally appear more effective in transition and attacking phases. Given Greece (w)’s struggle to score (just 2 goals in 5 matches) and frequent defensive lapses, Turkey (w) hold considerable value for a win in regular time.

Greece’s heavy reliance on a static 4-4-2 formation leads to issues covering dynamic midfielders, while Turkey’s 3-5-2 offers extra versatility and width. Both teams are highly disciplined in terms of keeping a low yellow card count, but Turkey (w) have the superior ball progression metrics – most notably in number of total passes and established rhythm – suggesting midfield dominance. Furthermore, Turkey (w) have shown a greater ability to create meaningful chances (10 shots vs only 3 by Greece (w)), which should be decisive.

Team Analysis

Greece (w) Recent Form:
Greece (w) are enduring a difficult spell, having lost all five of their group matches. Most recently, they suffered a narrow 0-2 defeat to high-flying Slovenia (w). Greece struggled for possession and failed to register a single shot on target in that contest, underlining offensive inefficiency. Earlier fixtures saw them lose twice to Ireland (1-2 and 0-4) and once more to Slovenia (1-2), with a solitary goal in each of those defeats. A lack of midfield fluidity and attacking coordination remains a persistent issue for Antonios Prionas’s side.

Turkey (w) Recent Form:
Turkey (w) are also seeking to reignite their campaign after a 1-2 reverse against Ireland (w). While they’ve picked up just one win (against Greece in the previous meeting: 1-0), their matches show slightly more attacking promise. The losses to Slovenia (0-3, 0-1) also saw Turkey outshot, but they demonstrated grit in midfield and managed to win more set-pieces and recoveries, particularly when pressing higher up the pitch. Coach Jeff Strasser has rotated his midfield, but Ebru Topçu stands out for her consistency and leadership in difficult moments.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Greece (w) vs Turkey (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Turkey (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Greece (w) 3.55 | Turkey (w) 2.04
• Draw 3.25
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.70 | Under 2.5 1.45
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.30 | No 1.50

Based on bookmaker odds, Turkey (w) enters as clear favourites, which reflects both their previous head-to-head win and more coherent squad performance. The low price on “Under 2.5” goals signals a high probability of a low-scoring affair, backed by both teams’ limited attacking output this campaign. Bettors seeking value should note the relatively short odds for Turkey (w) “Draw No Bet”, especially given Greece (w)’s continued struggles in creating chances. Odds for both teams to score are long, which makes sense considering defensive setups and past low-scoring encounters.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Greece (w) possible starting eleven

Greece (w) will likely line up in their established 4-4-2 formation, focusing on a compact defensive shape. Expect Sarri and Kongouli to lead the line, with Moraitou providing some midfield drive. If Giannakouli starts in goal, her command over the box will be critical, while the defense will depend on the discipline of Kotsaki and Giannaka. The main challenge will be transforming defensive solidity into meaningful attacks.

Turkey (w) possible starting eleven

Turkey (w) should stay with their recent 3-5-2 structure, granting more width and capacity for overlapping runs from the fullbacks. Akgöz in goal has shown consistent reliability, while Topçu anchors the midfield both defensively and as a link to attack. Abrahamsson offers stability at the back. Key players to monitor include Ebru Topçu for her all-action midfield role, with the attacking pair compensated by dynamic runners from midfield.

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My take on the Match

Considering all available data and technical indicators, my main pick is Turkey (w) to win, or Draw No Bet for more cautious punters. Their marginally stronger attacking structure, better shot creation, and previous head-to-head victory make them the statistically sound choice. Expect a defensive chess match with sporadic scoring opportunities, but the tactical versatility and midfield superiority of Turkey (w) should prove decisive. Bettors are encouraged to keep stakes moderate as both teams have struggled for consistency, but value sits with Turkey (w) in all major markets.

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