Rafael Nogueira
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Gaziantep host Kasimpasa at Gaziantep Stadium on matchday 11 of the Süper Lig season, and the gap between these sides in the table tells only half the story. Kasimpasa sit 5th with 17 points, unbeaten in their last four league outings, while Gaziantep occupy 16th place on 8 points and have lost three matches in a row. What makes this fixture interesting is the head-to-head history: four straight meetings have produced 3, 5, 4 and 4 goals, and Gaziantep have won the last two despite their current struggles.
Two players shape this preview more than any others. For Kasimpasa, Adrian Benedyczak has been the focal point of the attack with 2 goals and 14 shots across his last five appearances, constantly demanding saves from opposition keepers. For Gaziantep, Deian Sorescu carries the creative burden with a goal involvement in recent weeks and a team-high 10 shots in the same span; if the hosts are to score first, it likely comes through him. Another name to monitor is Kasimpasa right-back Claudio Winck, quietly chipping in 2 goals from defence.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Süper Lig 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Gaziantep Stadium, Gaziantep |
| 🗓️ Date: | 06.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Gaziantep vs Kasimpasa prediction
We predict Kasimpasa to win this match, and the 2.71 available on the away side is the best value on the board. The reasoning is straightforward: Gaziantep have lost four of their last five matches, including a 0-2 home-adjacent defeat to Trabzonspor and a 1-3 collapse against relegation-rival Erzurumspor, and their only win in that window came against lower-tier Etimesgut in the cup. Kasimpasa, by contrast, have taken 7 points from their last four league games, drawing 2-2 with Besiktas last time out and beating Samsunspor 4-1 before that. Orhan Ak’s men are leaking goals at one end and starving for them at the other, with just 9 goals in 10 league matches. Alfred Schreuder’s side creates more, converts better, and travels with confidence. To be honest, the bookmakers pricing Gaziantep at 38% feels generous given the trajectory of both teams.
Style of play matters here. Kasimpasa commit 69 fouls in their last five matches, roughly 14 per game, and collect cards at a high rate, which hands opponents set-piece opportunities in a league where Gaziantep take 49 free kicks per five-game sample. Gaziantep are the cleaner side at 8-9 fouls per game but slower on the ball, completing 86% of passes compared to Kasimpasa’s 78%, a sign that the visitors play far more direct. That directness should trouble a Gaziantep defence that has conceded 17 goals in 10 league matches, the third-worst record in the division.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Kasimpasa Draw No Bet ⭐ |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 goals 📈 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes ✅ |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 corners 🚩 |
Team Analysis
Gaziantep’s recent run makes grim reading. Last time out they fell 0-2 to Trabzonspor, a result that matched the pattern of their autumn: competitive for spells, then undone by quality. Before that came a 4-0 cup win over Etimesgut that flattered their numbers, a 1-3 home defeat to Erzurumspor that stands out as the lowest point of the season, a 1-2 loss to Basaksehir, and a 0-3 hammering by Corum. Strip out the cup fixture and Gaziantep have scored once in their last four league matches. The 4-1-4-1 shape under Orhan Ak has not solved the defensive fragility, and Halil Dervisoglu’s lone goal in five games underlines how blunt the attack has become. In our preview of Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep we called a comfortable Trabzonspor win by a two-goal margin with BTTS No, and the 0-2 result delivered it exactly.
Kasimpasa arrive in far better shape. Their most recent outing, a 2-2 draw at home to Besiktas, showed the two defining traits of Schreuder’s team: enough attacking punch to hurt anyone, and enough resilience to take points from the big sides. Benedyczak and Ali Yavuz Kol were both on the scoresheet, extending a run that includes a 3-1 win over Corluspor in the cup, a 1-0 grind past Eyupspor, a 4-1 demolition of Samsunspor, and a 1-3 defeat to league leaders Galatasaray that nobody holds against them. Four matches unbeaten, 15 league goals, and a midfield orchestrated by Kerem Demirbay with 2 assists in his last four games. In our preview of Kasimpasa vs Besiktas we called a tight 2-1 Besiktas win with both teams scoring, and the 2-2 draw went against our primary call even though the BTTS leg landed.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Gaziantep | Kasimpasa |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 H2H) | 9 ⚽ | 7 ⚽ |
| Matches won | 2 🏆 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 🤝 | |
🚨Check out our dedicated Gaziantep vs Kasimpasa stats page for more info.
Gaziantep. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Gaziantep the favourite
- Moneyline Gaziantep 2.50 | Kasimpasa 2.71
- Draw 3.32
The market makes Gaziantep narrow favourites at an implied 38% versus 35% for Kasimpasa, with the draw at 28%. We see this backwards. A team that has lost four of five and scored one league goal in a month does not deserve favouritism against a top-five side unbeaten in four. Kasimpasa at 2.71 offers clear value, and the draw at 3.32 is a reasonable insurance play given how often these sides have shared the points, with two draws in the last four meetings.
Possible Starting Lineups
Gaziantep possible starting eleven
- GK: Ataberk Dadakdeniz
- DF: Kerim Calhanoglu, Abakar Sylla, Luis Pérez, Efe Sarikaya
- MF: Victor Gidado, Alexandru Maxim, Kacper Kozłowski, Drissa Camara, Juninho Bacuna
- FW: Halil Dervisoglu
We expect Orhan Ak to stick with the 4-1-4-1 that has been his default all season. Dadakdeniz keeps the gloves with 5 starts and 4 saves in the last five matches. The back four picks itself on minutes, with Sylla and Pérez forming the first-choice partnership. Gidado anchors the midfield block ahead of Maxim and Kozłowski, the latter leading the team with 8 shots in five games, while Bacuna and Camara provide width. Dervisoglu leads the line ahead of Stewart, who offers little end product. Watch Sorescu off the bench if the hosts chase the game.
Kasimpasa possible starting eleven
- GK: Andreas Gianniotis
- DF: Claudio Winck, Matei Cristian Ilie, Ayberk Karapo, Adem Arous
- MF: Elson Mendes, Kerem Demirbay, Jesurun Rak-Sakyi, Haris Hajradinović, Ali Yavuz Kol
- FW: Adrian Benedyczak
Schreuder’s 4-2-3-1 writes itself from the minutes data. Gianniotis has played every minute available with 18 saves, edging out Yanar. Winck and Arous are attacking full-backs with 2 goals each in the last five, giving the shape genuine threat from wide areas. Mendes and Demirbay sit behind a creative trio where Hajradinović, back from a rotation rest, links with Rak-Sakyi and Kol. Benedyczak leads the line on merit with 14 shots and 2 goals in his last four starts. This eleven has enough quality to control a struggling opponent away from home.
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Kasimpasa. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Our final call is a 2-1 win for Kasimpasa. The away side’s form gap is decisive: 60% winrate over the last 30 days against Gaziantep’s 20%, a 44% winrate this year against 31%, and a five-place gap in the table. Gaziantep’s only route back into matches has been set pieces and individual moments from Sorescu, and against a Kasimpasa defence that has conceded just 11 league goals all season, that is a thin foundation. The head-to-head trend of high-scoring games, three of four meetings producing over 3.5 goals, supports stacking the Kasimpasa win with over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes. Kasimpasa’s fouling volume and Gaziantep’s home crowd keep this competitive for an hour, but Schreuder’s side has more ways to score and far fewer ways to lose. Back Kasimpasa Draw No Bet as the anchor and take the away win at 2.71 for the full play.
