Liam Duckstein
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Frosinone sit comfortably in mid-table after a wild month of football, while Lecce arrive in need of a response following back-to-back defeats. Both clubs have shown they can score goals in bunches this season, but neither has looked particularly tight at the back. The interesting wrinkle here is that Frosinone’s last outing finished 4-4 against Atalanta, a result that tells you plenty about how this home side defends under pressure, even against sides sitting lower in the table than Lecce currently do.
Antonio Raimondo has been the sharpest finisher in Frosinone’s squad lately, scoring three goals across his last three appearances and looking comfortable leading the line alone. For Lecce, Konan N’Dri remains the main outlet going forward, carrying nine shots over his last three games and offering the counter-attacking spark Di Francesco’s side badly needs on the road.
Hot stat: Frosinone have scored eight goals across their last five matches, including two separate games where they found the net four times (4-4 vs Atalanta, 4-2 vs Sassuolo). Lecce, by contrast, have managed just four goals in their last five outings combined.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | PSC Arena, Frosinone |
| 🗓️ Date: | 29.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:30 CEST |
Frosinone vs Lecce prediction
We predict Frosinone to win this one, and honestly the gap on the table backs that up. Frosinone sit sixth with 14 points from eight games, while Lecce are down in twelfth with just nine. Home advantage combined with Raimondo’s current scoring touch should be enough to get the job done, even if Frosinone’s defense remains a little leaky for our liking.
Both sides foul at a similar rate, 38 fouls apiece across their last five matches, and neither picks up many cards, four yellows each over that stretch. Passing numbers are almost identical too, with Frosinone completing around 78% of their attempts and Lecce sitting just behind at roughly 78% as well. Nothing in the discipline or possession numbers screams a cagey affair, which lines up with how open both defenses have looked recently.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Frosinone to win & Both Teams To Score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Frosinone’s last match ended in a thrilling 4-4 draw away at Atalanta, a game where Alvini’s side repeatedly conceded leads but kept finding answers at the other end. Before that they beat Sassuolo 4-2 and lost 0-3 to Napoli, a result that shows the gulf that still exists against the division’s genuine top sides. Over their last five fixtures Frosinone have picked up two wins, one draw and one loss from four matches in the last 30 days, a 50% win rate that points to a side capable of hurting most mid-table opponents. In our preview of Atalanta vs Frosinone we called Frosinone to avoid defeat with goals flying in at both ends, and the eventual 4-4 scoreline delivered exactly that.
Lecce head into this fixture off the back of a 0-2 home loss to Juventus, their attack going completely quiet against a defense that had been shaky in previous weeks. Before that they beat Udinese 3-0 but also lost to Bologna and Milan without scoring in the Milan game. Di Francesco’s side have won just one of their last three matches in the last 30 days, a 33% win rate that mirrors their lowly league position. In our preview of Lecce vs Juventus we called a Juventus win on the night, and the 0-2 result delivered it.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Frosinone and Lecce have not met in recent competitive football based on the data available to us, so there is no head-to-head table to draw from for this preview.
🚨Check out our dedicated Frosinone vs Lecce stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Frosinone the favourite
- Moneyline Frosinone 1.62 | Lecce 5.00
- Draw 4.00
The market is clear about who it fancies here. Frosinone’s price around 1.62 lines up almost exactly with the 56% implied probability bookmakers give them before kickoff, and that feels fair given the table gap and home advantage. Lecce drifting out past 4.80 in places tells its own story about how little confidence the market has in a side that has lost five of their last eight league games. We would not touch the draw at these prices either, since neither team’s recent form suggests a cautious, low-event match.
Possible Starting Lineups
Frosinone possible starting eleven
- GK: Lorenzo Palmisani
- DF: Anthony Oyono, Giorgio Cittadini, Gabriele Bracaglia, Gabriele Calvani
- MF: Giacomo Calò, Patrizio Masini, Romano Schmid, Farès Ghedjemis, Giorgi Kvernadze
- FW: Antonio Raimondo
Palmisani has started every recent game in goal and should continue. The back four picked here reflects the players with the heaviest minutes over the last three matches, with Oyono and Cittadini forming the spine. Calò and Masini sit as the double pivot behind Schmid, who chips in with goals from midfield, while Raimondo leads the line alone in Alvini’s preferred 4-2-3-1 shape. Watch Ghedjemis closely, three assists in his last three games makes him the creative outlet behind the striker.
Lecce possible starting eleven
- GK: Wladimiro Falcone
- DF: Antonino Gallo, Tiago Gabriel, Danilo Veiga, Kialonda Gaspar
- MF: Youssef Maleh, Oumar Ngom, Amar Fatah, Willem Geubbels, Santiago Pierotti
- FW: Konan N’Dri
Falcone remains undisputed between the posts for Di Francesco, while Gallo and Veiga have played every minute available across the last three matches on the flanks and in the back line. Maleh and Ngom should anchor midfield in the same 4-2-3-1 setup Lecce have used throughout their last five games. N’Dri leads the attack as the most reliable outlet in behind, and his movement will be key if Lecce want to trouble Frosinone’s defense on the counter.
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Frosinone. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Frosinone look the far more complete side right now, sitting sixth in the table with twice the win rate Lecce can claim this season. Their attack has found the net eight times across the last five games, and even their defensive wobbles tend to come alongside goals of their own, not clean sheets for the opposition. Lecce travel off a flat 0-2 loss to Juventus where they barely threatened, and their away form this month has produced more losses than wins. We back Frosinone to win at home, with goals likely at both ends given how open recent matches have been for both clubs. Perhaps a 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline captures this fixture best, and to be honest, anything else would be a mild surprise given the current trends on both sides.
