Sofia Quijada
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Gimnasia LP welcome Belgrano to Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo in a Clausura fixture that pits a settled, unbeaten home side against a visitor that has swung wildly between flashes of quality and heavy defeats. Gimnasia sit 7th on 28 points, four back from the top six, while Belgrano occupy 10th with 23 points and a defense that has leaked goals in bunches lately. The interesting wrinkle here: the last two meetings between these clubs both finished 1-0 to Gimnasia, and Belgrano have failed to score in three of their last five outings overall.
Watch Ignacio Fernández for Gimnasia LP, he has produced 3 goals and 2 assists across his last four appearances and leads all passers on the pitch. For Belgrano, Lucas Passerini carries the scoring burden up front with 2 goals and an assist in his last four games, though service has been inconsistent.
Hot stat: Belgrano have conceded 8 goals combined in their last two away defeats to Aldosivi and River Plate, while Gimnasia LP have not lost in five straight matches, winning three and drawing two, a run that includes three clean sheets.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Argentine Primera Division 2026, Clausura |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata |
| 🗓️ Date: | 05.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 23:15 CEST |
Gimnasia LP vs Belgrano prediction
We predict Gimnasia LP to win this one, perhaps without needing to be at their very best. The home side are unbeaten in five, scoring 7 goals in that span, and both previous head-to-head meetings ended 1-0 in their favor. Belgrano arrive having lost two of their last three, conceding six goals in that stretch, and their away form this season has not matched the stability shown by Gimnasia at home.
Gimnasia commit fewer fouls (38 over the last five games against Belgrano’s 47) and pick up fewer cards (6 versus 8), pointing to a more controlled, patient approach under Ariel Pereyra. Belgrano’s pass accuracy sits marginally higher at roughly 80% against Gimnasia’s 78%, but that possession has not translated into end product, just 4 goals in five matches. Expect Gimnasia to dictate tempo through midfield while Belgrano look to break on transitions through Zelarayán and Rigoni.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Gimnasia LP to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Gimnasia LP’s last outing produced a 2-1 win over Estudiantes Rio Cuarto, continuing a run of three straight victories before two draws against Atletico Tucuman and Independiente Rivadavia. Across the last 30 days they have won three of five, lost none, and the squad’s underlying numbers, 38 interceptions and solid passing output, back up the eye test of a team that controls matches. In our preview of Huracan vs Gimnasia LP we leaned toward a tight home win for Huracan built on low-scoring form, but Gimnasia traveled and won 2-1, both sides scoring, so that call went against us. That result is exactly the kind of away-day resilience that makes them favorites again here at home.
Belgrano’s most recent match ended 2-2 against Barracas Central, a result that followed back-to-back losses to Aldosivi (0-1) and River Plate (0-3). Ricardo Zielinski’s side have won just two of their last five, and the defensive numbers, 47 fouls and 8 yellow cards in that span, suggest a team playing catch-up rather than dictating games. Franco Vázquez and Lucas Zelarayán still offer quality in the final third, but Belgrano’s away form has been shaky enough to make this trip to La Plata a tough ask.
🚨Check out our dedicated Gimnasia LP vs Belgrano stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Gimnasia LP the favourite
- Moneyline Gimnasia LP 2.21 | Belgrano 3.17
- Draw 3.27
The market leans toward Gimnasia LP with roughly 42% implied probability against Belgrano’s 29%, and the remaining 29% sits with the draw. That price feels fair, Gimnasia’s home unbeaten run and the two historical 1-0 wins over this exact opponent justify being favorites, but Belgrano’s quality in midfield keeps the draw live enough that we would not rule it out as a second option.
Possible Starting Lineups
Gimnasia LP possible starting eleven
- GK: Harlen Castillo
- DF: Enzo Martínez, Germán Conti, Matías Melluso, Pedro Silva Torrejón
- MF: Ignacio Fernández, Ignacio Miramon, Alexis Steimbach, Mateo Seoane
- FW: Marcelo Torres, Agustin Auzmendi
Pereyra’s 4-4-2 relies heavily on Fernández’s passing range and Miramon’s defensive midfield work, both having logged close to full minutes in every recent match. Torres offers the sharpest finishing of the group with two goals in four games and should be the main outlet alongside Auzmendi, who brings more hold-up play and link to the wide men.
Belgrano possible starting eleven
- GK: Thiago Cardozo
- DF: Lisandro López, Leonardo Morales, Alexis Maldonado, Adrian Spörle
- MF: Adrian Sanchez, Ramiro Hernandes, Lucas Zelarayán, Franco Vázquez, Emiliano Rigoni
- FW: Lucas Passerini
Zielinski’s 4-2-3-1 gives Vázquez and Zelarayán license to create between the lines, with Sanchez and Hernandes screening a back four that has conceded heavily in recent weeks. Passerini is the focal point up top and the only forward with multiple goal contributions this spell, so his movement against Gimnasia’s center-backs will decide how many chances Belgrano actually create.
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Belgrano. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Gimnasia LP look the better side on paper and on recent results, five games unbeaten with a defense that has kept them in nearly every match. Belgrano’s away form and their habit of going quiet in attack, four goals across five games, make them vulnerable at Zerillo. We predict a narrow home win, somewhere around 2-0 or 2-1, with Gimnasia’s control of midfield through Fernández and Miramon proving decisive. To be hones, Belgrano’s creative players can produce a moment out of nothing, but we do not see them sustaining enough pressure to leave La Plata with points.
