Liam Duckstein
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Hull welcome Everton to the MKM Stadium with both sides sitting just a point apart in the table, which makes this fixture far closer on paper than the bookmakers seem to think. Hull have shown they can hang with bigger clubs this season, drawing with Chelsea and beating Coventry, but their home form has wobbled lately. Everton arrive unbeaten in five matches across all competitions, a run that quietly places them among the form teams of the division right now.
Mohamed Belloumi has been the standout attacking threat for Hull, scoring twice in his last two appearances and looking like the man most likely to trouble Everton’s backline. On the other side, Thierno Barry leads Everton’s forward line with the most shots of anyone in the squad over the last five games, and his movement could stretch Hull’s defense all afternoon.
Hot stat: Everton have not lost in their last five matches, picking up two wins and three draws while never conceding more than two goals in a single game, a run that underlines just how tight David Moyes has made this side defensively.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27 |
| 🏟 Venue: | MKM Stadium, Hull |
| 🗓️ Date: | 11.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:00 CEST |
Hull vs Everton prediction
We predict Everton edge this one, but not by a landslide. Hull’s home form has dipped recently with a draw and a loss in their last two, while Everton’s unbeaten stretch suggests a side that knows how to grind out results even away from Goodison Park. The value, to be honest, sits less in backing Everton outright and more in trusting their defensive discipline to keep this tight.
Hull have picked up 10 yellow cards in their last five matches against Everton’s five, and their foul count sits noticeably higher too, 22 against Everton’s 27 is close but Hull’s shot volume (36) compared to Everton’s 49 tells a different story about who dominates possession. Everton’s pass accuracy figures dwarf Hull’s across the squad, and that control of the ball should let Moyes’ side dictate tempo and limit Hull’s chances to counter.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Everton to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Hull’s last outing ended in a 1-2 loss to Newcastle, a result that followed a 2-2 draw with Chelsea and a narrow 0-1 defeat to Sunderland before that. The pattern over the last five games shows a side capable of scoring against stronger opposition but prone to defensive lapses that cost points. The 0-0 draw with Aston Villa and the 1-0 win over Coventry suggest Jakirovic’s men can grind out results when the game plan is right, but consistency remains the issue heading into this one.
Everton’s most recent match brought a 1-0 win over Ipswich, extending their unbeaten run after a similar 1-0 victory against Wolves. Before that came a goalless draw with Tottenham and two draws against Manchester United and Bournemouth. The pattern here is clear: Moyes has built a side that rarely loses, even if the goals haven’t always flowed freely. That defensive solidity, combined with just enough firepower up top, makes Everton a tough side to break down on current form.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Hull and Everton have no recent competitive meetings on record ahead of this fixture, so there is no head-to-head sample to lean on for this preview.
🚨Check out our dedicated Hull vs Everton stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Everton the favourite
- Moneyline Hull 3.40 | Everton 2.02
- Draw 3.40
The odds line up neatly with the bookmakers’ own percentage split, Everton at roughly 46% to win against Hull’s 26%, with the draw sitting around 28%. Given Everton’s unbeaten run and superior possession numbers, that implied probability looks fair rather than generous, and we see little reason to fade the market favourite here.
Possible Starting Lineups
Hull possible starting eleven
- GK: Konstantinos Tzolakis
- DF: Lewie Coyle, John Egan, Semi Ajayi, Ryan Giles
- MF: Regan Slater, Matt Crooks, Sorba Thomas
- FW: Mohamed Belloumi, Mohamed Ali Cho, Oliver McBurnie
Jakirovic sticks with the 4-2-3-1 that has featured in all five of Hull’s recent matches. Belloumi leads the line as the player to watch, his two goals in two games giving Hull a genuine focal point going forward. Tzolakis gets the nod in goal given his saves tally in recent appearances.
Everton possible starting eleven
- GK: Jordan Pickford
- DF: Jake O’Brien, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitaliy Mykolenko
- MF: James Garner, Hayden Hackney, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Jack Grealish, Charly Alcaraz
- FW: Thierno Barry
Moyes keeps faith with the same 4-2-3-1 shape that has carried Everton through their unbeaten run. Barry spearheads the attack as the squad’s leading shot-taker, while Grealish offers the creative spark behind him. Pickford remains the defensive anchor, with three clean appearances backing up his selection.
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Hull. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Our team leans toward Everton here, not because Hull lack quality, but because Moyes’ side has built a run of results that speaks to genuine structure rather than luck. Five matches without defeat, tight defensive numbers, and a forward line finally finding rhythm through Barry all point to a side peaking at the right time. Hull’s home form, by contrast, has cooled off with a loss and a draw in their last two outings, and their defensive frailties against Newcastle and Sunderland suggest they could struggle to contain Everton’s movement. We predict a narrow Everton win, somewhere around 1-0 or 2-0, with goals at a premium and Hull’s attack likely to find Pickford’s backline a tough nut to crack.
