Liam Duckstein
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Genoa welcome Juventus to Luigi Ferraris sitting 16th in Serie A, while the Bianconeri arrive in 7th place after a shaky start under Luciano Spalletti. On paper this looks one-sided, and the market agrees, but Genoa have shown flashes of defensive stubbornness at home lately under Daniele De Rossi. The interesting wrinkle here: Genoa have failed to score in each of their last four meetings with Juventus, a run that stretches back to 2024. That kind of record against one specific opponent rarely gets mentioned, but it says a lot about the psychological edge Juventus carry into Liguria this time around.
Two names worth watching closely on Wednesday night. Nick Woltemade has been Juventus’ most productive forward in the last five matches, scoring twice while racking up 14 shots, a volume no other Bianconeri attacker comes close to. For Genoa, Milutin Osmajić carries almost the entire attacking burden, with a goal and an assist from his own limited chances, and he’s the one player capable of punishing space left in behind.
The hot stat of this preview belongs to the shot count gap: Juventus have fired 75 total shots across their last five games compared to just 26 from Genoa in the same stretch. That’s nearly three shots for every one Genoa manage, and it tells you plenty about where the territorial battle is likely headed on Wednesday.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Luigi Ferraris, Genoa |
| 🗓️ Date: | 28.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:45 CEST |
Genoa vs Juventus prediction
We predict Juventus to win this one, and comfortably so. Genoa have scored just 6 goals in 8 league games this season, the second-worst attacking return in the division, while Juventus arrive with a frontline in decent scoring form between Woltemade and Kolo Muani. A Juventus win combined with under 2.5 goals feels like the sharper read here, perhaps settling around a 2-0 or 0-2 scoreline given how often Genoa have failed to find the net against this exact opponent.
Style-wise, the contrast is stark. Juventus have completed 2,901 passes across their last five matches at 87% accuracy, against Genoa’s 1,063 passes at just 77%. Genoa also pick up more cards relatively speaking, 9 yellows in five matches against possession numbers that suggest a side forced into reactive, foul-prone defending. Expect Genoa to sit deep, concede territory, and rely on quick transitions through Osmajić or Traorè rather than sustained buildup.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Half time/Full time: Juventus/Juventus |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Genoa’s last five results read as a mixed bag, two wins sandwiched around three defeats, and the underlying numbers back up the inconsistency. Their most recent outing against Venezia produced a tidy 1-0 win, a result that matched our call perfectly. In our preview of Genoa vs Venezia we backed the Rossoblu to grind out a narrow home win given Venezia’s poor away record, and the final 1-0 scoreline delivered exactly that. Before that though, Genoa lost 0-2 to Roma and 1-2 to Parma, both games where their attack simply couldn’t break through a well-organized back line. De Rossi’s side looks capable of a clean sheet against limited opposition, but Juventus represents a different level of threat entirely.
Juventus, meanwhile, have won two of their last five while drawing two others, a pattern of a team still finding consistency under Spalletti. Their most recent match saw them beat Lecce 2-0, a result that confirmed our earlier view. In our preview of Lecce vs Juventus we called an away win for the Bianconeri, and the 2-0 result delivered it, even if the clean sheet wasn’t something we fully expected given their recent defensive wobbles against Lazio and Rennes. That 0-3 loss to Lazio a few weeks back remains the outlier, a reminder that Juventus can be exposed when their back three gets stretched, but against a Genoa side struggling to create chances, that vulnerability matters less.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Genoa | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings) | 0 | 7 |
Genoa have not scored a single goal against Juventus across their last four head-to-head meetings, a run that stretches back to September 2024. That drought alone backs our lean toward a BTTS No outcome on Wednesday.
🚨Check out our dedicated Genoa vs Juventus stats page for more info.
Genoa. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Juventus the favourite
- Moneyline Genoa 5.40 | Juventus 1.64
- Draw 3.75
Bookmakers give Juventus a 57% implied win chance against just 18% for Genoa, with the draw sitting at 25%. Those numbers line up with the underlying form and the shot volume gap mentioned earlier. We see little value backing Genoa outright here, though the draw price around 3.75 could tempt punters looking for an alternative angle given Genoa’s defensive solidity in their last home outing.
Possible Starting Lineups
Genoa possible starting eleven
- GK: Justin Bijlow
- DF: Leo Østigård, Johan Vásquez, Alessandro Marcandalli
- MF: David Puczka, Mario Mitaj, Morten Frendrup, Samuel Wiafe
- FW: Mikael Ellertsson, Hamed Junior Traorè, Milutin Osmajić
De Rossi should stick with the 3-4-2-1 shape that’s been used in each of the last five matches. Bijlow has been the busier of the two goalkeepers and brings composure between the posts, while Osmajić leads the line as the clearest source of individual quality going forward.
Juventus possible starting eleven
- GK: Guglielmo Vicario
- DF: Gleison Bremer, Pierre Kalulu, Jhon Lucumi
- MF: Andrea Cambiaso, Zeki Çelik, Douglas Luiz Soares, Pape Matar Sarr
- FW: Teun Koopmeiners, Nick Woltemade, Randal Kolo Muani
Spalletti keeps faith with the same 3-4-2-1 setup. Vicario’s shot-stopping has kept Juventus competitive even in rockier matches, and the Woltemade-Kolo Muani partnership upfront offers more firepower than most Serie A defenses, let alone Genoa’s, can handle for a full 90 minutes.
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Juventus. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We’re backing Juventus to win at Luigi Ferraris, likely by a two-goal margin given how toothless Genoa’s attack has been against this particular opponent. The shot numbers, the pass accuracy gap, and a four-match scoring drought against Juventus all point in the same direction. Genoa’s home form offers some resistance, but perhaps not enough against a side that has scored in four of their last five outings. Our lean stays with Juventus to win, under 2.5 total goals, and BTTS No as the core of this ticket.
