Alex MacQuoid
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There’s something a bit odd about this fixture on paper. Fulham sit bottom of the Premier League table with zero wins from six games, yet the bookmakers still send them out as strong favourites against a Hull side that’s actually picked up nine points and sits comfortably mid-table. Álvaro Arbeloa is still searching for his first league win as Fulham boss, and Craven Cottage hasn’t exactly been a fortress lately. Sergej Jakirovic’s Hull, meanwhile, arrive having drawn three of their last five league outings, a side that doesn’t lose often but also struggles to kill games off. Something has to give here, and we don’t think it’s as simple as the home odds suggest.
Watch Rodrigo Muniz up top for Fulham, he’s been quiet on the scoresheet in his last two outings but his movement has dragged defenders around all season and he’s due a goal. On the other side, Mohamed Belloumi has been Hull’s most dangerous attacker recently, a goal and an assist in his last two matches, and he loves cutting inside from the left.
Hot stat: Fulham are the only team in the entire Premier League division yet to register a single win this season, zero from six, despite being made favourites in nearly every one of those matches including this one.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Craven Cottage, London |
| 🗓️ Date: | 17.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:00 CEST |
Fulham vs Hull prediction
We’re leaning away from a straight Fulham win here. Yes, the home crowd and the table gap on paper favour the Cottagers, but a side without a single victory in six league games doesn’t suddenly turn it around against a Hull team that’s been genuinely competitive, drawing with Chelsea and Everton in recent weeks. Our pick is Hull Double Chance (draw or win), the value feels real when one club is 20th with 2 points and the other is 8th with 9. Fulham’s defense has leaked goals in basically every recent match, including a blank at home to Liverpool aside, and Hull have shown they can hang in games against better opposition without folding.
Style-wise, this should be a scrappy, foul-heavy affair. Fulham have committed 19 fouls and picked up 7 yellow cards across their last five, Hull aren’t far off with 25 fouls and 7 bookings of their own in the same stretch. Hull’s pass accuracy sits lower (around 76% in recent output compared to Fulham’s cleaner passing numbers), which tells us Hull will likely sit deeper, concede the ball more, and look to break on the counter or through set pieces, they’ve won 14 corners in their last five games compared to Fulham’s 8, so expect a few dead-ball moments to matter.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Hull Double Chance (Draw or Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Fulham’s last five league matches read like a club genuinely stuck. A 1-1 draw with Manchester United, a wild 3-2 win over West Ham (their only victory in the sample), a goalless draw with Liverpool, a 2-3 home loss to Crystal Palace, and most recently a 1-2 defeat at Ipswich. That Ipswich result is the one that stings most. In our preview of Ipswich vs Fulham we leaned toward Fulham at least avoiding defeat via the double chance, and the 1-2 scoreline went against us, Ipswich held on for all three points despite their own defensive issues. Fulham have now lost momentum right when they needed a response, and Arbeloa’s side looks short on confidence heading into a home game they’re somehow still favoured to win.
Hull’s recent form tells a slightly different story, one of resilience without end product. A 2-2 draw at home to Everton was their last outing, before that a 1-2 loss to Newcastle, a 2-2 draw with Chelsea, a 0-1 loss to Sunderland, and a goalless draw with Aston Villa. In our preview of Hull vs Everton we called a narrow Everton win, and the 2-2 result went against us, Hull fought back from behind to grab a point against a side that had been in good form. That’s the pattern with Jakirovic’s group lately: tough to beat, not always able to finish teams off, but rarely rolling over either.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Fulham and Hull haven’t met in a competitive fixture recently, so there’s no meaningful head-to-head sample to lean on for this preview.
🚨Check out our dedicated Fulham vs Hull stats page for more info.
Fulham. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Fulham the favourite
- Moneyline Fulham 1.69 | Hull 4.50
- Draw 3.90
The market clearly backs Fulham here, and honestly, we get why on paper, home advantage, higher ranked club historically, Hull travelling. But the actual on-pitch evidence this season tells a different tale. Fulham haven’t won a league game, full stop, and odds around 1.69 for a winless side feel generous toward the bookies rather than reflecting reality. We think there’s genuine value hiding in the draw and Hull markets here, maybe not a straight away win, but enough to make the double chance worth a second look.
Possible Starting Lineups
Fulham possible starting eleven
- GK: Bernd Leno
- DF: Timothy Castagne, Joachim Andersen, Calvin Bassey, Ryan Sessegnon
- MF: Sander Berge, Shea Charles, Josh King, Emile Smith Rowe, Oscar Bobb
- FW: Rodrigo Muniz
Arbeloa sticks with the 4-2-3-1 that’s been his go-to across the last five games. Leno starts between the posts over Lecomte, and the back four of Castagne, Andersen, Bassey, and Sessegnon has featured consistently even if it hasn’t stopped the goals flowing in. Berge and Charles sit behind a creative trio, with Smith Rowe probably the most important name there given his link play, and Muniz leads the line hunting that elusive breakthrough goal.
Hull possible starting eleven
- GK: Konstantinos Tzolakis
- DF: Lewie Coyle, John Egan, Semi Ajayi, Ryan Giles
- MF: Regan Slater, Tim Iroegbunam, Sorba Thomas, Matt Crooks, Mohamed Belloumi
- FW: Oliver McBurnie
Jakirovic also favours a 4-2-3-1 shape. Tzolakis gets the nod in goal after racking up seven saves across his recent starts, and the back four of Coyle, Egan, Ajayi, and Giles has held reasonably firm given the sides Hull have faced. Belloumi is the player to watch, a goal and assist in his last two appearances puts him firmly on form, and McBurnie’s physical presence up front should give Fulham’s shaky backline something to think about all afternoon.
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Hull. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We’re backing Hull to leave Craven Cottage unbeaten. The table gap between these two is almost entirely cosmetic right now, Fulham have been one of the division’s most generous defenses all season and haven’t found a way to win in six attempts, while Hull keep grinding out results against tougher names on paper. Expect goals at both ends, Fulham’s attack isn’t toothless even if their results suggest otherwise, and Hull have scored in three of their last five. Our lean is Hull Double Chance combined with BTTS and over 2.5 goals, a draw around 1-1 or 2-2 wouldn’t surprise anyone on our team at all.
