Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvaros Prediction: 13.08.2026 UEFA Europa League

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Gornik Zabrze host Ferencvaros in the second leg of their UEFA Europa League Third Qualifying Round tie on 13 August 2026, with the Polish side needing to overturn a 1-0 first-leg deficit. Ferencvaros arrive at Arena Zabrze with the away goal advantage, making this a must-win scenario for Michal Gasparik’s men. What makes this fixture particularly interesting is the gap in European pedigree between the two clubs, with Ferencvaros arriving fresh off a competitive showing against Real Madrid just days before this match.

Two players deserve special attention heading into this tie. Kacper Urbanski has been Gornik’s most complete performer in midfield, combining defensive work with a goal contribution across recent matches. For Ferencvaros, Marius Corbu stands out with two goals in his last six appearances and a strong passing volume, making him the engine of Balázs Borbély’s system.

A standout stat from recent matches: Ferencvaros have won nine of their last ten games before their draw with Vasas, a run that underlines just how much momentum the Hungarian champions carry into this second leg.

Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvaros Prediction

Gornik Zabrze are in a tough spot. They need to win to progress, which means they will have to push forward and accept risk. That suits Ferencvaros, who are well-drilled on the counter and have shown they can punish teams that overcommit. The first leg finished 1-0 to the Hungarian side, and nothing in Gornik’s recent form suggests they are capable of a multi-goal swing against this level of opposition.

Ferencvaros average more passes and carry a higher pass accuracy across their last five matches than Gornik. They also commit more fouls (80 vs 56), which reflects an aggressive, high-pressing style that can disrupt Gornik’s build-up play. Gornik have picked up 12 yellow cards in the same period, suggesting they get drawn into physical battles. That tendency could cost them if they chase the game in the second half. We predict Ferencvaros to score at least once on the counter, and Gornik to find the net through set pieces or sheer desperation. A 1-1 draw on the night, which sends Ferencvaros through on aggregate, looks like the most likely outcome.

Team Analysis

Gornik Zabrze head into this second leg with mixed form. Across their last seven matches they have won three, drawn one, and lost three. Their most recent outing was a 3-1 league victory over Radomiak Radom, which will give them some confidence, but the level of opposition was far below what Ferencvaros present. Before that, they lost 1-0 to Ferencvaros in the first leg, and their other notable result was a 1-1 draw against Fenerbahce, a side ranked much higher than them. Peter Federico González Carmona leads their attacking output with two goals in six appearances, and Yvan Ikia Dimi and Kacper Urbanski have each contributed a goal as well. Gornik’s 32 corner kicks across five matches shows they do generate wide delivery, which could be their best route back into this tie.

Ferencvaros have been in excellent shape. They won three of their last seven matches, drew two, and lost two, but those losses came against Real Madrid and Paksi, with the Real Madrid defeat (1-2) arriving just days before this second leg after a strong first leg showing. Before that, they strung together an extraordinary winning sequence. Their 1-0 first-leg win over Gornik was composed and controlled. The 2-2 draw with Twente and the 0-0 with Vasas show they can manage games when needed. Marius Corbu and Bamidele Isa Yusuf have been consistent contributors in attack, and Toon Raemaekers adds a goal threat from defense. The squad depth, with options across all positions, gives Borbély real flexibility in how he sets up for this away leg.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

These two sides have only one completed head-to-head match on record, the first leg of this very tie.

🚨Check out our dedicated Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvaros stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ferencvaros the favourite

• Moneyline Gornik Zabrze 2.30 | Ferencvaros 2.80
• Draw 3.42
• Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —

The bookmakers price this as a fairly open contest, with Gornik Zabrze actually listed as marginal home favorites by some books at around 2.20 to 2.30. Ferencvaros sit between 2.65 and 3.10 depending on the bookmaker, which reflects the aggregate situation more than raw ability. To be honest, the value sits with Ferencvaros on the Asian handicap or qualifying market. A team ranked 117th globally, with a better recent record and an away goal in hand, being priced at 2.80 or higher is generous. The draw odds around 3.30 to 3.42 also represent some value given that a draw sends Ferencvaros through.

Possible Starting Lineups

Gornik Zabrze possible starting eleven

Gasparik is likely to set up in a 4-3-3, pushing players forward from the start given the aggregate deficit. Philipp Schulze has been the first-choice keeper across the last six matches and should start. Josema carries the most yellow cards in defense and is a foul risk in a high-pressure game. Kacper Urbanski is the key figure in midfield, offering both defensive cover and a goal threat from range. Peter Federico González Carmona leads the line as the most productive forward and will be expected to make things happen.

Ferencvaros possible starting eleven

Borbély is expected to deploy a 4-2-3-1 or a 4-3-3 shape, prioritizing defensive solidity while staying dangerous on the break. Dénes Dibusz is the clear number one with six appearances in recent games. Toon Raemaekers is a threat from right back and has already scored once in this run of form. Marius Corbu and Kristoffer Zachariassen are the creative core, with Corbu’s two goals and Zachariassen’s two assists making them the most productive partnership in the squad. Bamidele Isa Yusuf leads the line and will look to stretch Gornik’s backline.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Gornik Zabrze face a steep task at Arena Zabrze. They need a win to progress, yet their recent record against stronger opponents, losses to Fenerbahce and Ferencvaros in the first leg, suggests they will struggle to control this game. Ferencvaros have more passing volume, better pass accuracy, and a higher overall winning rate over the last 30 days. They also come in with a clear tactical identity and a squad that rotates effectively.

We predict Ferencvaros to score at least once, with Gornik finding a goal of their own as they push forward. A 1-1 draw on the night is our main prediction, which sees Ferencvaros advance 2-1 on aggregate. For those looking at alternative markets, both teams to score is strong value, and Ferencvaros on the Draw No Bet market offers a cleaner route to profit than a straight win bet on either side.

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